Nõmme United II vs FC Tallinn — Esiliiga A
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Nõmme United II and FC Tallinn meet in the Esiliiga A 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Nõmme United II have recorded 12 wins from 33 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. FC Tallinn have won 31% of their 36 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.14 for Nõmme United II and 1.48 for FC Tallinn. The models give Nõmme United II a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an FC Tallinn win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nõmme United | Home | Away | FC Tallinn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 81% | 100% | 69% | 72% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 44% | 59% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 19% | 35% | 22% | 33% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 19% | 0% | 31% | 28% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Nõmme United | Home | Away | FC Tallinn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 81% | 94% | 89% | 83% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 61% | 44% | 76% | 58% | 56% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 25% | 47% | 39% | 33% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 19% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nõmme United | FC Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 36% |
| BTTS | 79% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nõmme United | FC Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 62 | |
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | +25 | 50 | |
| 3 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +19 | 48 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 48 | |
| 5 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | +5 | 41 | |
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 | |
| 7 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -3 | 37 | |
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 36 | |
| 9 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -26 | 32 | |
| 10 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -41 | 22 |
Team Insights
- ●Nõmme United II have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Nõmme United II have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United II have scored in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United II have scored in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.