Avai vs Botafogo SP — Serie B
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Avai and Botafogo SP meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Avai have recorded 23 wins from 57 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Botafogo SP have won 34% of their 41 matches, with 1.02 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Avai and 0.83 for Botafogo SP. The models give Avai a 45% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Botafogo SP win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Avai—
Botafogo SP17º
Position
16º
0.83
PPG
0.83
17%
Win %
17%
1.00
Goals / game
0.92
1.42
Conceded / game
1.00
51%
BTTS %
44%
28%
Clean sheet %
27%
54%
Over 2.5 %
37%
3.9
Avg corners
6.3
10.7
Avg shots
12.6
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.5
13.8
Avg fouls
15.1
45.9%
Avg possession
48.9%
Home vs Away
Avai
Home (7)
—
Botafogo SP
Away (7)
0.86
PPG
0.71
14%
Win %
14%
1.00
Goals / game
0.43
1.29
Conceded / game
0.86
39%
BTTS %
25%
43%
Clean sheet %
30%
46%
Over 2.5 %
25%
3.9
Avg corners
6.3
10.7
Avg shots
12.6
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.5
45.9%
Avg possession
48.9%
Goals Scored
| Avai | Home | Away | Botafogo SP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 76% | 63% | 86% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 34% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 21% | 0% | 10% | 14% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 24% | 37% | 14% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Avai | Home | Away | Botafogo SP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 57% | 86% | 73% | 76% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 21% | 52% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 10% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 43% | 14% | 27% | 24% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Avai | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 7% |
| BTTS | 51% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Avai | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 59% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Avai (H)W
Londrina2–1
Londrina2–1L
Ceara0–1
Ceara0–1D
Vila Nova1–1
Vila Nova1–1L
Atletico Goianiense0–1
Atletico Goianiense0–1W
Sport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1L
CRB0–1
CRB0–1Botafogo SP (A)W
Operario-PR2–1
Operario-PR2–1D
Athletic Club1–1
Athletic Club1–1L
Nautico Recife0–1
Nautico Recife0–1LAtletico Goianiense0–3
Atletico Goianiense0–3W
São Bernardo1–0
São Bernardo1–0L
Fortaleza EC0–1
Fortaleza EC0–1Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
32 games
League Avg
10.4
325 games
12.4
Corners / Match
39 games
| Match Corners | Avai | Botafogo SP | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 81% | 92% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 82% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 74% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 69% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 67% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 59% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 49% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 33% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Avai | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 66% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 47% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 34% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 94% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 81% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 66% | 72% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
4
Avai
44%
3
Draws
33%
2
Botafogo SP
22%
56%
Over 1.5
5/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
06/07/26Avai
Botafogo SP
3–1Avai23/11/25Avai
Botafogo SP
0–0Avai28/07/25Botafogo SP
Avai
5–0Botafogo SP19/11/24Avai
Botafogo SP
1–3Avai31/07/24Botafogo SP
Avai
1–1Botafogo SP07/10/23Avai
Botafogo SP
0–1Avai11/06/23Botafogo SP
Avai
1–1Botafogo SP23/11/20Avai
Botafogo SP
0–1Avai18/08/20Botafogo SP
Avai
0–1Botafogo SP| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 61 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 57 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 |  Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 |  Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -7 | 28 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | -55 | 13 |
Team Insights
Avai- ●Avai have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Avai failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Avai failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Avai failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Avai have lost 11 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Avai have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
Botafogo SP- ●Botafogo SP have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Botafogo SP failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Botafogo SP have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Botafogo SP failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●70% of Botafogo SP's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
AvaiWACuiaba1–0
Cuiaba1–0WHLondrina2–1
Londrina2–1LHCeara0–1
Ceara0–1LACriciuma0–3
Criciuma0–3LAGoias1–2
Goias1–2DHVila Nova1–1
Vila Nova1–1–HAthletic Club18/10
Athletic Club18/10–HBotafogo SP24/10
Botafogo SP24/10–ANautico Recife31/10
Nautico Recife31/10Botafogo SPWHCeara1–0
Ceara1–0WAOperario-PR2–1
Operario-PR2–1LHVila Nova0–1
Vila Nova0–1WHPonte Preta2–0
Ponte Preta2–0DAAthletic Club1–1
Athletic Club1–1LHGoias1–3
Goias1–3–ACRB18/10
CRB18/10–AAvai24/10
Avai24/10–HSport Recife31/10
Sport Recife31/10Top Scorers
AvaiDaniel Penha11 ⚽
Jean Lucas8 ⚽
Thayllon8 ⚽
Wallison5 ⚽
Luiz Henrique4 ⚽
Walace Franca4 ⚽
Botafogo SPHygor9 ⚽
Everton Morelli8 ⚽
Patrick Brey6 ⚽
Rafael Gava3 ⚽
Vilar3 ⚽
L. Maciel2 ⚽
Cards Given
AvaiWallison13 🟨
11 🟨
Paulo Vitor11 🟨
Douglas Teixeira9 🟨
Luiz Henrique9 🟨
Daniel Penha8 🟨
Botafogo SPLeandro Maciel11 🟨
Matheus Sales9 🟨
Vilar7 🟨
Patrick Brey7 🟨
Felipe Vieira6 🟨
Everton Morelli6 🟨