Aktobe vs Ordabasy — Premier League
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Aktobe and Ordabasy meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Aktobe have recorded 15 wins from 34 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Ordabasy have won 75% of their 36 matches, with 2.03 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Aktobe and 1.33 for Ordabasy. The models give Aktobe a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ordabasy win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Aktobe—
Ordabasy4º
Position
1º
1.67
PPG
2.35
48%
Win %
73%
1.52
Goals / game
2.00
1.19
Conceded / game
0.73
56%
BTTS %
56%
24%
Clean sheet %
44%
56%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aktobe
Home (13)
—
Ordabasy
Away (12)
2.31
PPG
1.92
69%
Win %
58%
1.69
Goals / game
2.00
0.77
Conceded / game
0.92
50%
BTTS %
59%
44%
Clean sheet %
41%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aktobe | Home | Away | Ordabasy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 88% | 67% | 94% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 39% | 69% | 74% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 17% | 31% | 26% | 35% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 13% | 33% | 6% | 0% | 12% |
Goals Conceded
| Aktobe | Home | Away | Ordabasy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 56% | 94% | 56% | 53% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 19% | 50% | 14% | 5% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 13% | 22% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 44% | 6% | 44% | 47% | 41% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aktobe | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS | 56% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aktobe | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Aktobe (H)D
Ulytau2–2
Ulytau2–2W
Zhenys1–0
Zhenys1–0W
Okzhetpes2–1
Okzhetpes2–1W
Zhetysu2–1
Zhetysu2–1W
FC Astana2–0
FC Astana2–0W
Altay2–0
Altay2–0Ordabasy (A)W
Kaisar4–1
Kaisar4–1W
Atyrau3–0
Atyrau3–0LOkzhetpes1–2
Okzhetpes1–2WAltay2–1
Altay2–1WZhetysu4–0
Zhetysu4–0L
Kairat Almaty1–2
Kairat Almaty1–2Head to Head · 39 matches
12
Aktobe
31%
15
Draws
38%
12
Ordabasy
31%
64%
Over 1.5
25/39
49%
Over 2.5
19/39
31%
Over 3.5
12/39
56%
BTTS
22/39
03/05/26Aktobe
Ordabasy
2–0Aktobe26/10/25Ordabasy
Aktobe
2–2Ordabasy01/03/25Aktobe
Ordabasy
0–0Aktobe25/08/24Aktobe
Ordabasy
1–1Aktobe18/05/24Ordabasy
Aktobe
0–0Ordabasy08/05/24Aktobe
Ordabasy
1–2Aktobe16/09/23Ordabasy
Aktobe
2–1Ordabasy09/04/23Aktobe
Ordabasy
1–1Aktobe29/10/22Aktobe
Ordabasy
2–2Aktobe21/08/22Ordabasy
Aktobe
3–1Ordabasy18/06/21Aktobe
Ordabasy
0–1Aktobe09/04/21Ordabasy
Aktobe
4–4Ordabasy22/09/19Aktobe
Ordabasy
4–1Aktobe26/05/19Ordabasy
Aktobe
0–3Ordabasy15/03/19Aktobe
Ordabasy
1–0Aktobe16/09/18Aktobe
Ordabasy
0–0Aktobe17/06/18Ordabasy
Aktobe
3–1Ordabasy07/04/18Aktobe
Ordabasy
3–1Aktobe28/10/17Ordabasy
Aktobe
2–0Ordabasy20/05/17Aktobe
Ordabasy
2–1Aktobe| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | +33 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +33 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +15 | 45 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +9 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Yelimay Semey | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 38 |
| 7 |  FK Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenys | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Kaspiy | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 |  Kyzyl-Zhar | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 |  Irtysh | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | Altay | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -19 | 22 |
Team Insights
Aktobe- ●Aktobe have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Aktobe have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Aktobe have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Aktobe have been undefeated in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Aktobe have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Aktobe have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aktobe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Aktobe have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Aktobe have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Aktobe have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Aktobe failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Aktobe have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●69% of Aktobe's goals conceded were conceded away.
Ordabasy- ●Ordabasy have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Ordabasy have scored in each of their last 18 matches.
- ●Ordabasy have won their last 11 home matches.
- ●Ordabasy have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ordabasy have scored in each of their last 14 home matches.
- ●Ordabasy have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ordabasy have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Ordabasy have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Ordabasy have scored in 14 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Ordabasy have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Ordabasy have won 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Ordabasy have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
AktobeWAYelimay Semey3–1
Yelimay Semey3–1DHUlytau2–2
Ulytau2–2WAKaspiy2–1
Kaspiy2–1WHZhenys1–0
Zhenys1–0LAIrtysh1–2
Irtysh1–2WAKaisar2–1
Kaisar2–1–HOrdabasy17/10
Ordabasy17/10–HKairat Almaty25/10
Kairat Almaty25/10–AFK Tobol Kostanay31/10
FK Tobol Kostanay31/10OrdabasyWAKaisar4–1
Kaisar4–1WAAtyrau3–0
Atyrau3–0WHFC Astana1–0
FC Astana1–0LAOkzhetpes1–2
Okzhetpes1–2WHKyzyl-Zhar3–0
Kyzyl-Zhar3–0WHAltay3–1
Altay3–1–AAktobe17/10
Aktobe17/10–HZhenys24/10
Zhenys24/10–AIrtysh31/10
Irtysh31/10Top Scorers
AktobeA. Shushenachev10 ⚽
D. Sosah7 ⚽
T. Erlanov5 ⚽
V. Laturnus4 ⚽
I. Ordets4 ⚽
Nani3 ⚽
OrdabasyB. Johnsen16 ⚽
Z. Amir11 ⚽
E. Astanov9 ⚽
S. Maliy5 ⚽
Leo Natel5 ⚽
D. Mitkov4 ⚽
Cards Given
AktobeNani8 🟨
A. Shushenachev6 🟨
T. Erlanov5 🟨
E. Seydakhmet4 🟨
G. Zaria4 🟨
J. Atanasov4 🟨
OrdabasyZ. Amir5 🟨
S. Maliy5 🟨
A. Amanovic5 🟨
Y. Vakulko4 🟨
E. Astanov4 🟨
Leo Natel3 🟨