Juventude vs Nautico Recife — Serie B
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Juventude and Nautico Recife meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Juventude have recorded 25 wins from 55 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 53% of games. Nautico Recife have won 43% of their 44 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Juventude and 1.12 for Nautico Recife. The models give Juventude a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Nautico Recife win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Juventude—
Nautico Recife11º
Position
7º
1.33
PPG
1.58
33%
Win %
50%
0.83
Goals / game
1.33
0.67
Conceded / game
1.00
33%
BTTS %
41%
53%
Clean sheet %
32%
31%
Over 2.5 %
45%
4.2
Avg corners
5.8
12.9
Avg shots
15.5
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.6
16.8
Avg fouls
15.7
49.4%
Avg possession
57.3%
Home vs Away
Juventude
Home (6)
—
Nautico Recife
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
1.67
50%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.67
0.17
Conceded / game
1.17
28%
BTTS %
59%
59%
Clean sheet %
23%
41%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.2
Avg corners
5.8
12.9
Avg shots
15.5
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.6
49.4%
Avg possession
57.3%
Goals Scored
| Juventude | Home | Away | Nautico Recife | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 72% | 69% | 68% | 59% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 52% | 15% | 39% | 36% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 28% | 0% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 28% | 31% | 32% | 41% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Juventude | Home | Away | Nautico Recife | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 47% | 41% | 54% | 68% | 59% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 17% | 27% | 34% | 23% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 53% | 59% | 46% | 32% | 41% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Juventude | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 11% |
| BTTS | 33% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Juventude | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Juventude (H)D
São Bernardo2–2
São Bernardo2–2W
Operario-PR3–0
Operario-PR3–0L
Athletic Club0–2
Athletic Club0–2D
Atletico Goianiense2–2
Atletico Goianiense2–2W
CRB2–1
CRB2–1D
Fortaleza EC0–0
Fortaleza EC0–0Nautico Recife (A)DFortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1L
Cuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3L
America Mineiro1–2
America Mineiro1–2DSão Bernardo1–1
São Bernardo1–1D
Ponte Preta1–1
Ponte Preta1–1D
Criciuma0–0
Criciuma0–0Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
39 games
League Avg
10.4
327 games
10.2
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Juventude | Nautico Recife | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 91% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 70% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 64% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 55% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 28% | 52% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 18% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 5% | 15% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Juventude | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 46% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 62% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 42% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Juventude
29%
4
Draws
57%
1
Nautico Recife
14%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
05/07/26Juventude
Nautico Recife
0–0Juventude29/11/20Nautico Recife
Juventude
1–0Nautico Recife22/08/20Juventude
Nautico Recife
3–3Juventude22/09/19Juventude
Nautico Recife
2–1Juventude15/09/19Nautico Recife
Juventude
2–1Nautico Recife24/10/17Nautico Recife
Juventude
0–0Nautico Recife12/07/17Juventude
Nautico Recife
1–1Juventude| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 61 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 |
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 57 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 |  Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +1 | 43 |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 |  Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 29 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | -55 | 13 |
Team Insights
Juventude- ●Juventude have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Juventude have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Juventude have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Juventude have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Juventude have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Juventude have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Juventude have kept a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Juventude have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Juventude have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Juventude have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●62% of Juventude's goals have been scored at home.
Nautico Recife- ●Nautico Recife have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nautico Recife have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
JuventudeDHSão Bernardo2–2
São Bernardo2–2WAPonte Preta2–0
Ponte Preta2–0WHOperario-PR3–0
Operario-PR3–0WAAmerica Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0LASport Recife1–2
Sport Recife1–2LHAthletic Club0–2
Athletic Club0–2–ACeara17/10
Ceara17/10–HNautico Recife26/10
Nautico Recife26/10–AVila Nova31/10
Vila Nova31/10Nautico RecifeLHVila Nova0–2
Vila Nova0–2LHNovorizontino0–2
Novorizontino0–2DAFortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1WHSport Recife3–1
Sport Recife3–1LACuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3DHOperario-PR3–3
Operario-PR3–3–AGoias19/10
Goias19/10–AJuventude26/10
Juventude26/10–HAvai31/10
Avai31/10Top Scorers
JuventudeAlisson Safira6 ⚽
Rai Silva5 ⚽
MP5 ⚽
Gabriel Taliari5 ⚽
Mandaca5 ⚽
Alan Kardec4 ⚽
Nautico RecifeVinicius12 ⚽
Paulo Sergio9 ⚽
Dodo8 ⚽
Junior Todinho3 ⚽
Derek3 ⚽
Jean Carlos3 ⚽
Cards Given
JuventudeLucas Mineiro10 🟨
Rodrigo Sam10 🟨
Marcos Paulo8 🟨
Aderlan7 🟨
Alisson Safira7 🟨
Gabriel Pinheiro5 🟨
Nautico RecifeLuiz Felipe9 🟨
Samuel8 🟨
Wenderson7 🟨
Mateus Silva6 🟨
Arnaldo6 🟨
Igor Fernandes5 🟨