Flora II vs Tartu Welco — Esiliiga A
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Sportland Arena·Tallinn·Estonia·1,210
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Flora II and Tartu Welco meet in the Esiliiga A 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Flora II have recorded 16 wins from 35 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 2.23 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Tartu Welco have won 56% of their 36 matches, with 2.58 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Flora II and 2.41 for Tartu Welco. The models give Flora II a 28% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tartu Welco win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 78% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Flora II—
Tartu Welco2º
Position
1º
1.70
PPG
2.25
50%
Win %
70%
2.55
Goals / game
3.10
1.90
Conceded / game
1.30
66%
BTTS %
61%
26%
Clean sheet %
25%
86%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Flora II
Home (10)
—
Tartu Welco
Away (10)
1.60
PPG
2.40
50%
Win %
80%
2.30
Goals / game
3.00
2.30
Conceded / game
0.90
63%
BTTS %
57%
25%
Clean sheet %
29%
100%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Flora II | Home | Away | Tartu Welco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 88% | 79% | 83% | 87% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 69% | 58% | 64% | 80% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 46% | 50% | 42% | 47% | 67% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 13% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Flora II | Home | Away | Tartu Welco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 75% | 74% | 75% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 44% | 42% | 53% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 25% | 26% | 19% | 27% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 20% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Flora II | Tartu Welco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 66% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 39% |
| BTTS | 66% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Flora II | Tartu Welco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 49% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 58% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 66% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Flora II (H)L
Elva1–2
Elva1–2W
Tallinna Kalev5–0
Tallinna Kalev5–0W
Viimsi2–1
Viimsi2–1W
Nõmme Kalju II3–0
Nõmme Kalju II3–0L
Maardu1–3
Maardu1–3L
FCI Levadia II0–4
FCI Levadia II0–4Tartu Welco (A)WViimsi2–0
Viimsi2–0DFCI Levadia II0–0
FCI Levadia II0–0DTallinna Kalev1–1
Tallinna Kalev1–1WNõmme Kalju II4–2
Nõmme Kalju II4–2W
Kose8–0
Kose8–0LElva1–2
Elva1–2Head to Head · 27 matches
13
Flora II
48%
9
Draws
33%
5
Tartu Welco
19%
85%
Over 1.5
23/27
67%
Over 2.5
18/27
59%
Over 3.5
16/27
63%
BTTS
17/27
15/08/26Flora II
Tartu Welco
2–1Flora II17/05/26Flora II
Tartu Welco
3–3Flora II14/03/26Tartu Welco
Flora II
1–6Tartu Welco09/11/25Tartu Welco
Flora II
1–1Tartu Welco14/09/25Flora II
Tartu Welco
0–0Flora II25/05/25Flora II
Tartu Welco
4–2Flora II13/04/25Tartu Welco
Flora II
3–3Tartu Welco10/11/24Tartu Welco
Flora II
0–1Tartu Welco05/08/24Flora II
Tartu Welco
3–5Flora II31/07/24Flora II
Tartu Welco
2–3Flora II06/07/24Flora II
Tartu Welco
2–2Flora II04/05/24Tartu Welco
Flora II
1–1Tartu Welco25/09/21Tartu Welco
Flora II
5–1Tartu Welco01/07/21Tartu Welco
Flora II
1–1Tartu Welco06/03/21Flora II
Tartu Welco
0–0Flora II14/09/19Tartu Welco
Flora II
1–1Tartu Welco26/07/19Flora II
Tartu Welco
0–2Flora II30/05/19Flora II
Tartu Welco
1–5Flora II20/04/19Tartu Welco
Flora II
3–1Tartu Welco26/10/18Flora II
Tartu Welco
0–5Flora II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 62 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | +25 | 50 |
| 3 | Flora II | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +19 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | +5 | 41 |
| 6 | Maardu | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 |  Nõmme United II | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -13 | 33 |
| 9 |  FC Tallinn | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -26 | 32 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -40 | 22 |
Team Insights
Flora II- ●Flora II have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Flora II have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flora II have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Flora II failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Flora II have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Flora II failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flora II have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flora II have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
Tartu Welco- ●Tartu Welco have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Tartu Welco have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tartu Welco have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tartu Welco have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tartu Welco have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tartu Welco failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Tartu Welco have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Tartu Welco have won 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Tartu Welco have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
Flora IIDATallinna Kalev2–2
Tallinna Kalev2–2LHElva1–2
Elva1–2WANõmme Kalju II5–1
Nõmme Kalju II5–1LAFCI Levadia II2–6
FCI Levadia II2–6WHTallinna Kalev5–0
Tallinna Kalev5–0DAElva0–0
Elva0–0–HFC Tallinn10/10
FC Tallinn10/10–AMaardu19/10
Maardu19/10–HNõmme United II22/10
Nõmme United II22/10Tartu WelcoWAViimsi2–0
Viimsi2–0WHNõmme Kalju II3–0
Nõmme Kalju II3–0DAFCI Levadia II0–0
FCI Levadia II0–0DATallinna Kalev1–1
Tallinna Kalev1–1LHViimsi1–3
Viimsi1–3WANõmme Kalju II4–2
Nõmme Kalju II4–2–HElva09/10
Elva09/10–AFC Tallinn15/10
FC Tallinn15/10–HNõmme United II18/10
Nõmme United II18/10Top Scorers
Flora IIM. Kukkonen14 ⚽
K. Lorenz11 ⚽
A. Jakovenko11 ⚽
E. Paltser7 ⚽
5 ⚽
M. Kalimullin4 ⚽
Tartu WelcoK. Laasner29 ⚽
R. Roots9 ⚽
M. Mugra9 ⚽
E. Mottus6 ⚽
H. Kablik5 ⚽
M. Magi5 ⚽
Cards Given
Flora IIK. Isok2 🟨
2 🟨
K. Kalvik1 🟨
R. Raudsalu1 🟨
Tartu Welco