Naftan vs Dinamo Minsk — Premier League
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Naftan and Dinamo Minsk meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Naftan have recorded 6 wins from 33 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Dinamo Minsk have won 68% of their 40 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Naftan and 1.57 for Dinamo Minsk. The models give Naftan a 21% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Dinamo Minsk win at 55%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Naftan—
Dinamo Minsk16º
Position
2º
0.68
PPG
2.17
16%
Win %
67%
0.96
Goals / game
1.88
2.24
Conceded / game
0.79
52%
BTTS %
43%
18%
Clean sheet %
43%
58%
Over 2.5 %
45%
3.9
Avg corners
5.6
7.3
Avg shots
9.4
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
9.6
Avg fouls
11.0
43.5%
Avg possession
50.4%
Home vs Away
Naftan
Home (12)
—
Dinamo Minsk
Away (11)
1.00
PPG
2.36
25%
Win %
73%
0.92
Goals / game
1.64
1.50
Conceded / game
0.73
29%
BTTS %
44%
36%
Clean sheet %
44%
43%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.9
Avg corners
5.6
7.3
Avg shots
9.4
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
43.5%
Avg possession
50.4%
Goals Scored
| Naftan | Home | Away | Dinamo Minsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 50% | 74% | 78% | 79% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 29% | 32% | 57% | 58% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 21% | 5% | 35% | 33% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 50% | 26% | 23% | 21% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Naftan | Home | Away | Dinamo Minsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 64% | 95% | 57% | 58% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 36% | 74% | 15% | 13% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 21% | 47% | 3% | 4% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 36% | 5% | 43% | 42% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Naftan | Dinamo Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS | 52% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Naftan | Dinamo Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 34% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 34% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 66% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Naftan (H)W
Belshina4–1
Belshina4–1L
FC Minsk0–3
FC Minsk0–3L
Neman0–2
Neman0–2W
Arsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0L
Dinamo Brest2–4
Dinamo Brest2–4W
Baranovichi1–0
Baranovichi1–0Dinamo Minsk (A)W
FC Dnepr Mogilev3–2
FC Dnepr Mogilev3–2D
ML Vitebsk0–0
ML Vitebsk0–0L
FC Isloch Minsk R.0–1
FC Isloch Minsk R.0–1L
SC Braga0–1
SC Braga0–1W
Neftchi Baku4–2
Neftchi Baku4–2W
Sileks1–0
Sileks1–0Number of Corners
11.5
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.9
92 games
11.0
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Naftan | Dinamo Minsk | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 93% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 79% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 69% | 79% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 62% | 64% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 46% | 36% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 36% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 14% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Naftan | Dinamo Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.5 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 92% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 92% | 57% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
0
Naftan
0%
8
Draws
32%
17
Dinamo Minsk
68%
88%
Over 1.5
22/25
48%
Over 2.5
12/25
32%
Over 3.5
8/25
60%
BTTS
15/25
02/09/26Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
5–1Naftan18/02/26Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
1–1Naftan16/11/25Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
2–0Naftan25/10/25Dinamo Minsk
Naftan
1–3Dinamo Minsk31/05/25Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
1–0Naftan13/10/24Dinamo Minsk
Naftan
1–2Dinamo Minsk07/04/24Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
2–2Naftan02/09/23Dinamo Minsk
Naftan
0–3Dinamo Minsk22/04/23Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
3–1Naftan28/02/23Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
2–0Naftan07/08/17Dinamo Minsk
Naftan
0–4Dinamo Minsk09/04/17Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
1–0Naftan10/09/16Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
3–1Naftan08/05/16Dinamo Minsk
Naftan
1–1Dinamo Minsk26/09/15Dinamo Minsk
Naftan
2–2Dinamo Minsk31/05/15Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
2–1Naftan22/11/14Dinamo Minsk
Naftan
1–1Dinamo Minsk05/10/14Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
2–0Naftan31/08/14Dinamo Minsk
Naftan
0–2Dinamo Minsk07/06/14Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
2–1Naftan| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | +32 | 53 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | +26 | 52 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | +21 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +16 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 |
| 6 |  FC Vitebsk | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 40 |
| 7 |  FC Gomel | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 |  Torpedo Zhodino | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 |  Slavia Mozyr | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 |  Bate Borisov | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -16 | 19 |
| 16 | Naftan | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -32 | 17 |
Team Insights
Naftan- ●Naftan failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Naftan have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Naftan failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Naftan have lost 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●68% of Naftan's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Naftan have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Dinamo Minsk- ●Dinamo Minsk have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Dinamo Minsk have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Dinamo Minsk have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Minsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Minsk have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Minsk have won 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Minsk have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
Season Schedule
NaftanLATorpedo Zhodino0–1
Torpedo Zhodino0–1WHBelshina4–1
Belshina4–1WASlavia Mozyr1–0
Slavia Mozyr1–0DABate Borisov2–2
Bate Borisov2–2LHFC Minsk0–3
FC Minsk0–3LADinamo Minsk1–5
Dinamo Minsk1–5–HFC Isloch Minsk R.24/10
FC Isloch Minsk R.24/10–ABaranovichi31/10
Baranovichi31/10–HML Vitebsk07/11
ML Vitebsk07/11Dinamo MinskWHArsenal2–0
Arsenal2–0WHSlavia Mozyr3–1
Slavia Mozyr3–1WAFC Dnepr Mogilev3–2
FC Dnepr Mogilev3–2WHBate Borisov2–0
Bate Borisov2–0LHDinamo Brest0–1
Dinamo Brest0–1DAML Vitebsk0–0
ML Vitebsk0–0–AFC Gomel24/10
FC Gomel24/10–HNeman31/10
Neman31/10–AFC Vitebsk07/11
FC Vitebsk07/11Top Scorers
NaftanI. Pranovich5 ⚽
V. Yakovlev3 ⚽
A. Drabatovich3 ⚽
G. Mafwenta3 ⚽
D. Latykhov3 ⚽
A. Lebedev2 ⚽
Dinamo MinskE. Malashevich9 ⚽
K. Vardanyan7 ⚽
G. Alykulov6 ⚽
karen vardanyan5 ⚽
A. Sokolovskiy5 ⚽
Evgeni Malashevich4 ⚽
Cards Given
NaftanVasiliy Chernyavskiy5 🟨
Kirill Adamovich4 🟨
J. Jonathan4 🟨
K. Adamovich3 🟨
D. Fedorenko2 🟨
A. Lebedev2 🟨
Dinamo MinskA. Sokolovskiy5 🟨
Fawaz Abdullahi4 🟨
A. Toure3 🟨
Moustapha Djimet3 🟨
Artem Sokolovskiy2 🟨
A. Vakulich2 🟨