Naftan vs ML Vitebsk — Premier League
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Naftan and ML Vitebsk meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Naftan have recorded 5 wins from 31 matches this season (16% win rate), averaging 1.03 goals scored and 2.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. ML Vitebsk have won 62% of their 34 matches, with 2.06 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Naftan and 1.85 for ML Vitebsk. The models give Naftan a 18% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an ML Vitebsk win at 59%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Naftan—
ML Vitebsk16º
Position
2º
0.61
PPG
2.10
13%
Win %
57%
0.87
Goals / game
2.00
2.35
Conceded / game
0.81
52%
BTTS %
59%
19%
Clean sheet %
35%
58%
Over 2.5 %
59%
4.1
Avg corners
6.7
6.0
Avg shots
6.7
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.4
9.6
Avg fouls
13.3
42.9%
Avg possession
56.8%
Home vs Away
Naftan
Home (11)
—
ML Vitebsk
Away (10)
0.82
PPG
2.60
18%
Win %
80%
0.64
Goals / game
2.50
1.55
Conceded / game
1.00
23%
BTTS %
64%
38%
Clean sheet %
21%
38%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.1
Avg corners
6.7
6.0
Avg shots
6.7
3.3
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.4
42.9%
Avg possession
56.8%
Goals Scored
| Naftan | Home | Away | ML Vitebsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 46% | 78% | 82% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 23% | 33% | 62% | 55% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 15% | 6% | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 54% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Naftan | Home | Away | ML Vitebsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 62% | 94% | 65% | 55% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 61% | 38% | 78% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 23% | 50% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 38% | 6% | 35% | 45% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Naftan | ML Vitebsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 24% |
| BTTS | 52% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Naftan | ML Vitebsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Naftan (H)L
FC Minsk0–3
FC Minsk0–3L
Neman0–2
Neman0–2W
Arsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0L
Dinamo Brest2–4
Dinamo Brest2–4W
Baranovichi1–0
Baranovichi1–0L
Torpedo Zhodino0–4
Torpedo Zhodino0–4ML Vitebsk (A)D
FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1WDinamo Brest3–1
Dinamo Brest3–1L
Borac Banja Luka0–1
Borac Banja Luka0–1W
Sutjeska2–1
Sutjeska2–1L
Universitatea Craiova0–1
Universitatea Craiova0–1W
Slavia Mozyr4–2
Slavia Mozyr4–2Number of Corners
11.9
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.3
70 games
10.2
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Naftan | ML Vitebsk | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 83% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 91% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 58% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 73% | 50% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 64% | 50% | 44% |
| Over 11 | 55% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 45% | 33% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 45% | 33% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Naftan | ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 6.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.8 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 91% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 91% | 25% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Naftan
14%
0
Draws
0%
6
ML Vitebsk
86%
100%
Over 1.5
7/7
86%
Over 2.5
6/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
27/06/26Naftan
ML Vitebsk
2–1Naftan22/08/25Naftan
ML Vitebsk
2–0Naftan12/04/25ML Vitebsk
Naftan
0–3ML Vitebsk14/07/24Naftan
ML Vitebsk
2–1Naftan11/02/24ML Vitebsk
Naftan
1–2ML Vitebsk02/10/22ML Vitebsk
Naftan
2–3ML Vitebsk22/05/22Naftan
ML Vitebsk
0–4Naftan| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Isloch Minsk R. | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +19 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | +25 | 44 |
| 3 |  Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +21 | 43 |
| 4 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 37 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 |  FC Gomel | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 36 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 34 |
| 8 |  FC Vitebsk | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 33 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -12 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -17 | 23 |
| 13 |  Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 |  Bate Borisov | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -11 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -14 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -34 | 14 |
Team Insights
Naftan- ●Naftan have lost 6 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Naftan failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Naftan have lost 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Naftan have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●65% of Naftan's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Naftan's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Naftan have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
ML Vitebsk- ●ML Vitebsk have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have been undefeated in their last 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have won 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in 10 of their 10 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NaftanWASlavia Mozyr1–0
Slavia Mozyr1–0DABate Borisov2–2
Bate Borisov2–2LHFC Minsk0–3
FC Minsk0–3LADinamo Minsk1–5
Dinamo Minsk1–5LAFC Vitebsk0–2
FC Vitebsk0–2LHNeman0–2
Neman0–2–HBelshina10/10
Belshina10/10–ATorpedo Zhodino17/10
Torpedo Zhodino17/10–HFC Isloch Minsk R.24/10
FC Isloch Minsk R.24/10ML VitebskWHArsenal5–1
Arsenal5–1DAFC Dnepr Mogilev1–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1DHDinamo Minsk0–0
Dinamo Minsk0–0DHBelshina1–1
Belshina1–1WADinamo Brest3–1
Dinamo Brest3–1DHBate Borisov0–0
Bate Borisov0–0–AFC Gomel10/10
FC Gomel10/10–HNeman17/10
Neman17/10–AFC Vitebsk24/10
FC Vitebsk24/10Top Scorers
NaftanI. Pranovich5 ⚽
V. Yakovlev3 ⚽
A. Drabatovich3 ⚽
G. Mafwenta3 ⚽
D. Latykhov3 ⚽
A. Lebedev2 ⚽
ML VitebskB. Diabate11 ⚽
A. Kontsevoy9 ⚽
N. Glushkov6 ⚽
V. Gromyko5 ⚽
A. Mesarovic4 ⚽
M. Bulanov4 ⚽
Cards Given
NaftanVasiliy Chernyavskiy5 🟨
J. Jonathan4 🟨
Kirill Adamovich4 🟨
D. Fedorenko2 🟨
A. Lebedev2 🟨
Andrei Lebedev2 🟨
ML VitebskA. Kontsevoy4 🟨
V. Gromyko3 🟨
V. Bocherov3 🟨
M. Mohammadi3 🟨
Artem Kontsevoy3 🟨
Valeriy Gromyko3 🟨