São Bernardo vs Athletic Club — Serie B
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São Bernardo and Athletic Club meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 14 November 2026. São Bernardo have recorded 16 wins from 50 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Athletic Club have won 28% of their 46 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for São Bernardo and 1.19 for Athletic Club. The models give São Bernardo a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Athletic Club win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| São Bernardo | Home | Away | Athletic Club | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 68% | 84% | 74% | 74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 28% | 36% | 30% | 26% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 4% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 32% | 16% | 26% | 26% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| São Bernardo | Home | Away | Athletic Club | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 72% | 72% | 78% | 74% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 24% | 36% | 35% | 26% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 8% | 0% | 13% | 9% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 28% | 28% | 22% | 26% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| São Bernardo | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 11% |
| BTTS | 54% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| São Bernardo | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | São Bernardo | Athletic Club | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 81% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 70% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 49% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 54% | 35% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 19% | 37% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 14% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 11% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | São Bernardo | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 59% | 51% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 59% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 61 | |
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +31 | 60 | |
| 3 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | +18 | 60 | |
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | +10 | 57 | |
| 5 | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 56 | |
| 6 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +10 | 53 | |
| 7 | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 52 | |
| 8 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 51 | |
| 9 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 48 | |
| 10 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | -1 | 48 | |
| 11 | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 47 | |
| 12 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +10 | 46 | |
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +1 | 43 | |
| 14 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -3 | 42 | |
| 15 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -5 | 42 | |
| 16 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 41 | |
| 17 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -10 | 36 | |
| 18 | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -7 | 29 | |
| 19 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | -33 | 17 | |
| 20 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 26 | -55 | 13 |
Team Insights
- ●São Bernardo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●São Bernardo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have won 8 of their 17 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have scored in 15 of their 17 away matches.
- ●61% of São Bernardo's points have been earned away.
- ●Athletic Club have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Athletic Club failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Athletic Club have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Athletic Club have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Athletic Club have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Athletic Club failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Athletic Club failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Athletic Club have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.