Luunja vs Tartu Kalev — Esiliiga B
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Luunja and Tartu Kalev meet in the Esiliiga B 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Luunja have recorded 15 wins from 31 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 2.39 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 81% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 84%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Tartu Kalev have won 49% of their 35 matches, with 2.43 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.87 for Luunja and 2.22 for Tartu Kalev. The models give Luunja a 50% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Tartu Kalev win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 88% and BTTS at 84%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Luunja | Home | Away | Tartu Kalev | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 94% | 80% | 89% | 85% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 88% | 53% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 7% | 37% | 40% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 6% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Luunja | Home | Away | Tartu Kalev | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 94% | 87% | 71% | 70% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 56% | 60% | 54% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 31% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 6% | 13% | 29% | 30% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luunja | Tartu Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 84% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 66% |
| Over 4.5 | 48% | 43% |
| BTTS | 81% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 42% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 81% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luunja | Tartu Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 65% | 49% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 61% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 21 | 3 | 7 | +36 | 66 | |
| 2 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 | +28 | 62 | |
| 3 | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | +2 | 54 | |
| 4 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | +34 | 50 | |
| 4 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | +2 | 34 | |
| 5 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | +18 | 50 | |
| 6 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | +12 | 50 | |
| 7 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | +12 | 47 | |
| 8 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | -39 | 33 | |
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -15 | 30 | |
| 10 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | -88 | 13 |
Team Insights
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●71% of Luunja's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Luunja have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tartu Kalev have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev have scored in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev have won 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev have scored in 14 of their 14 away matches.