Neftchi vs Dinamo Samarqand — Super League
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Neftchi and Dinamo Samarqand meet in the Super League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Neftchi have recorded 23 wins from 36 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.03 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Dinamo Samarqand have won 34% of their 29 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Neftchi and 1.12 for Dinamo Samarqand. The models give Neftchi a 60% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Dinamo Samarqand win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Neftchi—
Dinamo Samarqand1º
Position
10º
2.62
PPG
1.31
85%
Win %
38%
2.46
Goals / game
1.62
0.38
Conceded / game
1.77
47%
BTTS %
76%
44%
Clean sheet %
14%
69%
Over 2.5 %
72%
7.5
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
13.0
Avg fouls
0.0
48.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Neftchi
Home (7)
—
Dinamo Samarqand
Away (7)
2.57
PPG
1.29
86%
Win %
43%
2.43
Goals / game
1.57
0.57
Conceded / game
2.00
53%
BTTS %
71%
41%
Clean sheet %
12%
76%
Over 2.5 %
76%
7.5
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
48.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Dinamo Samarqand | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 94% | 79% | 86% | 92% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 71% | 53% | 41% | 42% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 41% | 26% | 14% | 17% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 6% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Dinamo Samarqand | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 59% | 53% | 86% | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 18% | 32% | 52% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 6% | 26% | 17% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 41% | 47% | 14% | 17% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neftchi | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS | 47% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 66% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neftchi | Dinamo Samarqand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 26% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Neftchi (H)L
Lokomotiv2–4
Lokomotiv2–4D
Xorazm2–2
Xorazm2–2W
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0W
Surkhon2–1
Surkhon2–1W
Pakhtakor1–0
Pakhtakor1–0W
Sogdiana3–0
Sogdiana3–0Dinamo Samarqand (A)L
Nasaf1–2
Nasaf1–2L
Navbahor2–3
Navbahor2–3D
Kokand-19121–1
Kokand-19121–1W
Olmaliq1–0
Olmaliq1–0LLokomotiv1–2
Lokomotiv1–2WSurkhon2–1
Surkhon2–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Neftchi | Dinamo Samarqand |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
11
Neftchi
61%
3
Draws
17%
4
Dinamo Samarqand
22%
56%
Over 1.5
10/18
28%
Over 2.5
5/18
22%
Over 3.5
4/18
33%
BTTS
6/18
03/08/26Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
0–0Neftchi20/09/25Dinamo Samarqand
Neftchi
2–1Dinamo Samarqand02/07/25Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
0–2Neftchi10/08/24Dinamo Samarqand
Neftchi
3–2Dinamo Samarqand10/03/24Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
0–1Neftchi18/09/22Dinamo Samarqand
Neftchi
4–1Dinamo Samarqand30/04/22Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
1–1Neftchi06/04/22Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
0–2Neftchi08/11/17Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
1–0Neftchi14/06/17Dinamo Samarqand
Neftchi
2–3Dinamo Samarqand25/09/15Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
0–1Neftchi09/05/15Dinamo Samarqand
Neftchi
3–1Dinamo Samarqand17/10/14Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
0–0Neftchi31/05/14Dinamo Samarqand
Neftchi
1–0Dinamo Samarqand08/11/13Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
2–0Neftchi02/03/13Dinamo Samarqand
Neftchi
1–0Dinamo Samarqand17/11/12Neftchi
Dinamo Samarqand
2–0Neftchi26/03/12Dinamo Samarqand
Neftchi
1–0Dinamo Samarqand| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | +35 | 55 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 46 |
| 4 |  Buxoro | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +5 | 40 |
| 5 | Olmaliq | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +3 | 39 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +9 | 39 |
| 7 | Nasaf | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 38 |
| 8 |  Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Dinamo Samarqand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Kokand-1912 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | -37 | 4 |
Team Insights
Neftchi- ●Neftchi have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Neftchi have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Neftchi have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have won 8 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Neftchi have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Dinamo Samarqand- ●Dinamo Samarqand have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NeftchiWAKokand-19124–2
Kokand-19124–2DHXorazm2–2
Xorazm2–2WALokomotiv1–0
Lokomotiv1–0WHSurkhon2–1
Surkhon2–1LANasaf2–6
Nasaf2–6WHSogdiana3–0
Sogdiana3–0–APakhtakor23/10
Pakhtakor23/10–HBunyodkor29/10
Bunyodkor29/10–HOlmaliq08/11
Olmaliq08/11Dinamo SamarqandLHBuxoro1–2
Buxoro1–2LANasaf1–2
Nasaf1–2LANavbahor2–3
Navbahor2–3WHQizilqum1–0
Qizilqum1–0DAKokand-19121–1
Kokand-19121–1DHPakhtakor1–1
Pakhtakor1–1–HAndijan25/10
Andijan25/10–AMash'al31/10
Mash'al31/10–ASogdiana06/11
Sogdiana06/11Top Scorers
NeftchiS. Perica14 ⚽
Z. Marusic10 ⚽
A. Odilov7 ⚽
J. Iskanderov6 ⚽
K. Giyosov4 ⚽
J. Djokic3 ⚽
Dinamo SamarqandA. Khozhimirzaev9 ⚽
F. Abdurakhmonov6 ⚽
A. Amanov4 ⚽
N. Tukhtasinov3 ⚽
J. Jumaboev3 ⚽
A. Amonov2 ⚽
Cards Given
NeftchiI. Alibaev6 🟨
Ratinho4 🟨
A. Gofurov4 🟨
F. Sayfiev4 🟨
N. Abduganiyev4 🟨
I. Pulatov3 🟨
Dinamo SamarqandF. Abdurakhmonov5 🟨
J. Jumaboev5 🟨
4 🟨
N. Tukhtasinov4 🟨
A. Radayev3 🟨
A. Khozhimirzaev3 🟨