Goias vs Nautico Recife — Serie B
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Goias and Nautico Recife meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 19 October 2026. Goias have recorded 24 wins from 52 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 0.98 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Nautico Recife have won 43% of their 44 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Goias and 1.38 for Nautico Recife. The models give Goias a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Nautico Recife win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Goias—
Nautico Recife10º
Position
7º
1.42
PPG
1.58
42%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.33
1.42
Conceded / game
1.00
38%
BTTS %
41%
37%
Clean sheet %
32%
37%
Over 2.5 %
45%
4.6
Avg corners
5.8
12.3
Avg shots
15.5
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
13.1
Avg fouls
15.7
53.9%
Avg possession
57.3%
Home vs Away
Goias
Home (6)
—
Nautico Recife
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.67
67%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.17
Conceded / game
1.17
32%
BTTS %
59%
44%
Clean sheet %
23%
44%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.6
Avg corners
5.8
12.3
Avg shots
15.5
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
53.9%
Avg possession
57.3%
Goals Scored
| Goias | Home | Away | Nautico Recife | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 72% | 70% | 68% | 59% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 37% | 39% | 36% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 20% | 4% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 28% | 30% | 32% | 41% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Goias | Home | Away | Nautico Recife | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 56% | 70% | 68% | 59% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 16% | 30% | 34% | 23% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 8% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 44% | 30% | 32% | 41% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Goias | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 11% |
| BTTS | 38% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Goias | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Goias (H)W
Athletic Club2–1
Athletic Club2–1L
Atletico Goianiense0–1
Atletico Goianiense0–1W
Avai2–1
Avai2–1L
Fortaleza EC0–1
Fortaleza EC0–1W
São Bernardo2–1
São Bernardo2–1L
Juventude0–1
Juventude0–1Nautico Recife (A)DFortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1L
Cuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3L
America Mineiro1–2
America Mineiro1–2DSão Bernardo1–1
São Bernardo1–1D
Ponte Preta1–1
Ponte Preta1–1D
Criciuma0–0
Criciuma0–0Number of Corners
10.3
Corners / Match
36 games
League Avg
10.4
327 games
10.2
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Goias | Nautico Recife | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 91% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 70% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 64% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 52% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 18% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 15% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Goias | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 61% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 42% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 61% | 42% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
6
Goias
67%
0
Draws
0%
3
Nautico Recife
33%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
28/06/26Goias
Nautico Recife
0–1Goias06/10/21Goias
Nautico Recife
3–2Goias10/07/21Nautico Recife
Goias
0–1Nautico Recife07/10/17Nautico Recife
Goias
2–0Nautico Recife20/06/17Goias
Nautico Recife
2–3Goias08/11/16Goias
Nautico Recife
1–0Goias16/07/16Nautico Recife
Goias
4–2Nautico Recife27/10/13Goias
Nautico Recife
0–2Goias08/08/13Nautico Recife
Goias
2–1Nautico Recife| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 61 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 |
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 57 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 |  CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 |  Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +1 | 43 |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 29 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | -55 | 13 |
Team Insights
Goias- ●Goias have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Goias failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Goias failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Goias failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
Nautico Recife- ●Nautico Recife have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nautico Recife have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GoiasWAOperario-PR2–0
Operario-PR2–0WHAthletic Club2–1
Athletic Club2–1LANovorizontino0–3
Novorizontino0–3LHAtletico Goianiense0–1
Atletico Goianiense0–1WHAvai2–1
Avai2–1WABotafogo SP3–1
Botafogo SP3–1–HNautico Recife19/10
Nautico Recife19/10–ACeara27/10
Ceara27/10–HCRB02/11
CRB02/11Nautico RecifeLHVila Nova0–2
Vila Nova0–2LHNovorizontino0–2
Novorizontino0–2DAFortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1WHSport Recife3–1
Sport Recife3–1LACuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3DHOperario-PR3–3
Operario-PR3–3–AGoias19/10
Goias19/10–AJuventude26/10
Juventude26/10–HAvai31/10
Avai31/10Top Scorers
GoiasAnselmo Ramon14 ⚽
Kadu7 ⚽
Jean Carlos6 ⚽
Luquinhas5 ⚽
Cadu4 ⚽
E. Garcia3 ⚽
Nautico RecifeVinicius12 ⚽
Paulo Sergio9 ⚽
Dodo8 ⚽
Junior Todinho3 ⚽
Derek3 ⚽
Jean Carlos3 ⚽
Cards Given
GoiasLucas Ribeiro10 🟨
Lucas Lima9 🟨
Filipe Machado9 🟨
Luiz Felipe9 🟨
Nicolas8 🟨
7 🟨
Nautico RecifeLuiz Felipe9 🟨
Samuel8 🟨
Wenderson7 🟨
Mateus Silva6 🟨
Arnaldo6 🟨
Igor Fernandes5 🟨