ML Vitebsk vs FC Minsk — Premier League
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ML Vitebsk and FC Minsk meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. ML Vitebsk have recorded 21 wins from 34 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 2.06 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. FC Minsk have won 35% of their 37 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for ML Vitebsk and 1.14 for FC Minsk. The models give ML Vitebsk a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an FC Minsk win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
ML Vitebsk—
FC Minsk2º
Position
7º
2.10
PPG
1.48
57%
Win %
43%
2.00
Goals / game
1.30
0.81
Conceded / game
1.22
59%
BTTS %
54%
35%
Clean sheet %
19%
59%
Over 2.5 %
51%
6.7
Avg corners
5.3
6.7
Avg shots
7.0
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.5
13.3
Avg fouls
10.9
56.8%
Avg possession
47.4%
Home vs Away
ML Vitebsk
Home (11)
—
FC Minsk
Away (12)
1.64
PPG
1.33
36%
Win %
42%
1.55
Goals / game
1.08
0.64
Conceded / game
1.33
55%
BTTS %
58%
45%
Clean sheet %
16%
50%
Over 2.5 %
68%
6.7
Avg corners
5.3
6.7
Avg shots
7.0
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.5
56.8%
Avg possession
47.4%
Goals Scored
| ML Vitebsk | Home | Away | FC Minsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 80% | 86% | 68% | 67% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 55% | 71% | 30% | 22% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 25% | 43% | 14% | 11% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 20% | 14% | 32% | 33% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| ML Vitebsk | Home | Away | FC Minsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 55% | 79% | 81% | 78% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 29% | 41% | 28% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 5% | 7% | 19% | 17% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 45% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| ML Vitebsk | FC Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 14% |
| BTTS | 59% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| ML Vitebsk | FC Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
ML Vitebsk (H)W
Arsenal5–1
Arsenal5–1D
Dinamo Minsk0–0
Dinamo Minsk0–0D
Belshina1–1
Belshina1–1D
Bate Borisov0–0
Bate Borisov0–0W
Baranovichi2–0
Baranovichi2–0W
Borac Banja Luka1–0
Borac Banja Luka1–0FC Minsk (A)LBelshina0–2
Belshina0–2W
Naftan3–0
Naftan3–0LBate Borisov1–2
Bate Borisov1–2L
Neman1–2
Neman1–2W
FC Gomel1–0
FC Gomel1–0WArsenal2–1
Arsenal2–1Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
10.3
70 games
10.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | ML Vitebsk | FC Minsk | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 100% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 91% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 45% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 27% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 27% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 27% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 27% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | ML Vitebsk | FC Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.7 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 55% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
ML Vitebsk
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
FC Minsk
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
21/06/26ML Vitebsk
FC Minsk
2–2ML Vitebsk19/10/25FC Minsk
ML Vitebsk
4–1FC Minsk25/05/25ML Vitebsk
FC Minsk
1–2ML Vitebsk| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Isloch Minsk R. | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +19 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | +25 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +21 | 43 |
| 4 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 37 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Brest | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 36 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 34 |
| 8 |  FC Vitebsk | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 33 |
| 9 |  Torpedo Zhodino | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 |
| 10 |  Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -11 | 18 |
| 15 |  FC Dnepr Mogilev | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -14 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -34 | 14 |
Team Insights
ML Vitebsk- ●ML Vitebsk have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have been undefeated in their last 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have won 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in 10 of their 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
FC Minsk- ●FC Minsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●FC Minsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●FC Minsk have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
ML VitebskWHArsenal5–1
Arsenal5–1DAFC Dnepr Mogilev1–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1DHDinamo Minsk0–0
Dinamo Minsk0–0DHBelshina1–1
Belshina1–1WADinamo Brest3–1
Dinamo Brest3–1DHBate Borisov0–0
Bate Borisov0–0–AFC Gomel10/10
FC Gomel10/10–HNeman17/10
Neman17/10–AFC Vitebsk24/10
FC Vitebsk24/10FC MinskLABelshina0–2
Belshina0–2WHSlavia Mozyr1–0
Slavia Mozyr1–0WANaftan3–0
Naftan3–0LABate Borisov1–2
Bate Borisov1–2LHFC Vitebsk0–1
FC Vitebsk0–1LANeman1–2
Neman1–2–HTorpedo Zhodino10/10
Torpedo Zhodino10/10–AFC Isloch Minsk R.17/10
FC Isloch Minsk R.17/10–HBaranovichi24/10
Baranovichi24/10Top Scorers
ML VitebskB. Diabate11 ⚽
A. Kontsevoy9 ⚽
N. Glushkov6 ⚽
V. Gromyko5 ⚽
A. Mesarovic4 ⚽
M. Bulanov4 ⚽
FC MinskA. Ksenofontov6 ⚽
A. Makas4 ⚽
V. Varaksa3 ⚽
A. Migdalenok3 ⚽
M. Dieye3 ⚽
E. Zubovich2 ⚽
Cards Given
ML VitebskA. Kontsevoy4 🟨
V. Gromyko3 🟨
V. Bocherov3 🟨
M. Mohammadi3 🟨
Artem Kontsevoy3 🟨
Valeriy Gromyko3 🟨
FC MinskIlya Dubinets6 🟨
Gregoy Abdul3 🟨
Gleb·Zherder2 🟨
F. Abena2 🟨
Artem Sokol2 🟨
Francisco Campo Mina2 🟨