São Bernardo vs Criciuma — Serie B
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São Bernardo and Criciuma meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 17 October 2026. São Bernardo have recorded 15 wins from 46 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Criciuma have won 46% of their 41 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 0.98 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 34%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for São Bernardo and 1.01 for Criciuma. The models give São Bernardo a 38% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Criciuma win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| São Bernardo | Home | Away | Criciuma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 67% | 86% | 73% | 85% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 25% | 36% | 32% | 40% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 18% | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 33% | 14% | 27% | 15% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| São Bernardo | Home | Away | Criciuma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 71% | 73% | 61% | 55% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 29% | 27% | 39% | 45% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| São Bernardo | Criciuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 7% |
| BTTS | 52% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| São Bernardo | Criciuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 49% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | São Bernardo | Criciuma | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 82% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 61% | 66% |
| Over 9 | 65% | 57% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 57% | 57% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 46% | 39% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 30% | 32% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 25% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | São Bernardo | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.2 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 59% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 76% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 36% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 51 | |
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 50 | |
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +12 | 50 | |
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 | |
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 47 | |
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +9 | 46 | |
| 7 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +3 | 44 | |
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +10 | 44 | |
| 10 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +9 | 41 | |
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 41 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | +5 | 40 | |
| 13 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 39 | |
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 38 | |
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 | |
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -4 | 32 | |
| 17 | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 30 | |
| 18 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 28 | |
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | -28 | 17 | |
| 20 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | -46 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●São Bernardo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●São Bernardo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●São Bernardo have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●São Bernardo have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have won 8 of their 14 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of São Bernardo's points have been earned away.
- ●Criciuma have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Criciuma have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Criciuma failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Criciuma have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Criciuma have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●68% of Criciuma's goals conceded were conceded away.