Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC — Serie B
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Sport Recife and Fortaleza EC meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Sport Recife have recorded 24 wins from 51 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Fortaleza EC have won 52% of their 56 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 34%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Sport Recife and 0.89 for Fortaleza EC. The models give Sport Recife a 47% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Fortaleza EC win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Sport Recife—
Fortaleza EC3º
Position
4º
1.92
PPG
1.75
50%
Win %
50%
1.33
Goals / game
1.25
0.67
Conceded / game
0.92
53%
BTTS %
41%
39%
Clean sheet %
48%
53%
Over 2.5 %
34%
4.9
Avg corners
5.5
13.5
Avg shots
14.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
13.5
Avg fouls
14.3
55.2%
Avg possession
48.4%
Home vs Away
Sport Recife
Home (7)
—
Fortaleza EC
Away (7)
1.71
PPG
1.14
43%
Win %
29%
1.43
Goals / game
0.43
0.86
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
28%
39%
Clean sheet %
55%
57%
Over 2.5 %
21%
4.9
Avg corners
5.5
13.5
Avg shots
14.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
55.2%
Avg possession
48.4%
Goals Scored
| Sport Recife | Home | Away | Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 96% | 70% | 77% | 93% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 64% | 22% | 30% | 48% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 29% | 9% | 11% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 4% | 30% | 23% | 7% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Sport Recife | Home | Away | Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 61% | 61% | 52% | 59% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 29% | 35% | 21% | 22% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 39% | 39% | 48% | 41% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sport Recife | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS | 53% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sport Recife | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Sport Recife (H)W
Juventude2–1
Juventude2–1W
Ponte Preta2–0
Ponte Preta2–0W
America Mineiro3–0
America Mineiro3–0W
Londrina2–1
Londrina2–1D
Cuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1D
Operario-PR2–2
Operario-PR2–2Fortaleza EC (A)W
Goias1–0
Goias1–0W
Criciuma2–0
Criciuma2–0DJuventude0–0
Juventude0–0DCuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1L
Palmeiras0–3
Palmeiras0–3L
Vila Nova1–2
Vila Nova1–2Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
31 games
League Avg
10.2
282 games
9.6
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Sport Recife | Fortaleza EC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 84% | 76% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 84% | 64% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 68% | 55% | 66% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 52% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 42% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 30% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 26% | 24% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 23% | 24% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sport Recife | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 52% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 74% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 52% | 39% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
2
Sport Recife
13%
4
Draws
25%
10
Fortaleza EC
63%
50%
Over 1.5
8/16
19%
Over 2.5
3/16
6%
Over 3.5
1/16
31%
BTTS
5/16
28/06/26Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
2–1Sport Recife28/05/26Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
0–2Fortaleza EC21/05/26Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1–2Sport Recife30/04/26Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
2–0Sport Recife27/09/25Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1–0Sport Recife26/04/25Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
0–0Fortaleza EC05/02/25Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
0–2Fortaleza EC26/05/24Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
1–4Fortaleza EC22/02/24Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
1–1Fortaleza EC03/04/22Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1–0Sport Recife01/04/22Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
1–1Fortaleza EC26/09/21Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
0–1Fortaleza EC13/06/21Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1–0Sport Recife06/01/21Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
1–0Fortaleza EC09/09/20Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1–0Sport Recife25/07/20Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
0–0Sport Recife| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 50 |
| 3 | Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +12 | 50 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 |  Atletico Goianiense | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 |  CRB | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +3 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +10 | 44 |
| 10 |  São Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +9 | 41 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 41 |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | +5 | 40 |
| 13 | Goias | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 39 |
| 14 |  Nautico Recife | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 38 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -4 | 32 |
| 17 |  Avai | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 28 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | -28 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | -46 | 10 |
Team Insights
Sport Recife- ●Sport Recife have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Sport Recife have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sport Recife have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Sport Recife have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sport Recife have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sport Recife have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sport Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Sport Recife have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Sport Recife have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●67% of Sport Recife's goals have been scored at home.
Fortaleza EC- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●71% of Fortaleza EC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Fortaleza EC have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sport RecifeWHJuventude2–1
Juventude2–1LACRB1–2
CRB1–2WHPonte Preta2–0
Ponte Preta2–0LACeara1–2
Ceara1–2LANovorizontino1–2
Novorizontino1–2WHAmerica Mineiro3–0
America Mineiro3–0–ANautico Recife26/09
Nautico Recife26/09–AAthletic Club03/10
Athletic Club03/10–HSão Bernardo06/10
São Bernardo06/10Fortaleza ECDHCeara1–1
Ceara1–1WHAvai1–0
Avai1–0WAGoias1–0
Goias1–0DHOperario-PR1–1
Operario-PR1–1WACriciuma2–0
Criciuma2–0DHSão Bernardo1–1
São Bernardo1–1–HAthletic Club27/09
Athletic Club27/09–HNautico Recife03/10
Nautico Recife03/10–AAmerica Mineiro06/10
America Mineiro06/10Top Scorers
Sport RecifePedro Perotti13 ⚽
Chrystian Barletta12 ⚽
Iury Castilho8 ⚽
Marcelo Ajul4 ⚽
Biel Fonseca3 ⚽
Gustavo Coutinho3 ⚽
Fortaleza ECJ. B. Miritello11 ⚽
Vitinho9 ⚽
Mailton7 ⚽
Luiz Fernando6 ⚽
A. Bareiro3 ⚽
Rodrigo3 ⚽
Cards Given
Sport RecifeYago Felipe9 🟨
Marcelo Ajul7 🟨
7 🟨
Chrystian Barletta7 🟨
Iury Castilho6 🟨
Felipinho6 🟨
Fortaleza ECPierre12 🟨
Luiz Fernando10 🟨
Lucas Gazal10 🟨
Emanuel Brítez8 🟨
Maílton7 🟨
Rodriguinho7 🟨