Londrina vs Nautico Recife — Serie B
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Londrina and Nautico Recife meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Londrina have recorded 13 wins from 48 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Nautico Recife have won 43% of their 44 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Londrina and 1.47 for Nautico Recife. The models give Londrina a 33% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Nautico Recife win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Londrina—
Nautico Recife18º
Position
7º
0.67
PPG
1.58
17%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.33
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
48%
BTTS %
41%
33%
Clean sheet %
32%
50%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.4
Avg corners
5.8
13.4
Avg shots
15.5
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
13.3
Avg fouls
15.7
47.8%
Avg possession
57.3%
Home vs Away
Londrina
Home (5)
—
Nautico Recife
Away (6)
0.40
PPG
1.67
0%
Win %
50%
0.80
Goals / game
1.67
1.60
Conceded / game
1.17
38%
BTTS %
59%
50%
Clean sheet %
23%
42%
Over 2.5 %
55%
5.4
Avg corners
5.8
13.4
Avg shots
15.5
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.6
47.8%
Avg possession
57.3%
Goals Scored
| Londrina | Home | Away | Nautico Recife | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 63% | 67% | 68% | 59% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 39% | 36% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 13% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 38% | 33% | 32% | 41% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Londrina | Home | Away | Nautico Recife | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 83% | 68% | 59% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 38% | 46% | 34% | 23% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 8% | 8% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 17% | 32% | 41% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Londrina | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 48% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Londrina | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 54% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Londrina (H)L
Criciuma0–2
Criciuma0–2L
Fortaleza EC1–2
Fortaleza EC1–2W
Ponte Preta6–0
Ponte Preta6–0L
Operario-PR1–2
Operario-PR1–2D
Juventude0–0
Juventude0–0D
Atletico Goianiense0–0
Atletico Goianiense0–0Nautico Recife (A)DFortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1L
Cuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3L
America Mineiro1–2
America Mineiro1–2D
São Bernardo1–1
São Bernardo1–1DPonte Preta1–1
Ponte Preta1–1DCriciuma0–0
Criciuma0–0Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
35 games
League Avg
10.4
327 games
10.2
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Londrina | Nautico Recife | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 91% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 70% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 86% | 64% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 69% | 55% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 51% | 52% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 18% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 15% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Londrina | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 74% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 66% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 51% | 42% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
7
Londrina
64%
2
Draws
18%
2
Nautico Recife
18%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
9%
Over 3.5
1/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
23/07/26Londrina
Nautico Recife
2–1Londrina10/08/25Nautico Recife
Londrina
0–2Nautico Recife24/08/24Nautico Recife
Londrina
3–2Nautico Recife23/07/22Londrina
Nautico Recife
1–2Londrina10/04/22Nautico Recife
Londrina
2–0Nautico Recife22/09/21Londrina
Nautico Recife
1–2Londrina23/06/21Nautico Recife
Londrina
0–0Nautico Recife11/11/17Londrina
Nautico Recife
1–2Londrina22/07/17Nautico Recife
Londrina
0–0Nautico Recife30/08/16Londrina
Nautico Recife
0–2Londrina24/05/16Nautico Recife
Londrina
1–0Nautico Recife| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 61 |
| 2 |  Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 |
| 3 | Juventude | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 57 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 53 |
| 7 |  CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Sport Recife | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 |  Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +10 | 46 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +1 | 43 |
| 14 | Nautico Recife | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -5 | 42 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 |  Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 29 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -33 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | -55 | 13 |
Team Insights
Londrina- ●Londrina have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Londrina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Londrina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Londrina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 away matches.
- ●Londrina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Londrina have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Londrina failed to keep a clean sheet in 17 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Londrina have lost 11 of their 17 away matches.
Nautico Recife- ●Nautico Recife have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nautico Recife have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LondrinaDAAthletic Club2–2
Athletic Club2–2LAAvai1–2
Avai1–2LHCriciuma0–2
Criciuma0–2LAVila Nova0–2
Vila Nova0–2LHFortaleza EC1–2
Fortaleza EC1–2WHPonte Preta6–0
Ponte Preta6–0–HCuiaba20/10
Cuiaba20/10–ACRB24/10
CRB24/10–HAmerica Mineiro01/11
America Mineiro01/11Nautico RecifeLHVila Nova0–2
Vila Nova0–2LHNovorizontino0–2
Novorizontino0–2DAFortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1WHSport Recife3–1
Sport Recife3–1LACuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3DHOperario-PR3–3
Operario-PR3–3–AGoias19/10
Goias19/10–AJuventude26/10
Juventude26/10–HAvai31/10
Avai31/10Top Scorers
LondrinaBruno Santos17 ⚽
Iago Teles7 ⚽
Lucas Marques5 ⚽
Andre Luiz3 ⚽
João Vitor de Souza Martins3 ⚽
Gabriel Lacerda2 ⚽
Nautico RecifeVinicius12 ⚽
Paulo Sergio9 ⚽
Dodo8 ⚽
Junior Todinho3 ⚽
Derek3 ⚽
Jean Carlos3 ⚽
Cards Given
LondrinaYago Lincoln7 🟨
Iago Teles6 🟨
Paulinho Moccelin6 🟨
Lucas Marques5 🟨
Kevyn5 🟨
André Dhominique4 🟨
Nautico RecifeLuiz Felipe9 🟨
Samuel8 🟨
Wenderson7 🟨
Mateus Silva6 🟨
Arnaldo6 🟨
Igor Fernandes5 🟨