Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC — Serie B
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Ponte Preta and Fortaleza EC meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Ponte Preta have recorded 4 wins from 43 matches this season (9% win rate), averaging 0.51 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Fortaleza EC have won 51% of their 61 matches, with 1.26 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.92 for Ponte Preta and 1.06 for Fortaleza EC. The models give Ponte Preta a 24% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Fortaleza EC win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ponte Preta | Home | Away | Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 42% | 62% | 23% | 79% | 93% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 9% | 5% | 14% | 33% | 50% | 16% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 58% | 38% | 77% | 21% | 7% | 35% |
Goals Conceded
| Ponte Preta | Home | Away | Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 81% | 100% | 54% | 63% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 52% | 82% | 23% | 27% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 10% | 36% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 19% | 0% | 46% | 37% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ponte Preta | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 7% |
| BTTS | 35% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 2% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ponte Preta | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 5% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 16% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Ponte Preta | Fortaleza EC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 76% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 76% | 66% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 55% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 53% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 42% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 29% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 24% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 24% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ponte Preta | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 74% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 76% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 39% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 61 | |
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 | |
| 3 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 60 | |
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 57 | |
| 5 | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 56 | |
| 6 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 53 | |
| 7 | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 52 | |
| 8 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 51 | |
| 9 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 48 | |
| 10 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 48 | |
| 11 | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 | |
| 12 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +10 | 46 | |
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +1 | 43 | |
| 14 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 42 | |
| 15 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -5 | 42 | |
| 16 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 41 | |
| 17 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 36 | |
| 18 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 29 | |
| 19 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -33 | 17 | |
| 20 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | -55 | 13 |
Team Insights
- ●Ponte Preta have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have lost their last 14 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have lost 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Ponte Preta failed to keep a clean sheet in 17 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Ponte Preta have lost 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●66% of Ponte Preta's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Ponte Preta's points have been earned at home.
- ●Ponte Preta have scored 72% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 14 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●69% of Fortaleza EC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Fortaleza EC have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.