Changwon City vs Gangneung City — K3 League
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Changwon City and Gangneung City meet in the K3 League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Changwon City have recorded 8 wins from 26 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Gangneung City have won 35% of their 26 matches, with 1.04 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Changwon City and 1.07 for Gangneung City. The models give Changwon City a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Gangneung City win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Changwon City—
Gangneung City6º
Position
10º
1.44
PPG
1.11
33%
Win %
28%
1.06
Goals / game
0.89
0.94
Conceded / game
1.50
58%
BTTS %
50%
23%
Clean sheet %
27%
42%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Changwon City
Home (10)
—
Gangneung City
Away (10)
1.50
PPG
1.10
30%
Win %
30%
1.20
Goals / game
1.10
0.90
Conceded / game
1.90
60%
BTTS %
67%
27%
Clean sheet %
17%
40%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Changwon City | Home | Away | Gangneung City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 80% | 64% | 69% | 57% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 27% | 35% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 20% | 36% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Changwon City | Home | Away | Gangneung City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 73% | 82% | 73% | 64% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 27% | 45% | 35% | 14% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 7% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 27% | 18% | 27% | 36% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Changwon City | Gangneung City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Changwon City | Gangneung City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Changwon City (H)L
Pocheon1–3
Pocheon1–3W
Yangpyeong2–1
Yangpyeong2–1L
Daejeon Korail0–1
Daejeon Korail0–1D
Jeonbuk Motors II1–1
Jeonbuk Motors II1–1L
Gimhae City1–5
Gimhae City1–5D
Chuncheon1–1
Chuncheon1–1Gangneung City (A)LDaejeon Korail1–2
Daejeon Korail1–2L
Paju Citizen2–3
Paju Citizen2–3L
Mokpo City1–2
Mokpo City1–2L
Dangjin Citizen2–5
Dangjin Citizen2–5LPocheon1–3
Pocheon1–3W
Ulsan Citizen2–1
Ulsan Citizen2–1Head to Head · 27 matches
11
Changwon City
41%
6
Draws
22%
10
Gangneung City
37%
59%
Over 1.5
16/27
48%
Over 2.5
13/27
15%
Over 3.5
4/27
44%
BTTS
12/27
30/05/26Changwon City
Gangneung City
0–1Changwon City13/09/25Gangneung City
Changwon City
2–1Gangneung City18/05/25Changwon City
Gangneung City
1–0Changwon City05/10/24Changwon City
Gangneung City
1–0Changwon City09/06/24Gangneung City
Changwon City
2–1Gangneung City14/07/23Gangneung City
Changwon City
1–2Gangneung City02/04/23Changwon City
Gangneung City
0–1Changwon City23/09/22Gangneung City
Changwon City
2–0Gangneung City22/05/22Changwon City
Gangneung City
1–2Changwon City21/08/21Changwon City
Gangneung City
0–2Changwon City16/04/21Gangneung City
Changwon City
1–0Gangneung City16/05/20Gangneung City
Changwon City
0–1Gangneung City18/10/19Gangneung City
Changwon City
0–1Gangneung City23/08/19Changwon City
Gangneung City
3–0Changwon City06/07/19Gangneung City
Changwon City
0–1Gangneung City12/04/19Changwon City
Gangneung City
3–0Changwon City31/10/18Gangneung City
Changwon City
1–3Gangneung City25/08/18Changwon City
Gangneung City
1–2Changwon City23/05/18Gangneung City
Changwon City
1–1Gangneung City20/04/18Changwon City
Gangneung City
0–0Changwon City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Siheung Citizen | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | +16 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | +21 | 49 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 41 |
| 4 |  Busan Transportation | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +12 | 40 |
| 5 |  Gyeongju HNP | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | +4 | 36 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 33 |
| 8 | Gangneung City | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 30 |
| 9 | Changwon City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 |  Yeoju Sejong | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 24 | 1 | 7 | 16 | -29 | 10 |
Team Insights
Changwon City- ●Changwon City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Changwon City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Changwon City have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Changwon City have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Changwon City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Changwon City failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Changwon City failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
Gangneung City- ●Gangneung City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gangneung City have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gangneung City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gangneung City have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gangneung City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gangneung City failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Gangneung City failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Gangneung City have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
Season Schedule
Changwon CityLHPocheon1–3
Pocheon1–3WHYangpyeong2–1
Yangpyeong2–1LAGyeongju HNP1–2
Gyeongju HNP1–2LASiheung Citizen1–3
Siheung Citizen1–3LHDaejeon Korail0–1
Daejeon Korail0–1LABusan Transportation3–4
Busan Transportation3–4–AUlsan Citizen01/11
Ulsan Citizen01/11–HGangneung City07/11
Gangneung City07/11Gangneung CityWHSiheung Citizen2–1
Siheung Citizen2–1LADaejeon Korail1–2
Daejeon Korail1–2LHGyeongju HNP0–1
Gyeongju HNP0–1DHBusan Transportation1–1
Busan Transportation1–1WHJeonbuk Motors II2–1
Jeonbuk Motors II2–1WHChuncheon1–0
Chuncheon1–0–HYangpyeong31/10
Yangpyeong31/10–AChangwon City07/11
Changwon City07/11Top Scorers
Changwon CityLee Jong-Hun8 ⚽
6 ⚽
No Geon-Woo3 ⚽
Kim Woo-Hong3 ⚽
J. Lee2 ⚽
B. B. Ko2 ⚽
Gangneung City7 ⚽
Song Tae-seong3 ⚽
W. Kim3 ⚽
J. Son2 ⚽
Kim Kyung-Soo1 ⚽
Jo Geon-Gyu1 ⚽
Cards Given
Changwon CityGangneung CityJ. Son2 🟨