Kairat Almaty vs Irtysh — Premier League
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Kairat Almaty and Irtysh meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Kairat Almaty have recorded 23 wins from 41 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Irtysh have won 21% of their 28 matches, with 0.96 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Kairat Almaty and 0.91 for Irtysh. The models give Kairat Almaty a 62% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Irtysh win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Kairat Almaty—
Irtysh2º
Position
13º
2.31
PPG
0.96
69%
Win %
22%
2.00
Goals / game
0.96
0.73
Conceded / game
1.37
41%
BTTS %
57%
41%
Clean sheet %
11%
51%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.7
Avg corners
0.0
20.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.7
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.7
Avg yellow cards
0.0
10.7
Avg fouls
0.0
43.3%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kairat Almaty
Home (14)
—
Irtysh
Away (13)
2.36
PPG
0.85
71%
Win %
15%
2.21
Goals / game
0.92
0.71
Conceded / game
1.38
39%
BTTS %
54%
50%
Clean sheet %
15%
61%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.7
Avg corners
0.0
20.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.7
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.7
Avg yellow cards
0.0
43.3%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kairat Almaty | Home | Away | Irtysh | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 83% | 70% | 61% | 67% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 56% | 39% | 32% | 27% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 28% | 22% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 17% | 30% | 39% | 33% | 46% |
Goals Conceded
| Kairat Almaty | Home | Away | Irtysh | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 50% | 65% | 89% | 93% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 22% | 22% | 46% | 47% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 50% | 35% | 11% | 7% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kairat Almaty | Irtysh | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 4% |
| BTTS | 41% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 34% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kairat Almaty | Irtysh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Kairat Almaty (H)W
Zhetysu1–0
Zhetysu1–0L
FK Tobol Kostanay1–4
FK Tobol Kostanay1–4W
Zhenys3–0
Zhenys3–0L
Anderlecht0–3
Anderlecht0–3W
Ulytau3–1
Ulytau3–1L
Levski Sofia0–1
Levski Sofia0–1Irtysh (A)W
Altay2–1
Altay2–1LZhetysu0–1
Zhetysu0–1L
Yelimay Semey1–3
Yelimay Semey1–3WUlytau2–1
Ulytau2–1D
Kaisar0–0
Kaisar0–0DZhenys0–0
Zhenys0–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kairat Almaty | Irtysh |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 33% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
19
Kairat Almaty
66%
5
Draws
17%
5
Irtysh
17%
76%
Over 1.5
22/29
52%
Over 2.5
15/29
34%
Over 3.5
10/29
55%
BTTS
16/29
02/05/26Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
0–1Kairat Almaty03/11/19Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
5–0Kairat Almaty04/08/19Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
0–2Kairat Almaty19/05/19Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
2–1Irtysh27/10/18Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
0–1Irtysh06/07/18Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
4–0Irtysh27/06/18Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
3–1Kairat Almaty14/06/18Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
2–0Irtysh28/04/18Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
1–2Kairat Almaty30/09/17Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
1–1Kairat Almaty10/05/17Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
2–0Irtysh23/04/17Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
3–3Kairat Almaty04/04/17Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
1–1Irtysh23/10/16Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
1–3Kairat Almaty17/09/16Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
2–1Irtysh17/07/16Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
2–3Kairat Almaty15/05/16Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
1–0Irtysh03/10/15Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
0–2Kairat Almaty24/08/15Irtysh
Kairat Almaty
5–2Irtysh24/06/15Kairat Almaty
Irtysh
1–1Kairat Almaty| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | +33 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +33 | 60 |
| 3 |  FC Astana | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 |  Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +9 | 45 |
| 5 |  Okzhetpes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +1 | 41 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenys | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |  Kaspiy | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 |  Kyzyl-Zhar | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 |  Atyrau | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | Altay | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -19 | 22 |
Team Insights
Kairat Almaty- ●Kairat Almaty have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Kairat Almaty have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Kairat Almaty have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Kairat Almaty have won 9 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Kairat Almaty have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Irtysh- ●Irtysh failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Irtysh failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Irtysh failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Irtysh have lost 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Irtysh failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
Kairat AlmatyWHZhetysu1–0
Zhetysu1–0LAFC Astana0–1
FC Astana0–1LHFK Tobol Kostanay1–4
FK Tobol Kostanay1–4WHZhenys3–0
Zhenys3–0WAKaspiy3–0
Kaspiy3–0WAYelimay Semey2–0
Yelimay Semey2–0–HIrtysh18/10
Irtysh18/10–AAktobe25/10
Aktobe25/10–HAltay31/10
Altay31/10IrtyshLHFC Astana0–1
FC Astana0–1LHKyzyl-Zhar0–2
Kyzyl-Zhar0–2WAAltay2–1
Altay2–1WHOkzhetpes2–1
Okzhetpes2–1LAZhetysu0–1
Zhetysu0–1WHAktobe2–1
Aktobe2–1–AKairat Almaty18/10
Kairat Almaty18/10–AAtyrau25/10
Atyrau25/10–HOrdabasy31/10
Ordabasy31/10Top Scorers
Kairat AlmatyEdmilson11 ⚽
M. Gual10 ⚽
Jorginho9 ⚽
D. Satpaev7 ⚽
A. Tuyakbaev6 ⚽
O. Jukkola6 ⚽
IrtyshJ. Poe7 ⚽
Leonardo Kalil3 ⚽
Y. Shimamura3 ⚽
M. Turlybek3 ⚽
P. Sedko2 ⚽
M. Mbodj1 ⚽
Cards Given
Kairat AlmatyJaakko Oksanen8 🟨
Jorginho7 🟨
O. Jukkola6 🟨
Aleksandr Martynovich4 🟨
D. Kasabulat4 🟨
Edmilson4 🟨
IrtyshS. Malikaydar5 🟨
M. Mbodj5 🟨
Tamerlan Agimanov5 🟨
J. Poe4 🟨
F. Ibrahim3 🟨
R. Karimov3 🟨