China · Super League · Regular Season - 29

Henan Jianye

9º · 1.42 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 19h

–

Beijing Guoan

8º · 1.47 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 20h

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium·Zhengzhou·China·29,000

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Henan Jianye and Beijing Guoan meet in the Super League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Henan Jianye have recorded 9 wins from 30 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Beijing Guoan have won 56% of their 34 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Henan Jianye and 1.47 for Beijing Guoan. The models give Henan Jianye a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Beijing Guoan win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Henan Jianye

—

Beijing Guoan

9º

Position

8º

1.42

PPG

1.47

42%

Win %

37%

1.32

Goals / game

1.68

1.26

Conceded / game

1.37

60%

BTTS %

62%

20%

Clean sheet %

38%

50%

Over 2.5 %

62%

5.6

Avg corners

5.7

12.8

Avg shots

14.7

4.1

Avg shots on target

5.3

1.9

Avg yellow cards

1.7

13.6

Avg fouls

12.6

53.1%

Avg possession

58.7%

Home vs Away

Henan Jianye

Home (9)

—

Beijing Guoan

Away (9)

1.44

PPG

1.44

44%

Win %

33%

1.56

Goals / game

1.56

1.22

Conceded / game

1.33

47%

BTTS %

56%

27%

Clean sheet %

44%

33%

Over 2.5 %

56%

5.6

Avg corners

5.7

12.8

Avg shots

14.7

4.1

Avg shots on target

5.3

1.9

Avg yellow cards

1.7

53.1%

Avg possession

58.7%

Goals Scored

	Henan Jianye	Home	Away	Beijing Guoan	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	70%	60%	80%	94%	100%	89%
Over 1.5 Scored	33%	20%	47%	59%	63%	56%
Over 2.5 Scored	10%	13%	7%	32%	38%	28%
Failed To Score	30%	40%	20%	6%	0%	11%

Goals Conceded

	Henan Jianye	Home	Away	Beijing Guoan	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	80%	73%	87%	62%	69%	56%
Over 1.5 Conceded	30%	20%	40%	35%	38%	33%
Over 2.5 Conceded	13%	7%	20%	9%	13%	6%
Clean Sheets	20%	27%	13%	38%	31%	44%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Henan Jianye	Beijing Guoan
Over 0.5	90%	94%
Over 1.5	77%	82%
Over 2.5	50%	62%
Over 3.5	17%	32%
Over 4.5	10%	18%
BTTS	60%	62%
BTTS & Win	20%	24%
BTTS & Draw	27%	24%
BTTS & Over 2.5	40%	50%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	10%	12%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Henan Jianye	Beijing Guoan
Win 1st Half	40%	50%
Draw 1st Half	40%	41%
Loss 1st Half	20%	9%
Scored 1st Half	50%	56%
Conceded 1st Half	33%	18%
Win 2nd Half	17%	47%
Draw 2nd Half	40%	29%
Loss 2nd Half	43%	24%
Scored 2nd Half	40%	82%
Conceded 2nd Half	63%	53%
Over 0.5 HT	70%	65%
Over 1.5 HT	27%	26%

Recent Venue Form

Henan Jianye (H)

Tianjin Teda0–1

Chengdu Better City0–0

Chongqing Tongliang Long1–1

Qingdao Youth Island0–0

Dalian Zhixing1–1

Beijing Guoan (A)

Buriram United1–0

Qingdao Jonoon3–0

SHANGHAI SIPG0–0

Dalian Zhixing1–1

Shanghai Shenhua3–0

Tianjin Teda4–2

Number of Corners

9.7

Corners / Match

28 games

League Avg

10.1

224 games

10.3

Corners / Match

30 games

Match Corners	Henan Jianye	Beijing Guoan	League Avg
Over 6	86%	80%	86%
Over 7	75%	77%	77%
Over 8	57%	73%	64%
Over 9	32%	60%	50%
Over 10	29%	47%	41%
Over 11	29%	43%	35%
Over 12	25%	27%	25%
Over 13	18%	17%	17%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Henan Jianye	Beijing Guoan
Corners Earned / Match	5.6	5.7
Corners Against / Match	4.1	4.6
Over 2.5 Corners For	86%	77%
Over 3.5 Corners For	75%	73%
Over 4.5 Corners For	57%	57%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	79%	77%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	50%	60%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	29%	43%

Head to Head · 18 matches

Henan Jianye

39%

Draws

Beijing Guoan

56%

72%

Over 1.5

13/18

50%

Over 2.5

9/18

11%

Over 3.5

2/18

44%

BTTS

8/18

23/05/26

Beijing Guoan

1–2

Henan Jianye

06/12/25

Beijing Guoan

3–0

Henan Jianye

12/09/25

Henan Jianye

2–0

Beijing Guoan

25/04/25

Beijing Guoan

1–0

Henan Jianye

02/11/24

Beijing Guoan

1–1

Henan Jianye

15/06/24

Henan Jianye

2–1

Beijing Guoan

04/08/23

Beijing Guoan

3–1

Henan Jianye

05/05/23

Henan Jianye

0–1

Beijing Guoan

04/11/22

Beijing Guoan

2–1

Henan Jianye

07/08/22

Henan Jianye

3–0

Beijing Guoan

27/07/19

Henan Jianye

1–0

Beijing Guoan

14/04/19

Beijing Guoan

2–1

Henan Jianye

28/10/18

Henan Jianye

2–0

Beijing Guoan

18/07/18

Beijing Guoan

2–1

Henan Jianye

28/07/17

Henan Jianye

0–2

Beijing Guoan

07/04/17

Beijing Guoan

1–0

Henan Jianye

30/10/16

Beijing Guoan

3–1

Henan Jianye

02/07/16

Henan Jianye

1–0

Beijing Guoan

Super League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chengdu Better City	28	15	7	6	+17	52
2	Dalian Zhixing	28	14	4	10	+2	46
3	Beijing Guoan	28	13	10	5	+20	44
4	Shandong Luneng	28	14	5	9	+8	41
5	SHANGHAI SIPG	28	12	8	8	+12	39
6	Yunnan Yukun	28	11	6	11	-3	39
7	Qingdao Youth Island	28	8	14	6	-6	38
8	Shanghai Shenhua	28	14	5	9	+14	37
9	Chongqing Tongliang Long	28	7	12	9	-5	33
10	Tianjin Teda	28	11	8	9	+6	31
11	Hangzhou Greentown	28	10	6	12	-5	31
12	Sichuan Jiuniu	28	8	5	15	-13	29
13	Shenyang Urban	28	8	5	15	-9	29
14	Henan Jianye	28	8	10	10	-3	28
15	Wuhan Three Towns	28	5	12	11	-9	22
16	Qingdao Jonoon	28	6	3	19	-26	14

Team Insights

Henan Jianye

●Henan Jianye have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
●Henan Jianye have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
●Henan Jianye have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
●Henan Jianye failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
●Henan Jianye have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
●Henan Jianye failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
●Henan Jianye failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
●Henan Jianye have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.