FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev — Esiliiga A
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FC Tallinn and Tallinna Kalev meet in the Esiliiga A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. FC Tallinn have recorded 12 wins from 38 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 2.34 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Tallinna Kalev have won 38% of their 39 matches, with 2.10 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for FC Tallinn and 1.81 for Tallinna Kalev. The models give FC Tallinn a 42% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Tallinna Kalev win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
FC Tallinn—
Tallinna Kalev8º
Position
7º
1.00
PPG
1.25
25%
Win %
35%
1.35
Goals / game
2.00
2.45
Conceded / game
2.00
61%
BTTS %
67%
11%
Clean sheet %
18%
63%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
FC Tallinn
Home (10)
—
Tallinna Kalev
Away (10)
1.20
PPG
0.80
30%
Win %
20%
1.70
Goals / game
1.40
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
58%
BTTS %
60%
16%
Clean sheet %
20%
58%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| FC Tallinn | Home | Away | Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 68% | 68% | 85% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 32% | 37% | 51% | 53% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 32% | 11% | 31% | 37% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 32% | 32% | 15% | 11% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Tallinn | Home | Away | Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 84% | 95% | 82% | 84% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 58% | 58% | 51% | 47% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 37% | 42% | 36% | 32% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 16% | 5% | 18% | 16% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Tallinn | Tallinna Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 97% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 33% |
| BTTS | 61% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Tallinn | Tallinna Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Tallinn (H)L
Laagri0–10
Laagri0–10W
Harju JK Laagri U215–0
Harju JK Laagri U215–0L
FCI Levadia II1–5
FCI Levadia II1–5L
Nõmme Kalju II0–2
Nõmme Kalju II0–2D
Nõmme United II1–1
Nõmme United II1–1W
Flora II1–0
Flora II1–0Tallinna Kalev (A)L
Elva2–3
Elva2–3LNõmme United II1–2
Nõmme United II1–2LFlora II0–5
Flora II0–5WNõmme Kalju II3–0
Nõmme Kalju II3–0W
Viimsi2–1
Viimsi2–1W
Tammeka Tartu U198–0
Tammeka Tartu U198–0Head to Head · 4 matches
0
FC Tallinn
0%
2
Draws
50%
2
Tallinna Kalev
50%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
08/08/26FC Tallinn
Tallinna Kalev
1–1FC Tallinn14/05/26Tallinna Kalev
FC Tallinn
1–1Tallinna Kalev15/03/26FC Tallinn
Tallinna Kalev
5–1FC Tallinn05/03/25Tallinna Kalev
FC Tallinn
0–5Tallinna Kalev| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tartu Welco | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | +46 | 65 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | +26 | 53 |
| 3 | Flora II | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 30 | 14 | 2 | 14 | +6 | 44 |
| 6 |  Maardu | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 42 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -4 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -25 | 35 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | -41 | 23 |
Team Insights
FC Tallinn- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●FC Tallinn have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
Tallinna Kalev- ●Tallinna Kalev have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●62% of Tallinna Kalev's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FC TallinnWAFlora II2–1
Flora II2–1DAElva1–1
Elva1–1LHFCI Levadia II1–5
FCI Levadia II1–5WAViimsi2–1
Viimsi2–1LHNõmme Kalju II0–2
Nõmme Kalju II0–2LAFCI Levadia II1–2
FCI Levadia II1–2–HTartu Welco15/10
Tartu Welco15/10–HViimsi19/10
Viimsi19/10–ANõmme Kalju II24/10
Nõmme Kalju II24/10Tallinna KalevLHViimsi1–2
Viimsi1–2DHFlora II2–2
Flora II2–2LANõmme United II1–2
Nõmme United II1–2DHTartu Welco1–1
Tartu Welco1–1LAFlora II0–5
Flora II0–5LHMaardu1–3
Maardu1–3–HFCI Levadia II19/10
FCI Levadia II19/10–ATartu Welco23/10
Tartu Welco23/10–HNõmme Kalju II29/10
Nõmme Kalju II29/10Top Scorers
FC TallinnD. Ekharts18 ⚽
10 ⚽
L. Arhipov7 ⚽
E. Irha5 ⚽
M. Hansman5 ⚽
K. Nesterov3 ⚽
Tallinna KalevR. Ilves17 ⚽
M. Tomberg8 ⚽
A. Gusarov8 ⚽
O. De Pizzol7 ⚽
7 ⚽
V. Mihhailov6 ⚽
Cards Given
FC Tallinn4 🟨
A. Toropov1 🟨
V. Avilov1 🟨
Tallinna KalevA. Sikk1 🟨
A. Timoska1 🟨
Ander Sikk1 🟨
Artur Sibul1 🟨
D. Petrunin1 🟨
D. Sal-Al-Saller1 🟨