Novorizontino vs Goias — Serie B
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Novorizontino and Goias meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 3 October 2026. Novorizontino have recorded 26 wins from 51 matches this season (51% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Goias have won 43% of their 46 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 37%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Novorizontino and 1.13 for Goias. The models give Novorizontino a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Goias win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Novorizontino—
Goias5º
Position
10º
1.67
PPG
1.42
42%
Win %
42%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
0.92
Conceded / game
1.42
51%
BTTS %
37%
35%
Clean sheet %
39%
55%
Over 2.5 %
33%
6.0
Avg corners
4.6
13.6
Avg shots
11.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
12.4
Avg fouls
13.0
46.4%
Avg possession
53.3%
Home vs Away
Novorizontino
Home (5)
—
Goias
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.83
60%
Win %
17%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
1.67
54%
BTTS %
46%
35%
Clean sheet %
29%
58%
Over 2.5 %
25%
6.0
Avg corners
4.6
13.6
Avg shots
11.2
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
46.4%
Avg possession
53.3%
Goals Scored
| Novorizontino | Home | Away | Goias | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 88% | 68% | 72% | 73% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 54% | 48% | 35% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 19% | 32% | 11% | 23% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 12% | 32% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Novorizontino | Home | Away | Goias | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 65% | 64% | 61% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 4% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 4% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 35% | 36% | 39% | 50% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novorizontino | Goias | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 4% |
| BTTS | 51% | 37% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novorizontino | Goias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 24% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Novorizontino (H)D
Cuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1W
Avai3–1
Avai3–1W
Sport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1W
America Mineiro3–0
America Mineiro3–0L
Juventude0–1
Juventude0–1L
Criciuma0–1
Criciuma0–1Goias (A)L
Vila Nova0–2
Vila Nova0–2DCuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1LCriciuma0–1
Criciuma0–1LAmerica Mineiro0–1
America Mineiro0–1W
Ponte Preta2–1
Ponte Preta2–1D
CRB2–2
CRB2–2Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
40 games
League Avg
10.3
271 games
10.1
Corners / Match
30 games
| Match Corners | Novorizontino | Goias | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 93% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 67% | 66% |
| Over 9 | 70% | 47% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 40% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 35% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 7% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Novorizontino | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 60% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Novorizontino
60%
0
Draws
0%
2
Goias
40%
40%
Over 1.5
2/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
20%
BTTS
1/5
10/06/26Novorizontino
Goias
0–4Novorizontino16/11/25Novorizontino
Goias
1–0Novorizontino23/07/25Goias
Novorizontino
1–0Goias24/11/24Novorizontino
Goias
1–0Novorizontino04/08/24Goias
Novorizontino
2–1Goias| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +23 | 50 |
| 2 | Juventude | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 50 |
| 3 |  Fortaleza EC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 | Vila Nova | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 47 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 |  Atletico Goianiense | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +10 | 46 |
| 7 |  Operario-PR | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +3 | 43 |
| 8 | CRB | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +3 | 40 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | +5 | 40 |
| 12 |  Nautico Recife | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +2 | 37 |
| 13 | Goias | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 |  São Bernardo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 31 |
| 17 | Avai | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | -25 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | -40 | 10 |
Team Insights
Novorizontino- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
Goias- ●Goias failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Goias failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Goias failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Goias have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NovorizontinoDHCuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1WABotafogo SP3–1
Botafogo SP3–1WHAvai3–1
Avai3–1WHSport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1WAAthletic Club4–1
Athletic Club4–1WHAmerica Mineiro3–0
America Mineiro3–0–ACeara18/09
Ceara18/09–HSão Bernardo25/09
São Bernardo25/09–HGoias03/10
Goias03/10GoiasLAVila Nova0–2
Vila Nova0–2LHFortaleza EC0–1
Fortaleza EC0–1WHSão Bernardo2–1
São Bernardo2–1DACuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1LHJuventude0–1
Juventude0–1LACriciuma0–1
Criciuma0–1–HAvai20/09
Avai20/09–HAtletico Goianiense26/09
Atletico Goianiense26/09–ANovorizontino03/10
Novorizontino03/10Top Scorers
NovorizontinoRobson23 ⚽
Romulo12 ⚽
Juninho6 ⚽
Matheus Bianqui5 ⚽
Carlao5 ⚽
Diego Galo4 ⚽
GoiasAnselmo Ramon14 ⚽
Kadu7 ⚽
Luquinhas5 ⚽
Cadu4 ⚽
Jean Carlos4 ⚽
E. Garcia3 ⚽
Cards Given
NovorizontinoPatrick8 🟨
Matheus Bianqui7 🟨
Nilson Castrillón6 🟨
Robson6 🟨
Leo Naldi6 🟨
Juninho5 🟨
GoiasLucas Ribeiro9 🟨
Filipe Machado8 🟨
Nicolas8 🟨
Lucas Lima8 🟨
7 🟨
Luiz Felipe6 🟨