Elva vs Nõmme United II — Esiliiga A
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Elva and Nõmme United II meet in the Esiliiga A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Elva have recorded 22 wins from 41 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 1.49 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Nõmme United II have won 35% of their 34 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.09 for Elva and 1.90 for Nõmme United II. The models give Elva a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nõmme United II win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 75%.
Season Statistics
ElvaNõmme United IIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Elva | Home | Away | Nõmme United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 82% | 79% | 88% | 76% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 55% | 63% | 50% | 41% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 34% | 27% | 42% | 26% | 18% | 35% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 18% | 21% | 12% | 24% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Elva | Home | Away | Nõmme United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 73% | 74% | 88% | 82% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 41% | 42% | 59% | 41% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 27% | 21% | 35% | 24% | 47% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 27% | 26% | 12% | 18% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Elva | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 29% |
| BTTS | 56% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Elva | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Elva (H)
Tallinna Kalev3–2
FC Tallinn1–1
Nõmme Kalju II1–0
Flora II0–0
Maardu1–0
Joker3–0Nõmme United (A)Nõmme Kalju II3–2Maardu1–2
Viimsi1–4FC Tallinn1–1Tallinna Kalev1–3FC Tallinn3–4Head to Head · 3 matches
ElvaElvaNõmme United II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tartu Welco | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | +46 | 65 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | +26 | 53 |
| 3 | Flora II | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 48 |
| 5 |  FCI Levadia II | 30 | 14 | 2 | 14 | +6 | 44 |
| 6 | Maardu | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 42 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -4 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -25 | 35 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -41 | 23 |
Team Insights
Elva- ●Elva have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Elva failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Elva failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Elva have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Elva have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
Nõmme United- ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United II have scored in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United II have scored in 15 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
ElvaTartu Welco0–4FC Tallinn1–1Flora II2–1Viimsi0–5Nõmme Kalju II1–0Nõmme United II1–0Nõmme Kalju II18/10FCI Levadia II25/10Maardu29/10Nõmme UnitedFCI Levadia II0–1Nõmme Kalju II3–2Viimsi1–0Tallinna Kalev2–1Maardu1–2Elva0–1Tartu Welco18/10Flora II22/10Maardu25/10Top Scorers
ElvaNõmme UnitedCards Given
ElvaNõmme United