Dinamo Samarqand vs Surkhon — Super League
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Dinamo Samarqand and Surkhon meet in the Super League 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Dinamo Samarqand have recorded 10 wins from 29 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 76% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Surkhon have won 35% of their 34 matches, with 0.97 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Dinamo Samarqand and 1.24 for Surkhon. The models give Dinamo Samarqand a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Surkhon win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Dinamo Samarqand—
Surkhon10º
Position
11º
1.31
PPG
1.15
38%
Win %
31%
1.62
Goals / game
1.08
1.77
Conceded / game
1.62
76%
BTTS %
44%
14%
Clean sheet %
35%
72%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Dinamo Samarqand
Home (6)
—
Surkhon
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.17
1.50
Conceded / game
2.00
83%
BTTS %
44%
17%
Clean sheet %
44%
67%
Over 2.5 %
39%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Dinamo Samarqand | Home | Away | Surkhon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 92% | 82% | 62% | 50% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 42% | 41% | 26% | 25% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 8% | 18% | 38% | 50% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Dinamo Samarqand | Home | Away | Surkhon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 83% | 88% | 65% | 75% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 50% | 53% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 29% | 18% | 19% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 17% | 12% | 35% | 25% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dinamo Samarqand | Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS | 76% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 66% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dinamo Samarqand | Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Dinamo Samarqand (H)L
Buxoro1–2
Buxoro1–2W
Qizilqum1–0
Qizilqum1–0D
Pakhtakor1–1
Pakhtakor1–1D
Xorazm2–2
Xorazm2–2D
Neftchi0–0
Neftchi0–0W
Kokand-19123–2
Kokand-19123–2Surkhon (A)DBuxoro0–0
Buxoro0–0DQizilqum0–0
Qizilqum0–0LNeftchi1–2
Neftchi1–2W
Bunyodkor1–0
Bunyodkor1–0DPakhtakor0–0
Pakhtakor0–0WKokand-19121–0
Kokand-19121–0Head to Head · 11 matches
8
Dinamo Samarqand
73%
1
Draws
9%
2
Surkhon
18%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
23/07/26Dinamo Samarqand
Surkhon
1–2Dinamo Samarqand04/10/25Dinamo Samarqand
Surkhon
0–2Dinamo Samarqand09/05/25Surkhon
Dinamo Samarqand
1–0Surkhon29/04/25Dinamo Samarqand
Surkhon
0–1Dinamo Samarqand26/09/24Surkhon
Dinamo Samarqand
3–0Surkhon13/05/24Dinamo Samarqand
Surkhon
1–1Dinamo Samarqand07/11/22Dinamo Samarqand
Surkhon
1–4Dinamo Samarqand18/06/22Surkhon
Dinamo Samarqand
1–3Surkhon29/04/21Surkhon
Dinamo Samarqand
3–1Surkhon27/11/19Surkhon
Dinamo Samarqand
2–1Surkhon30/03/19Dinamo Samarqand
Surkhon
1–0Dinamo Samarqand| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | +19 | 53 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 46 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 41 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 41 |
| 6 |  Olmaliq | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +3 | 39 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +9 | 39 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -6 | 33 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Dinamo Samarqand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 |  Sogdiana | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | Kokand-1912 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 25 | 1 | 1 | 23 | -38 | 4 |
Team Insights
Dinamo Samarqand- ●Dinamo Samarqand have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Samarqand have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Surkhon- ●Surkhon have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Surkhon have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Surkhon have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Surkhon have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Surkhon have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Surkhon failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Surkhon have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
Dinamo SamarqandLHBuxoro1–2
Buxoro1–2LANasaf1–2
Nasaf1–2LANavbahor2–3
Navbahor2–3WHQizilqum1–0
Qizilqum1–0DAKokand-19121–1
Kokand-19121–1DHPakhtakor1–1
Pakhtakor1–1–HAndijan25/10
Andijan25/10–AMash'al31/10
Mash'al31/10–ASogdiana06/11
Sogdiana06/11SurkhonDABuxoro0–0
Buxoro0–0DHXorazm0–0
Xorazm0–0DAQizilqum0–0
Qizilqum0–0WHKokand-19121–0
Kokand-19121–0LANeftchi1–2
Neftchi1–2WABunyodkor1–0
Bunyodkor1–0–HNasaf31/10
Nasaf31/10–AMash'al07/11
Mash'al07/11–HAndijan20/11
Andijan20/11Top Scorers
Dinamo SamarqandA. Khozhimirzaev9 ⚽
F. Abdurakhmonov6 ⚽
A. Amanov4 ⚽
N. Tukhtasinov3 ⚽
J. Jumaboev3 ⚽
A. Amonov2 ⚽
SurkhonS. Chinedu6 ⚽
T. Dzebniauri3 ⚽
S. Abdukhamidov3 ⚽
S. Abdullazhonov3 ⚽
K. Yusupov2 ⚽
R. Friday2 ⚽
Cards Given
Dinamo SamarqandF. Abdurakhmonov5 🟨
J. Jumaboev5 🟨
4 🟨
N. Tukhtasinov4 🟨
A. Radayev3 🟨
A. Khozhimirzaev3 🟨
SurkhonB. Shamsiev5 🟨
N. Nematkhonov4 🟨
4 🟨
M. Mirusmonov3 🟨
B. Shukurullaev3 🟨
A. Karimov3 🟨