Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev — Premier League
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Arsenal and FC Dnepr Mogilev meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Arsenal have recorded 8 wins from 35 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.03 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. FC Dnepr Mogilev have won 19% of their 36 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Arsenal and 1.45 for FC Dnepr Mogilev. The models give Arsenal a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an FC Dnepr Mogilev win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Arsenal—
FC Dnepr Mogilev12º
Position
15º
0.92
PPG
0.76
20%
Win %
12%
0.96
Goals / game
0.96
1.76
Conceded / game
1.60
43%
BTTS %
64%
26%
Clean sheet %
19%
51%
Over 2.5 %
53%
3.4
Avg corners
5.0
3.8
Avg shots
9.6
2.5
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.3
Avg fouls
13.0
43.3%
Avg possession
49.1%
Home vs Away
Arsenal
Home (12)
—
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Away (12)
0.75
PPG
0.50
17%
Win %
8%
0.92
Goals / game
0.75
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
47%
BTTS %
63%
20%
Clean sheet %
13%
60%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.4
Avg corners
5.0
3.8
Avg shots
9.6
2.5
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.9
43.3%
Avg possession
49.1%
Goals Scored
| Arsenal | Home | Away | FC Dnepr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 69% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 40% | 15% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 10% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 40% | 40% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Arsenal | Home | Away | FC Dnepr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 80% | 70% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 53% | 50% | 44% | 35% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 34% | 40% | 30% | 22% | 15% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 20% | 30% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arsenal | FC Dnepr | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS | 43% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arsenal | FC Dnepr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 51% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 49% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Arsenal (H)L
Dinamo Brest0–1
Dinamo Brest0–1D
Baranovichi0–0
Baranovichi0–0L
Torpedo Zhodino2–4
Torpedo Zhodino2–4L
Slavia Mozyr1–3
Slavia Mozyr1–3L
FC Minsk1–2
FC Minsk1–2L
Neman2–3
Neman2–3FC Dnepr (A)LDinamo Brest2–4
Dinamo Brest2–4LBaranovichi1–2
Baranovichi1–2DTorpedo Zhodino0–0
Torpedo Zhodino0–0LSlavia Mozyr0–3
Slavia Mozyr0–3WTorpedo Zhodino2–1
Torpedo Zhodino2–1W
Osipovichy3–1
Osipovichy3–1Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.9
92 games
11.2
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Arsenal | FC Dnepr | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 69% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 62% | 100% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 75% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 23% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 58% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 42% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 25% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 25% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arsenal | FC Dnepr |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.4 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 54% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 15% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 54% | 58% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
5
Arsenal
45%
3
Draws
27%
3
FC Dnepr
27%
45%
Over 1.5
5/11
18%
Over 2.5
2/11
18%
Over 3.5
2/11
27%
BTTS
3/11
14/06/26Arsenal
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–1Arsenal07/09/24FC Dnepr Mogilev
Arsenal
2–6FC Dnepr Mogilev11/08/24FC Dnepr Mogilev
Arsenal
3–1FC Dnepr Mogilev29/03/24Arsenal
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–0Arsenal01/10/23Arsenal
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2–0Arsenal28/05/23FC Dnepr Mogilev
Arsenal
2–0FC Dnepr Mogilev06/11/22Arsenal
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–1Arsenal10/07/22FC Dnepr Mogilev
Arsenal
1–0FC Dnepr Mogilev06/11/21Arsenal
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–0Arsenal21/08/21FC Dnepr Mogilev
Arsenal
0–0FC Dnepr Mogilev06/06/21Arsenal
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–1Arsenal| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ML Vitebsk | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | +32 | 53 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Minsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | +26 | 52 |
| 3 |  FC Isloch Minsk R. | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | +21 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +16 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 |
| 6 |  FC Vitebsk | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 40 |
| 7 |  FC Gomel | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 |  Bate Borisov | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 |  Belshina | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -16 | 19 |
| 16 |  Naftan | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -32 | 17 |
Team Insights
Arsenal- ●Arsenal have failed to win in their last 11 matches.
- ●Arsenal have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Arsenal have failed to win in their last 10 home matches.
- ●Arsenal have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arsenal failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Arsenal failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Arsenal have lost 7 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Arsenal failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●61% of Arsenal's points have been earned away.
FC Dnepr- ●FC Dnepr Mogilev failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Dnepr Mogilev have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Dnepr Mogilev have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Dnepr Mogilev have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Dnepr Mogilev failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●FC Dnepr Mogilev failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●FC Dnepr Mogilev have lost 8 of their 12 away matches.
- ●63% of FC Dnepr Mogilev's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
ArsenalLADinamo Minsk0–2
Dinamo Minsk0–2LHDinamo Brest0–1
Dinamo Brest0–1LAML Vitebsk1–5
ML Vitebsk1–5DHBaranovichi0–0
Baranovichi0–0DAFC Isloch Minsk R.1–1
FC Isloch Minsk R.1–1LHTorpedo Zhodino2–4
Torpedo Zhodino2–4–HFC Dnepr Mogilev24/10
FC Dnepr Mogilev24/10–HBate Borisov31/10
Bate Borisov31/10–AFC Gomel07/11
FC Gomel07/11FC DneprWHBate Borisov2–1
Bate Borisov2–1LHDinamo Minsk2–3
Dinamo Minsk2–3LADinamo Brest2–4
Dinamo Brest2–4DHML Vitebsk1–1
ML Vitebsk1–1LABaranovichi1–2
Baranovichi1–2DHFC Isloch Minsk R.0–0
FC Isloch Minsk R.0–0–AArsenal24/10
Arsenal24/10–HFC Gomel31/10
FC Gomel31/10–ANeman07/11
Neman07/11Top Scorers
ArsenalM. Mokin6 ⚽
V. Gorbachik5 ⚽
5 ⚽
D. Antilevskiy4 ⚽
Y. Lovets3 ⚽
I. Vasin3 ⚽
FC DneprK. Kirilenko6 ⚽
Kirill Zabelin4 ⚽
T. Martynov3 ⚽
K. Tsepenkov3 ⚽
N. Tereshchuk3 ⚽
E. Karpitskiy2 ⚽
Cards Given
ArsenalDmitri Antilevski4 🟨
Vladislav Vasiljev3 🟨
I. Vasin3 🟨
Nikolay Sotnikov3 🟨
D. Volskiy3 🟨
D. Antilevskiy2 🟨
FC Dnepr7 🟨
N. Perovic4 🟨
N. Krasnov3 🟨
Andrey Potapenko3 🟨
Kirill Kirilenko3 🟨
Maksim Kasarab3 🟨