Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta — Serie B
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Novorizontino and Ponte Preta meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Novorizontino have recorded 26 wins from 51 matches this season (51% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Ponte Preta have won 8% of their 37 matches, with 0.54 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Novorizontino and 0.89 for Ponte Preta. The models give Novorizontino a 64% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Ponte Preta win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Novorizontino—
Ponte Preta5º
Position
19º
1.67
PPG
0.67
42%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
0.83
0.92
Conceded / game
1.83
51%
BTTS %
38%
35%
Clean sheet %
8%
55%
Over 2.5 %
41%
6.0
Avg corners
4.6
13.6
Avg shots
10.3
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.7
12.4
Avg fouls
16.2
46.4%
Avg possession
42.8%
Home vs Away
Novorizontino
Home (5)
—
Ponte Preta
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.60
60%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
2.20
54%
BTTS %
22%
35%
Clean sheet %
0%
58%
Over 2.5 %
44%
6.0
Avg corners
4.6
13.6
Avg shots
10.3
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.7
46.4%
Avg possession
42.8%
Goals Scored
| Novorizontino | Home | Away | Ponte Preta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 88% | 68% | 43% | 63% | 22% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 54% | 48% | 11% | 5% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 19% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 12% | 32% | 57% | 37% | 78% |
Goals Conceded
| Novorizontino | Home | Away | Ponte Preta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 65% | 64% | 92% | 84% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 19% | 24% | 65% | 53% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 4% | 12% | 22% | 11% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 35% | 36% | 8% | 16% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novorizontino | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 11% |
| BTTS | 51% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novorizontino | Ponte Preta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 51% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 5% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 59% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 19% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Novorizontino (H)D
Cuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1W
Avai3–1
Avai3–1W
Sport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1W
America Mineiro3–0
America Mineiro3–0L
Juventude0–1
Juventude0–1L
Criciuma0–1
Criciuma0–1Ponte Preta (A)LSport Recife0–2
Sport Recife0–2LAmerica Mineiro0–2
America Mineiro0–2L
Vila Nova0–6
Vila Nova0–6L
Ceara0–2
Ceara0–2L
Operario-PR2–3
Operario-PR2–3L
Fortaleza EC0–2
Fortaleza EC0–2Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
40 games
League Avg
10.3
271 games
10.4
Corners / Match
36 games
| Match Corners | Novorizontino | Ponte Preta | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 86% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 69% | 66% |
| Over 9 | 70% | 61% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 39% | 36% |
| Over 12 | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 19% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Novorizontino | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 53% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
6
Novorizontino
38%
5
Draws
31%
5
Ponte Preta
31%
69%
Over 1.5
11/16
13%
Over 2.5
2/16
0%
Over 3.5
0/16
31%
BTTS
5/16
22/06/26Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
0–2Novorizontino15/01/25Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
0–1Ponte Preta01/10/24Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
2–1Ponte Preta15/06/24Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
1–0Novorizontino03/03/24Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
1–1Novorizontino28/10/23Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
2–0Ponte Preta02/07/23Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
1–0Novorizontino08/04/23Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
0–0Novorizontino05/04/23Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
1–1Ponte Preta01/02/23Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
3–0Ponte Preta26/08/22Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
1–1Ponte Preta13/05/22Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
0–1Novorizontino02/02/22Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2–0Novorizontino20/05/21Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
2–0Ponte Preta27/02/21Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
1–1Ponte Preta22/07/20Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2–0Novorizontino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +23 | 50 |
| 2 | Juventude | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 50 |
| 3 | Fortaleza EC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 | Vila Nova | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 47 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 |  Atletico Goianiense | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +10 | 46 |
| 7 | Operario-PR | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +3 | 43 |
| 8 |  CRB | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | +3 | 40 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | +5 | 40 |
| 12 |  Nautico Recife | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +2 | 37 |
| 13 |  Goias | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 |  São Bernardo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 35 |
| 15 | Ceara | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 31 |
| 17 | Avai | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | -25 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | -40 | 10 |
Team Insights
Novorizontino- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
Ponte Preta- ●Ponte Preta have failed to win in their last 21 matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Ponte Preta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have failed to win in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Ponte Preta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have lost their last 10 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have lost 9 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Ponte Preta failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have lost 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NovorizontinoDHCuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1WABotafogo SP3–1
Botafogo SP3–1WHAvai3–1
Avai3–1WHSport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1WAAthletic Club4–1
Athletic Club4–1WHAmerica Mineiro3–0
America Mineiro3–0–ACeara18/09
Ceara18/09–HSão Bernardo25/09
São Bernardo25/09–HGoias03/10
Goias03/10Ponte PretaLASport Recife0–2
Sport Recife0–2LHSão Bernardo0–2
São Bernardo0–2LAAmerica Mineiro0–2
America Mineiro0–2LHAvai0–2
Avai0–2LAVila Nova0–6
Vila Nova0–6DHNautico Recife1–1
Nautico Recife1–1–ALondrina15/09
Londrina15/09–HCRB20/09
CRB20/09–ABotafogo SP29/09
Botafogo SP29/09Top Scorers
NovorizontinoRobson23 ⚽
Romulo12 ⚽
Juninho6 ⚽
Matheus Bianqui5 ⚽
Carlao5 ⚽
Diego Galo4 ⚽
Ponte PretaBrandao3 ⚽
Bryan Borges3 ⚽
Willian Pottker2 ⚽
Elvis2 ⚽
David da Hora1 ⚽
Danilo Barcelos1 ⚽
Cards Given
NovorizontinoPatrick8 🟨
Matheus Bianqui7 🟨
Nilson Castrillón6 🟨
Robson6 🟨
Leo Naldi6 🟨
Juninho5 🟨
Ponte PretaLucas Cunha10 🟨
Sergio Palacios7 🟨
Luis Phelipe6 🟨
Marcio Silva5 🟨
Elvis5 🟨
Julio5 🟨