Cuiaba vs Avai — Serie B
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Cuiaba and Avai meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Cuiaba have recorded 12 wins from 44 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Avai have won 41% of their 51 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Cuiaba and 1.01 for Avai. The models give Cuiaba a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Avai win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Cuiaba—
Avai14º
Position
17º
1.33
PPG
0.83
25%
Win %
17%
0.67
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.42
39%
BTTS %
51%
32%
Clean sheet %
29%
25%
Over 2.5 %
55%
5.0
Avg corners
3.8
12.9
Avg shots
11.2
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.4
15.0
Avg fouls
14.0
47.4%
Avg possession
47.0%
Home vs Away
Cuiaba
Home (6)
—
Avai
Away (5)
1.17
PPG
0.80
17%
Win %
20%
0.67
Goals / game
1.00
0.67
Conceded / game
1.60
38%
BTTS %
65%
43%
Clean sheet %
12%
24%
Over 2.5 %
62%
5.0
Avg corners
3.8
12.9
Avg shots
11.2
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.4
47.4%
Avg possession
47.0%
Goals Scored
| Cuiaba | Home | Away | Avai | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 43% | 76% | 76% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 29% | 26% | 45% | 52% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 24% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 33% | 57% | 24% | 24% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Cuiaba | Home | Away | Avai | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 57% | 78% | 71% | 52% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 14% | 22% | 37% | 24% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 43% | 22% | 29% | 48% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cuiaba | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 2% | 8% |
| BTTS | 39% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cuiaba | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 66% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 34% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 49% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 45% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Cuiaba (H)W
Athletic Club3–0
Athletic Club3–0D
Goias1–1
Goias1–1W
Operario-PR1–0
Operario-PR1–0D
Fortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1L
Atletico Goianiense0–1
Atletico Goianiense0–1W
America Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0Avai (A)LFortaleza EC0–1
Fortaleza EC0–1L
Novorizontino1–3
Novorizontino1–3W
Ponte Preta2–0
Ponte Preta2–0WOperario-PR2–1
Operario-PR2–1L
Juventude0–1
Juventude0–1D
São Bernardo1–1
São Bernardo1–1Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
28 games
League Avg
10.3
271 games
9.6
Corners / Match
26 games
| Match Corners | Cuiaba | Avai | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 77% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 68% | 69% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 54% | 62% | 66% |
| Over 9 | 39% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 38% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 23% | 25% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 15% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cuiaba | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 54% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 62% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
4
Cuiaba
57%
1
Draws
14%
2
Avai
29%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
21/06/26Cuiaba
Avai
1–0Cuiaba10/08/25Cuiaba
Avai
2–0Cuiaba11/04/25Avai
Cuiaba
2–2Avai27/10/22Avai
Cuiaba
1–0Avai03/07/22Cuiaba
Avai
1–2Cuiaba28/11/20Avai
Cuiaba
2–1Avai22/08/20Cuiaba
Avai
0–2Cuiaba| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +23 | 50 |
| 2 | Juventude | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 50 |
| 3 | Fortaleza EC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 |  Vila Nova | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 47 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +10 | 46 |
| 7 | Operario-PR | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +3 | 43 |
| 8 |  CRB | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +3 | 40 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | +5 | 40 |
| 12 |  Nautico Recife | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +2 | 37 |
| 13 | Goias | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | São Bernardo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 31 |
| 17 | Avai | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | -25 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | -40 | 10 |
Team Insights
Cuiaba- ●Cuiaba have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cuiaba have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cuiaba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Cuiaba have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Cuiaba failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
Avai- ●Avai have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Avai have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Avai have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Avai failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Avai have lost 9 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Avai have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
CuiabaDANovorizontino1–1
Novorizontino1–1WHAthletic Club3–0
Athletic Club3–0LACriciuma0–2
Criciuma0–2WABotafogo SP2–1
Botafogo SP2–1DHGoias1–1
Goias1–1WHOperario-PR1–0
Operario-PR1–0–HNautico Recife22/09
Nautico Recife22/09–ACRB27/09
CRB27/09–HPonte Preta03/10
Ponte Preta03/10AvaiLAFortaleza EC0–1
Fortaleza EC0–1LANovorizontino1–3
Novorizontino1–3LHAtletico Goianiense0–1
Atletico Goianiense0–1WAPonte Preta2–0
Ponte Preta2–0WHSport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1WAOperario-PR2–1
Operario-PR2–1–HVila Nova15/09
Vila Nova15/09–AGoias20/09
Goias20/09–ACriciuma27/09
Criciuma27/09Top Scorers
CuiabaEliel5 ⚽
Vinicius Peixoto4 ⚽
Calebe Costa3 ⚽
Kauan Cristtyan3 ⚽
Jean Dias2 ⚽
Fabio Gomes2 ⚽
AvaiDaniel Penha8 ⚽
Jean Lucas8 ⚽
Thayllon8 ⚽
Wallison5 ⚽
Walace Franca4 ⚽
Luiz Henrique4 ⚽
Cards Given
CuiabaDavid7 🟨
Gabriel Knesowitsch4 🟨
Eric4 🟨
Calebe Costa3 🟨
Marlon Lopes3 🟨
Pepe3 🟨
AvaiWallison12 🟨
11 🟨
Paulo Vitor10 🟨
Douglas Teixeira9 🟨
Luiz Henrique9 🟨
Allyson8 🟨