Nautico Recife vs Novorizontino — Serie B
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Nautico Recife and Novorizontino meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 6 October 2026. Nautico Recife have recorded 18 wins from 38 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Novorizontino have won 51% of their 51 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Nautico Recife and 1.30 for Novorizontino. The models give Nautico Recife a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Novorizontino win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Nautico Recife—
Novorizontino7º
Position
5º
1.58
PPG
1.67
50%
Win %
42%
1.33
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.92
39%
BTTS %
51%
37%
Clean sheet %
35%
45%
Over 2.5 %
55%
5.9
Avg corners
6.0
16.1
Avg shots
13.6
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
15.4
Avg fouls
12.4
58.1%
Avg possession
46.4%
Home vs Away
Nautico Recife
Home (6)
—
Novorizontino
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
1.43
50%
Win %
29%
1.00
Goals / game
1.57
0.83
Conceded / game
0.71
17%
BTTS %
48%
50%
Clean sheet %
36%
33%
Over 2.5 %
52%
5.9
Avg corners
6.0
16.1
Avg shots
13.6
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
58.1%
Avg possession
46.4%
Goals Scored
| Nautico Recife | Home | Away | Novorizontino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 61% | 80% | 78% | 88% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 33% | 45% | 51% | 54% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 11% | 30% | 25% | 19% | 32% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 39% | 20% | 22% | 12% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Nautico Recife | Home | Away | Novorizontino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 65% | 65% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 11% | 45% | 22% | 19% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 50% | 25% | 35% | 35% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nautico Recife | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 8% |
| BTTS | 39% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nautico Recife | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Nautico Recife (H)W
Botafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP1–0W
Athletic Club2–1
Athletic Club2–1W
Ceara1–0
Ceara1–0D
Atletico Goianiense1–1
Atletico Goianiense1–1W
Londrina2–1
Londrina2–1D
Juventude0–0
Juventude0–0Novorizontino (A)WBotafogo SP3–1
Botafogo SP3–1WAthletic Club4–1
Athletic Club4–1D
CRB0–0
CRB0–0WLondrina4–1
Londrina4–1L
Fortaleza EC0–1
Fortaleza EC0–1L
Operario-PR1–2
Operario-PR1–2Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
27 games
League Avg
10.3
271 games
11.0
Corners / Match
40 games
| Match Corners | Nautico Recife | Novorizontino | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 75% | 66% |
| Over 9 | 52% | 70% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 48% | 60% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 37% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 35% | 25% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 25% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nautico Recife | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 52% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 41% | 50% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Nautico Recife
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Novorizontino
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
100%
Over 3.5
3/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
14/06/26Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2–2Nautico Recife15/10/22Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
6–0Nautico Recife02/07/22Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
3–1Novorizontino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +23 | 50 |
| 2 | Juventude | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 50 |
| 3 | Fortaleza EC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  Vila Nova | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 47 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +10 | 46 |
| 7 | Operario-PR | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +3 | 43 |
| 8 | CRB | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +3 | 40 |
| 11 |  Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | +5 | 40 |
| 12 | Nautico Recife | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +2 | 37 |
| 13 |  Goias | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 |  São Bernardo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 35 |
| 15 | Ceara | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 31 |
| 17 |  Avai | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 | Londrina | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | -25 | 17 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | -40 | 10 |
Team Insights
Nautico Recife- ●Nautico Recife have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Nautico Recife have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Nautico Recife have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nautico Recife have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Nautico Recife have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●70% of Nautico Recife's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Nautico Recife have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Novorizontino- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Nautico RecifeLAAmerica Mineiro1–2
America Mineiro1–2WHBotafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP1–0WHAthletic Club2–1
Athletic Club2–1DASão Bernardo1–1
São Bernardo1–1WHCeara1–0
Ceara1–0DAPonte Preta1–1
Ponte Preta1–1–HOperario-PR15/09
Operario-PR15/09–ACuiaba22/09
Cuiaba22/09–HSport Recife26/09
Sport Recife26/09NovorizontinoDHCuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1WABotafogo SP3–1
Botafogo SP3–1WHAvai3–1
Avai3–1WHSport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1WAAthletic Club4–1
Athletic Club4–1WHAmerica Mineiro3–0
America Mineiro3–0–ACeara18/09
Ceara18/09–HSão Bernardo25/09
São Bernardo25/09–HGoias03/10
Goias03/10Top Scorers
Nautico RecifePaulo Sergio9 ⚽
Vinicius9 ⚽
Dodo8 ⚽
Kauan Maranhao3 ⚽
Junior Todinho3 ⚽
Derek3 ⚽
NovorizontinoRobson23 ⚽
Romulo12 ⚽
Juninho6 ⚽
Matheus Bianqui5 ⚽
Carlao5 ⚽
Diego Galo4 ⚽
Cards Given
Nautico RecifeLuiz Felipe9 🟨
Wenderson7 🟨
Mateus Silva6 🟨
Samuel6 🟨
Arnaldo6 🟨
Victor Andrade5 🟨
NovorizontinoPatrick8 🟨
Matheus Bianqui7 🟨
Nilson Castrillón6 🟨
Robson6 🟨
Leo Naldi6 🟨
Juninho5 🟨