ML Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr — Premier League
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ML Vitebsk and Slavia Mozyr meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. ML Vitebsk have recorded 22 wins from 35 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Slavia Mozyr have won 39% of their 33 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for ML Vitebsk and 1.04 for Slavia Mozyr. The models give ML Vitebsk a 57% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Slavia Mozyr win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
ML Vitebsk—
Slavia Mozyr1º
Position
10º
2.14
PPG
1.09
59%
Win %
26%
2.14
Goals / game
1.04
0.82
Conceded / game
1.22
60%
BTTS %
52%
34%
Clean sheet %
36%
60%
Over 2.5 %
48%
6.5
Avg corners
5.3
7.1
Avg shots
10.8
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.6
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
13.3
Avg fouls
14.2
56.4%
Avg possession
49.8%
Home vs Away
ML Vitebsk
Home (11)
—
Slavia Mozyr
Away (11)
1.64
PPG
1.09
36%
Win %
27%
1.55
Goals / game
0.91
0.64
Conceded / game
1.27
55%
BTTS %
53%
45%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
47%
6.5
Avg corners
5.3
7.1
Avg shots
10.8
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.6
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
56.4%
Avg possession
49.8%
Goals Scored
| ML Vitebsk | Home | Away | Slavia Mozyr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 80% | 87% | 76% | 78% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 55% | 73% | 30% | 39% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 34% | 25% | 47% | 15% | 11% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 20% | 13% | 24% | 22% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| ML Vitebsk | Home | Away | Slavia Mozyr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 55% | 80% | 64% | 61% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 20% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 5% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 45% | 20% | 36% | 39% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| ML Vitebsk | Slavia Mozyr | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 9% |
| BTTS | 60% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| ML Vitebsk | Slavia Mozyr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
ML Vitebsk (H)W
Arsenal5–1
Arsenal5–1D
Dinamo Minsk0–0
Dinamo Minsk0–0D
Belshina1–1
Belshina1–1D
Bate Borisov0–0
Bate Borisov0–0W
Baranovichi2–0
Baranovichi2–0W
Borac Banja Luka1–0
Borac Banja Luka1–0Slavia Mozyr (A)LBate Borisov1–2
Bate Borisov1–2L
FC Minsk0–1
FC Minsk0–1L
Neman0–1
Neman0–1WArsenal3–1
Arsenal3–1W
Volna5–0
Volna5–0L
Dinamo Brest1–4
Dinamo Brest1–4Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.1
81 games
10.2
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | ML Vitebsk | Slavia Mozyr | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 78% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 78% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 54% | 67% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 56% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 46% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 22% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 22% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 22% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | ML Vitebsk | Slavia Mozyr |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 77% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 62% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 23% | 56% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
3
ML Vitebsk
60%
1
Draws
20%
1
Slavia Mozyr
20%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
01/07/26ML Vitebsk
Slavia Mozyr
2–4ML Vitebsk27/09/25Slavia Mozyr
ML Vitebsk
2–3Slavia Mozyr12/05/25ML Vitebsk
Slavia Mozyr
0–2ML Vitebsk27/07/24ML Vitebsk
Slavia Mozyr
0–2ML Vitebsk18/02/24ML Vitebsk
Slavia Mozyr
1–1ML Vitebsk| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | +29 | 47 |
| 2 |  FC Isloch Minsk R. | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | +22 | 46 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +16 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |  FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 |  FC Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 |  Torpedo Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | Bate Borisov | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -10 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 |  Naftan | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -31 | 17 |
| 16 |  FC Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 16 |
Team Insights
ML Vitebsk- ●ML Vitebsk have won their last 2 matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have been undefeated in their last 11 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have won 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in 11 of their 11 away matches.
- ●64% of ML Vitebsk's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of ML Vitebsk's points have been earned away.
- ●ML Vitebsk have conceded 72% of their goals in the first half.
Slavia Mozyr- ●Slavia Mozyr have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Slavia Mozyr have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Slavia Mozyr have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Slavia Mozyr failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Slavia Mozyr failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Slavia Mozyr failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Slavia Mozyr have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
Season Schedule
ML VitebskWAFC Gomel5–1
FC Gomel5–1WHArsenal5–1
Arsenal5–1DAFC Dnepr Mogilev1–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1DHDinamo Minsk0–0
Dinamo Minsk0–0DHBelshina1–1
Belshina1–1WADinamo Brest3–1
Dinamo Brest3–1–HNeman17/10
Neman17/10–AFC Vitebsk24/10
FC Vitebsk24/10–HFC Minsk31/10
FC Minsk31/10Slavia MozyrLABate Borisov1–2
Bate Borisov1–2LHNaftan0–1
Naftan0–1LAFC Minsk0–1
FC Minsk0–1WHFC Vitebsk3–0
FC Vitebsk3–0LANeman0–1
Neman0–1DHFC Gomel0–0
FC Gomel0–0–ABelshina17/10
Belshina17/10–HTorpedo Zhodino24/10
Torpedo Zhodino24/10–AFC Isloch Minsk R.31/10
FC Isloch Minsk R.31/10Top Scorers
ML VitebskB. Diabate11 ⚽
A. Kontsevoy9 ⚽
N. Glushkov6 ⚽
V. Gromyko5 ⚽
M. Bulanov5 ⚽
A. Mesarovic4 ⚽
Slavia MozyrA. Solovey11 ⚽
T. Lutsevich5 ⚽
K. Chernook4 ⚽
A. Lukashov2 ⚽
Andrey Solovey2 ⚽
A. Antilevskiy2 ⚽
Cards Given
ML VitebskA. Kontsevoy4 🟨
V. Gromyko3 🟨
V. Bocherov3 🟨
M. Mohammadi3 🟨
Artem Kontsevoy3 🟨
Valeriy Gromyko3 🟨
Slavia MozyrYuli Kuznetsov5 🟨
3 🟨
A. Dzhigero3 🟨
Andrey Solovey3 🟨
Nikita Melnikov3 🟨
Alexander Dzhigero2 🟨