Surkhon vs Lokomotiv — Super League
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Surkhon and Lokomotiv meet in the Super League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Surkhon have recorded 12 wins from 33 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Lokomotiv have won 45% of their 31 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Surkhon and 1.34 for Lokomotiv. The models give Surkhon a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Lokomotiv win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Surkhon—
Lokomotiv11º
Position
6º
1.15
PPG
1.46
31%
Win %
38%
1.08
Goals / game
1.38
1.62
Conceded / game
1.38
45%
BTTS %
61%
33%
Clean sheet %
23%
42%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Surkhon
Home (7)
—
Lokomotiv
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
1.43
29%
Win %
43%
1.00
Goals / game
1.43
1.29
Conceded / game
1.57
44%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
18%
44%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Surkhon | Home | Away | Lokomotiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 50% | 76% | 74% | 64% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 25% | 29% | 42% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 13% | 6% | 29% | 36% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 50% | 24% | 26% | 36% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Surkhon | Home | Away | Lokomotiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 75% | 59% | 77% | 71% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 38% | 35% | 39% | 29% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 19% | 18% | 10% | 14% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 25% | 41% | 23% | 29% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Surkhon | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS | 45% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Surkhon | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 18% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Surkhon (H)D
Xorazm0–0
Xorazm0–0W
Kokand-19121–0
Kokand-19121–0L
PFK Guliston0–1
PFK Guliston0–1D
Olmaliq0–0
Olmaliq0–0L
Sogdiana1–3
Sogdiana1–3L
Navbahor0–1
Navbahor0–1Lokomotiv (A)W
Neftchi4–2
Neftchi4–2WSogdiana3–2
Sogdiana3–2W
Bunyodkor1–0
Bunyodkor1–0DNavbahor1–1
Navbahor1–1WXorazm3–1
Xorazm3–1LKokand-19121–2
Kokand-19121–2Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Surkhon
18%
3
Draws
27%
6
Lokomotiv
55%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
28/02/26Surkhon
Lokomotiv
3–1Surkhon25/10/24Lokomotiv
Surkhon
2–1Lokomotiv27/05/24Surkhon
Lokomotiv
1–1Surkhon17/09/22Lokomotiv
Surkhon
2–1Lokomotiv01/05/22Surkhon
Lokomotiv
2–0Surkhon16/09/21Surkhon
Lokomotiv
2–0Surkhon09/04/21Lokomotiv
Surkhon
0–1Lokomotiv28/10/20Lokomotiv
Surkhon
1–1Lokomotiv06/07/20Surkhon
Lokomotiv
2–1Surkhon10/08/19Lokomotiv
Surkhon
1–1Lokomotiv15/06/19Surkhon
Lokomotiv
5–1Surkhon| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | +35 | 55 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 46 |
| 4 |  Buxoro | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +5 | 40 |
| 5 | Olmaliq | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +3 | 39 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +9 | 39 |
| 7 |  Nasaf | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 38 |
| 8 |  Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Kokand-1912 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Bunyodkor | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | -37 | 4 |
Team Insights
Surkhon- ●Surkhon have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Surkhon have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Surkhon have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Surkhon have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Surkhon failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Surkhon have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 away matches.
Lokomotiv- ●Lokomotiv have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Lokomotiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv have scored in 11 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
SurkhonDHXorazm0–0
Xorazm0–0DAQizilqum0–0
Qizilqum0–0WHKokand-19121–0
Kokand-19121–0LANeftchi1–2
Neftchi1–2WABunyodkor1–0
Bunyodkor1–0DHOlmaliq0–0
Olmaliq0–0–ABuxoro23/10
Buxoro23/10–HNasaf31/10
Nasaf31/10–AMash'al07/11
Mash'al07/11LokomotivDHNasaf0–0
Nasaf0–0WASogdiana3–2
Sogdiana3–2LHNeftchi0–1
Neftchi0–1WHMash'al3–0
Mash'al3–0DANavbahor1–1
Navbahor1–1WHBunyodkor4–1
Bunyodkor4–1–AQizilqum25/10
Qizilqum25/10–HOlmaliq01/11
Olmaliq01/11–AAndijan07/11
Andijan07/11Top Scorers
SurkhonS. Chinedu6 ⚽
T. Dzebniauri3 ⚽
S. Abdukhamidov3 ⚽
S. Abdullazhonov3 ⚽
K. Yusupov2 ⚽
R. Friday2 ⚽
LokomotivT. Abdukholikov11 ⚽
J. Yakhshiboev6 ⚽
S. Mirzaev5 ⚽
S. Shodiboev4 ⚽
K. Abraev3 ⚽
D. Turopov2 ⚽
Cards Given
SurkhonB. Shamsiev5 🟨
N. Nematkhonov4 🟨
4 🟨
M. Mirusmonov3 🟨
B. Shukurullaev3 🟨
A. Karimov3 🟨
LokomotivA. Susnjar5 🟨
J. Nisic4 🟨
O. Zoteev4 🟨
A. Kozlov3 🟨
K. Abraev2 🟨
A. Yuldashev2 🟨