Vila Nova vs Novorizontino — Serie B
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Vila Nova and Novorizontino meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Vila Nova have recorded 24 wins from 50 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.98 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Novorizontino have won 50% of their 52 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Vila Nova and 1.30 for Novorizontino. The models give Vila Nova a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Novorizontino win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Vila Nova—
Novorizontino1º
Position
5º
2.08
PPG
1.67
58%
Win %
42%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.92
Conceded / game
0.92
44%
BTTS %
52%
36%
Clean sheet %
35%
42%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.7
Avg corners
6.0
13.1
Avg shots
13.8
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
14.8
Avg fouls
12.4
51.8%
Avg possession
46.6%
Home vs Away
Vila Nova
Home (6)
—
Novorizontino
Away (7)
2.33
PPG
1.43
67%
Win %
29%
1.67
Goals / game
1.57
0.83
Conceded / game
0.71
52%
BTTS %
50%
44%
Clean sheet %
35%
52%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.7
Avg corners
6.0
13.1
Avg shots
13.8
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
51.8%
Avg possession
46.6%
Goals Scored
| Vila Nova | Home | Away | Novorizontino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 84% | 56% | 79% | 88% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 60% | 36% | 50% | 54% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 24% | 8% | 25% | 19% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 16% | 44% | 21% | 12% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Vila Nova | Home | Away | Novorizontino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 56% | 72% | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 28% | 23% | 19% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 44% | 28% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vila Nova | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS | 44% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 34% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vila Nova | Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Vila Nova (H)W
America Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0W
Goias2–0
Goias2–0W
Ceara2–0
Ceara2–0W
Ponte Preta6–0
Ponte Preta6–0L
Sport Recife0–1
Sport Recife0–1W
Fortaleza EC2–1
Fortaleza EC2–1Novorizontino (A)LCeara1–2
Ceara1–2W
Botafogo SP3–1
Botafogo SP3–1W
Athletic Club4–1
Athletic Club4–1D
CRB0–0
CRB0–0W
Londrina4–1
Londrina4–1LFortaleza EC0–1
Fortaleza EC0–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
31 games
League Avg
10.2
282 games
11.0
Corners / Match
41 games
| Match Corners | Vila Nova | Novorizontino | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 87% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 74% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 65% | 76% | 66% |
| Over 9 | 52% | 71% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 61% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 26% | 49% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 34% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 24% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Vila Nova | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 74% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 61% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 39% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 49% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Vila Nova
22%
3
Draws
33%
4
Novorizontino
44%
78%
Over 1.5
7/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
67%
BTTS
6/9
26/06/26Vila Nova
Novorizontino
2–1Vila Nova28/09/25Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1–1Vila Nova30/05/25Novorizontino
Vila Nova
0–1Novorizontino31/08/24Vila Nova
Novorizontino
2–0Vila Nova14/05/24Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2–1Novorizontino30/07/23Vila Nova
Novorizontino
3–1Vila Nova15/04/23Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2–1Novorizontino30/07/22Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1–1Vila Nova12/04/22Novorizontino
Vila Nova
0–0Novorizontino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +22 | 50 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +12 | 50 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 |  Atletico Goianiense | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 | CRB | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 8 |  Operario-PR | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +3 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +10 | 44 |
| 10 |  São Bernardo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +9 | 41 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 41 |
| 12 |  Cuiaba | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | +5 | 40 |
| 13 | Goias | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 39 |
| 14 |  Nautico Recife | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 38 |
| 15 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -4 | 32 |
| 17 |  Avai | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 28 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | -28 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | -46 | 10 |
Team Insights
Vila Nova- ●Vila Nova have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Vila Nova have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●71% of Vila Nova's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Vila Nova's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Vila Nova have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Novorizontino- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
Vila NovaWHAmerica Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0DAAvai1–1
Avai1–1WHGoias2–0
Goias2–0LAAthletic Club0–5
Athletic Club0–5WHCeara2–0
Ceara2–0DAOperario-PR0–0
Operario-PR0–0–HLondrina25/09
Londrina25/09–ABotafogo SP03/10
Botafogo SP03/10–HCuiaba06/10
Cuiaba06/10NovorizontinoLACeara1–2
Ceara1–2DHCuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1WABotafogo SP3–1
Botafogo SP3–1WHAvai3–1
Avai3–1WHSport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1WAAthletic Club4–1
Athletic Club4–1–HSão Bernardo25/09
São Bernardo25/09–HGoias03/10
Goias03/10–ANautico Recife06/10
Nautico Recife06/10Top Scorers
Vila NovaDellatorre10 ⚽
Joao Vieira8 ⚽
8 ⚽
Janderson7 ⚽
Andre Luis6 ⚽
Rafa Silva5 ⚽
NovorizontinoRobson23 ⚽
Romulo12 ⚽
Juninho6 ⚽
Matheus Bianqui5 ⚽
Carlao5 ⚽
Diego Galo4 ⚽
Cards Given
Vila NovaPedro Romano9 🟨
Tiago Pagnussat8 🟨
8 🟨
Hayner6 🟨
Higor6 🟨
João Vieira6 🟨
NovorizontinoPatrick8 🟨
Robson7 🟨
Matheus Bianqui7 🟨
Nilson Castrillón6 🟨
Leo Naldi6 🟨
Juninho6 🟨