Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova — Serie B
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Fortaleza EC and Vila Nova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Fortaleza EC have recorded 31 wins from 61 matches this season (51% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Vila Nova have won 50% of their 54 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Fortaleza EC and 1.15 for Vila Nova. The models give Fortaleza EC a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Vila Nova win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Fortaleza EC—
Vila Nova4º
Position
1º
1.75
PPG
2.08
50%
Win %
58%
1.25
Goals / game
1.50
0.92
Conceded / game
0.92
44%
BTTS %
41%
46%
Clean sheet %
41%
36%
Over 2.5 %
39%
5.4
Avg corners
4.8
13.8
Avg shots
13.1
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.6
14.2
Avg fouls
15.0
49.2%
Avg possession
51.1%
Home vs Away
Fortaleza EC
Home (5)
—
Vila Nova
Away (6)
2.60
PPG
1.83
80%
Win %
50%
2.40
Goals / game
1.33
0.80
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
33%
37%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
30%
5.4
Avg corners
4.8
13.8
Avg shots
13.1
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.6
49.2%
Avg possession
51.1%
Goals Scored
| Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | Vila Nova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 93% | 65% | 70% | 81% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 16% | 48% | 59% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 15% | 22% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 7% | 35% | 30% | 19% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | Vila Nova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 63% | 45% | 59% | 52% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 27% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 37% | 55% | 41% | 48% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fortaleza EC | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS | 44% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fortaleza EC | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Fortaleza EC (H)D
CRB2–2
CRB2–2D
Nautico Recife1–1
Nautico Recife1–1D
Athletic Club2–2
Athletic Club2–2D
Ceara1–1
Ceara1–1W
Avai1–0
Avai1–0D
Operario-PR1–1
Operario-PR1–1Vila Nova (A)WNautico Recife2–0
Nautico Recife2–0W
Botafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP1–0DAvai1–1
Avai1–1LAthletic Club0–5
Athletic Club0–5DOperario-PR0–0
Operario-PR0–0W
Atletico Goianiense2–0
Atletico Goianiense2–0Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
38 games
League Avg
10.4
327 games
9.9
Corners / Match
35 games
| Match Corners | Fortaleza EC | Vila Nova | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 76% | 89% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 66% | 77% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 69% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 57% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 46% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 31% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 24% | 17% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 24% | 11% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fortaleza EC | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 82% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 74% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 39% | 57% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Fortaleza EC
40%
2
Draws
40%
1
Vila Nova
20%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
22/07/26Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
2–1Fortaleza EC22/09/18Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
2–0Vila Nova06/06/18Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
0–0Fortaleza EC08/08/15Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
0–0Fortaleza EC23/05/15Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
3–2Vila Nova| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 61 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 57 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 |  Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 |  Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 |  São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +1 | 43 |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 29 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | -55 | 13 |
Team Insights
Fortaleza EC- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 14 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●69% of Fortaleza EC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Fortaleza EC have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Vila Nova- ●Vila Nova have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Vila Nova have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have won 6 of their 17 away matches.
- ●67% of Vila Nova's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Vila Nova's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Vila Nova have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Fortaleza ECDHCRB2–2
CRB2–2WAAmerica Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0DHNautico Recife1–1
Nautico Recife1–1DHAthletic Club2–2
Athletic Club2–2WALondrina2–1
Londrina2–1DHCeara1–1
Ceara1–1–ASport Recife16/10
Sport Recife16/10–APonte Preta24/10
Ponte Preta24/10–HAtletico Goianiense02/11
Atletico Goianiense02/11Vila NovaWANautico Recife2–0
Nautico Recife2–0DHCuiaba0–0
Cuiaba0–0WABotafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP1–0WHLondrina2–0
Londrina2–0WHAmerica Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0DAAvai1–1
Avai1–1–HNovorizontino18/10
Novorizontino18/10–ASão Bernardo24/10
São Bernardo24/10–HJuventude31/10
Juventude31/10Top Scorers
Fortaleza ECJ. B. Miritello11 ⚽
Vitinho9 ⚽
Mailton7 ⚽
Luiz Fernando7 ⚽
Lucas Sasha4 ⚽
A. Bareiro3 ⚽
Vila NovaDellatorre10 ⚽
Janderson9 ⚽
Joao Vieira8 ⚽
8 ⚽
Andre Luis6 ⚽
Rafa Silva5 ⚽
Cards Given
Fortaleza ECPierre14 🟨
Luiz Fernando11 🟨
Lucas Gazal10 🟨
Emanuel Brítez8 🟨
Maílton7 🟨
Rodriguinho7 🟨
Vila NovaPedro Romano9 🟨
Tiago Pagnussat8 🟨
8 🟨
Hayner7 🟨
Higor6 🟨
João Vieira6 🟨