Tallinna Kalev II vs Luunja — Esiliiga B
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Tallinna Kalev II and Luunja meet in the Esiliiga B 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Tallinna Kalev II have recorded 10 wins from 33 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 2.15 goals scored and 2.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 85% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 3% of games. Luunja have won 48% of their 29 matches, with 2.48 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.43 for Tallinna Kalev II and 1.92 for Luunja. The models give Tallinna Kalev II a 45% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Luunja win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 81% and BTTS at 77%.
Season Statistics
Tallinna Kalev II—
Luunja9º
Position
5º
0.90
PPG
1.68
24%
Win %
50%
2.03
Goals / game
2.64
2.59
Conceded / game
2.18
85%
BTTS %
83%
3%
Clean sheet %
10%
88%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tallinna Kalev II
Home (15)
—
Luunja
Away (12)
1.13
PPG
1.08
33%
Win %
25%
2.27
Goals / game
1.83
2.20
Conceded / game
2.42
87%
BTTS %
77%
0%
Clean sheet %
15%
93%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | Luunja | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 87% | 89% | 90% | 94% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 73% | 44% | 72% | 88% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 47% | 33% | 31% | 50% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | Luunja | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 97% | 100% | 94% | 90% | 94% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 72% | 62% | 56% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 42% | 33% | 50% | 34% | 31% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 3% | 0% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tallinna Kalev | Luunja | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 97% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 | 52% | 52% |
| BTTS | 85% | 83% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 76% | 83% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tallinna Kalev | Luunja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 66% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 12% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 76% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 66% |
Recent Venue Form
Tallinna Kalev (H)W
JK Tabasalu4–1
JK Tabasalu4–1W
Tulevik2–1
Tulevik2–1D
Legion3–3
Legion3–3W
Johvi Phoenix3–1
Johvi Phoenix3–1W
Rakvere FC Freedom4–2
Rakvere FC Freedom4–2W
Levadia U194–1
Levadia U194–1Luunja (A)L
Narva U210–1
Narva U210–1LJK Tabasalu2–3
JK Tabasalu2–3L
Tartu Kalev1–2
Tartu Kalev1–2DTulevik0–0
Tulevik0–0LLevadia U192–3
Levadia U192–3DTulevik2–2
Tulevik2–2Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Tallinna Kalev
43%
0
Draws
0%
4
Luunja
57%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
86%
Over 2.5
6/7
86%
Over 3.5
6/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
20/07/26Tallinna Kalev II
Luunja
5–4Tallinna Kalev II28/05/26Luunja
Tallinna Kalev II
0–1Luunja11/04/26Tallinna Kalev II
Luunja
3–2Tallinna Kalev II22/09/25Tallinna Kalev II
Luunja
4–5Tallinna Kalev II01/08/25Luunja
Tallinna Kalev II
5–0Luunja25/05/25Luunja
Tallinna Kalev II
6–1Luunja20/04/25Tallinna Kalev II
Luunja
5–1Tallinna Kalev II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | +32 | 54 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 28 | 17 | 2 | 9 | +24 | 53 |
| 3 |  Phoenix | 29 | 16 | 3 | 10 | +2 | 51 |
| 4 | Tartu Kalev | 29 | 15 | 2 | 12 | +19 | 47 |
| 4 | Johvi Phoenix | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | +2 | 34 |
| 5 | Luunja | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +13 | 47 |
| 6 |  Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | +21 | 43 |
| 7 | Tulevik | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +12 | 41 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | -36 | 33 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -16 | 26 |
| 10 | Legion | 28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | -71 | 13 |
Team Insights
Tallinna Kalev- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 29 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have lost 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Luunja- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Luunja have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●73% of Luunja's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Luunja have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Tallinna KalevLAJohvi Phoenix3–4
Johvi Phoenix3–4WHJK Tabasalu4–1
JK Tabasalu4–1LAParnu JK Vaprus U210–7
Parnu JK Vaprus U210–7WHTulevik2–1
Tulevik2–1DATartu Kalev1–1
Tartu Kalev1–1DHLegion3–3
Legion3–3–HNarva U2119/09
Narva U2119/09–ATulevik03/10
Tulevik03/10–HParnu JK Vaprus U2111/10
Parnu JK Vaprus U2111/10LuunjaLANarva U210–1
Narva U210–1WHTulevik3–2
Tulevik3–2LAJK Tabasalu2–3
JK Tabasalu2–3LHLevadia U192–5
Levadia U192–5LHJohvi Phoenix2–3
Johvi Phoenix2–3LATartu Kalev1–2
Tartu Kalev1–2–ALevadia U1921/09
Levadia U1921/09–AJK Tabasalu11/10
JK Tabasalu11/10–AJohvi Phoenix15/10
Johvi Phoenix15/10Top Scorers
Tallinna KalevO. Lasn7 ⚽
K. Pormeister5 ⚽
B. Litmanen5 ⚽
H. Lehtmaa5 ⚽
J. Esna5 ⚽
K. Treumuth4 ⚽
LuunjaK. Kiidron19 ⚽
R. Muur13 ⚽
R. Silov7 ⚽
A. Viinapuu6 ⚽
A. Sirk4 ⚽
Kauan Pereira4 ⚽
Cards Given
Tallinna KalevH. Tammepold1 🟨
M. Tomingas1 🟨
V. Mellis1 🟨
1 🟨
LuunjaG. Jurgenthal1 🟨
G. Turner1 🟨
K. Rand1 🟨