Baranovichi vs Naftan — Premier League
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Stadyen Lyakamatyu·Baranovichi·Belarus·4,000
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Baranovichi and Naftan meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Baranovichi have recorded 9 wins from 36 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Naftan have won 18% of their 34 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 2.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.01 for Baranovichi and 1.48 for Naftan. The models give Baranovichi a 53% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Naftan win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Baranovichi—
Naftan11º
Position
16º
1.08
PPG
0.65
27%
Win %
15%
1.04
Goals / game
0.92
1.65
Conceded / game
2.38
53%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Clean sheet %
18%
47%
Over 2.5 %
59%
4.9
Avg corners
3.9
7.8
Avg shots
7.3
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
15.0
Avg fouls
9.6
47.8%
Avg possession
43.5%
Home vs Away
Baranovichi
Home (13)
—
Naftan
Away (13)
1.00
PPG
0.38
23%
Win %
8%
1.23
Goals / game
1.00
1.77
Conceded / game
2.92
71%
BTTS %
68%
7%
Clean sheet %
5%
57%
Over 2.5 %
68%
4.9
Avg corners
3.9
7.8
Avg shots
7.3
3.7
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
47.8%
Avg possession
43.5%
Goals Scored
| Baranovichi | Home | Away | Naftan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 79% | 50% | 62% | 47% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 36% | 27% | 29% | 27% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 7% | 23% | 12% | 20% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 21% | 50% | 38% | 53% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| Baranovichi | Home | Away | Naftan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 93% | 77% | 82% | 67% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 50% | 36% | 59% | 40% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 21% | 18% | 38% | 27% | 47% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 7% | 23% | 18% | 33% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Baranovichi | Naftan | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 29% |
| BTTS | 53% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Baranovichi | Naftan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 12% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Baranovichi (H)L
FC Vitebsk0–1
FC Vitebsk0–1L
FC Gomel0–2
FC Gomel0–2W
FC Dnepr Mogilev2–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev2–1D
Dinamo Brest1–1
Dinamo Brest1–1D
Bate Borisov2–2
Bate Borisov2–2L
FC Isloch Minsk R.3–4
FC Isloch Minsk R.3–4Naftan (A)L
Torpedo Zhodino0–1
Torpedo Zhodino0–1W
Slavia Mozyr1–0
Slavia Mozyr1–0DBate Borisov2–2
Bate Borisov2–2L
Dinamo Minsk1–5
Dinamo Minsk1–5LFC Vitebsk0–2
FC Vitebsk0–2LFC Gomel0–6
FC Gomel0–6Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.1
101 games
11.5
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Baranovichi | Naftan | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 92% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 85% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 82% | 69% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 73% | 69% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 62% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 46% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 36% | 38% | 25% |
| Over 13 | 36% | 38% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Baranovichi | Naftan |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 7.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 92% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
0
Baranovichi
0%
2
Draws
20%
8
Naftan
80%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
60%
Over 2.5
6/10
30%
Over 3.5
3/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
19/06/26Baranovichi
Naftan
1–0Baranovichi12/11/22Baranovichi
Naftan
2–1Baranovichi24/07/22Naftan
Baranovichi
0–4Naftan19/09/21Baranovichi
Naftan
5–1Baranovichi04/07/21Naftan
Baranovichi
1–6Naftan17/04/21Baranovichi
Naftan
2–0Baranovichi09/11/19Baranovichi
Naftan
3–0Baranovichi06/07/19Naftan
Baranovichi
1–2Naftan15/09/18Naftan
Baranovichi
0–0Naftan20/05/18Baranovichi
Naftan
1–1Baranovichi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 |  ML Vitebsk | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | +33 | 56 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | +28 | 55 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 47 |
| 5 |  Neman | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | +7 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 40 |
| 7 | FC Gomel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 40 |
| 8 |  FC Minsk | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 28 |
| 12 |  Belshina | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -19 | 24 |
| 13 |  Arsenal | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 24 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | Naftan | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -38 | 17 |
Team Insights
Baranovichi- ●Baranovichi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Baranovichi failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Baranovichi failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Baranovichi have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Naftan- ●Naftan failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Naftan have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Naftan failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Naftan have lost 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Naftan have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BaranovichiWAFC Minsk3–1
FC Minsk3–1LHFC Vitebsk0–1
FC Vitebsk0–1LANeman0–3
Neman0–3LHFC Gomel0–2
FC Gomel0–2DAArsenal0–0
Arsenal0–0WHFC Dnepr Mogilev2–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev2–1–HNaftan31/10
Naftan31/10–ASlavia Mozyr07/11
Slavia Mozyr07/11–HBelshina21/11
Belshina21/11NaftanLHFC Isloch Minsk R.0–6
FC Isloch Minsk R.0–6LATorpedo Zhodino0–1
Torpedo Zhodino0–1WHBelshina4–1
Belshina4–1WASlavia Mozyr1–0
Slavia Mozyr1–0DABate Borisov2–2
Bate Borisov2–2LHFC Minsk0–3
FC Minsk0–3–ABaranovichi31/10
Baranovichi31/10–HML Vitebsk07/11
ML Vitebsk07/11–ADinamo Brest21/11
Dinamo Brest21/11Top Scorers
BaranovichiF. Lebedev8 ⚽
M. Artyukh6 ⚽
5 ⚽
S. Kendysh3 ⚽
A. Petrenko3 ⚽
K. Muzychenko2 ⚽
NaftanI. Pranovich5 ⚽
V. Yakovlev3 ⚽
A. Drabatovich3 ⚽
G. Mafwenta3 ⚽
D. Latykhov3 ⚽
A. Lebedev2 ⚽
Cards Given
BaranovichiNikolay Ryabykh4 🟨
Artem Bruy4 🟨
A. Bruy4 🟨
Vasili Vasilenko3 🟨
Konstantin Shcherbakov2 🟨
B. Gusev2 🟨
NaftanVasiliy Chernyavskiy5 🟨
J. Jonathan4 🟨
Kirill Adamovich4 🟨
Roman khadzhiev3 🟨
Andrei Lebedev3 🟨
K. Adamovich3 🟨