São Bernardo vs Vila Nova — Serie B
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São Bernardo and Vila Nova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 24 October 2026. São Bernardo have recorded 16 wins from 50 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Vila Nova have won 50% of their 54 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.20 for São Bernardo and 1.15 for Vila Nova. The models give São Bernardo a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Vila Nova win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
São Bernardo—
Vila Nova2º
Position
1º
2.00
PPG
2.08
58%
Win %
58%
1.67
Goals / game
1.50
0.83
Conceded / game
0.92
54%
BTTS %
41%
28%
Clean sheet %
41%
44%
Over 2.5 %
39%
4.7
Avg corners
4.8
11.4
Avg shots
13.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
12.9
Avg fouls
15.0
49.1%
Avg possession
51.1%
Home vs Away
São Bernardo
Home (6)
—
Vila Nova
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.83
33%
Win %
50%
1.17
Goals / game
1.33
0.83
Conceded / game
1.00
48%
BTTS %
33%
28%
Clean sheet %
33%
36%
Over 2.5 %
30%
4.7
Avg corners
4.8
11.4
Avg shots
13.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
49.1%
Avg possession
51.1%
Goals Scored
| São Bernardo | Home | Away | Vila Nova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 68% | 84% | 70% | 81% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 28% | 36% | 48% | 59% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 22% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 32% | 16% | 30% | 19% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| São Bernardo | Home | Away | Vila Nova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 72% | 72% | 59% | 52% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 24% | 36% | 22% | 19% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 8% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 28% | 28% | 41% | 48% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| São Bernardo | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 13% |
| BTTS | 54% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| São Bernardo | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
São Bernardo (H)W
CRB3–1
CRB3–1W
Atletico Goianiense1–0
Atletico Goianiense1–0L
Londrina1–2
Londrina1–2D
Nautico Recife1–1
Nautico Recife1–1L
Botafogo SP0–1
Botafogo SP0–1L
Ceara3–4
Ceara3–4Vila Nova (A)WNautico Recife2–0
Nautico Recife2–0WBotafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP1–0D
Avai1–1
Avai1–1L
Athletic Club0–5
Athletic Club0–5D
Operario-PR0–0
Operario-PR0–0WAtletico Goianiense2–0
Atletico Goianiense2–0Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
41 games
League Avg
10.4
327 games
9.9
Corners / Match
35 games
| Match Corners | São Bernardo | Vila Nova | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 89% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 77% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 69% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 57% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 54% | 46% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 31% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 17% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 11% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | São Bernardo | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 59% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 57% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
São Bernardo
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Vila Nova
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
06/07/26São Bernardo
Vila Nova
2–1São Bernardo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 61 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza EC | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 57 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 |  Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 |  Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +1 | 43 |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 29 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | -55 | 13 |
Team Insights
São Bernardo- ●São Bernardo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●São Bernardo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have won 8 of their 17 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have scored in 15 of their 17 away matches.
- ●61% of São Bernardo's points have been earned away.
Vila Nova- ●Vila Nova have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Vila Nova have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have won 6 of their 17 away matches.
- ●67% of Vila Nova's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Vila Nova's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Vila Nova have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
São BernardoDAJuventude2–2
Juventude2–2LASport Recife1–2
Sport Recife1–2WHCRB3–1
CRB3–1DANovorizontino0–0
Novorizontino0–0WHAtletico Goianiense1–0
Atletico Goianiense1–0WAAmerica Mineiro2–0
America Mineiro2–0–HCriciuma18/10
Criciuma18/10–HVila Nova24/10
Vila Nova24/10–ACuiaba01/11
Cuiaba01/11Vila NovaWANautico Recife2–0
Nautico Recife2–0DHCuiaba0–0
Cuiaba0–0WABotafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP1–0WHLondrina2–0
Londrina2–0WHAmerica Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0DAAvai1–1
Avai1–1–HNovorizontino18/10
Novorizontino18/10–ASão Bernardo24/10
São Bernardo24/10–HJuventude31/10
Juventude31/10Top Scorers
São BernardoFelipe Garcia7 ⚽
Pedro Vitor5 ⚽
Rodrigo Ferreira4 ⚽
Pedrinho4 ⚽
Pablo Dyego4 ⚽
Dudu Miraima3 ⚽
Vila NovaDellatorre10 ⚽
Janderson9 ⚽
Joao Vieira8 ⚽
8 ⚽
Andre Luis6 ⚽
Rafa Silva5 ⚽
Cards Given
São BernardoHelder Maciel14 🟨
Foguinho9 🟨
Jemerson8 🟨
Pedro Vitor8 🟨
Augusto7 🟨
Rodrigo Ferreira7 🟨
Vila NovaPedro Romano9 🟨
Tiago Pagnussat8 🟨
8 🟨
Hayner7 🟨
Higor6 🟨
João Vieira6 🟨