Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai — League One
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Guangxi Hengchen and Changchun Yatai meet in the League One 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Guangxi Hengchen have recorded 12 wins from 24 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Changchun Yatai have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Guangxi Hengchen and 1.31 for Changchun Yatai. The models give Guangxi Hengchen a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Changchun Yatai win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Guangxi Hengchen—
Changchun Yatai3º
Position
9º
1.77
PPG
1.45
50%
Win %
45%
1.73
Goals / game
1.64
1.18
Conceded / game
1.68
50%
BTTS %
70%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
58%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Guangxi Hengchen
Home (12)
—
Changchun Yatai
Away (10)
2.08
PPG
1.00
58%
Win %
30%
1.92
Goals / game
1.50
1.17
Conceded / game
1.90
46%
BTTS %
82%
38%
Clean sheet %
0%
62%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Guangxi Hengchen | Home | Away | Changchun Yatai | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 77% | 82% | 87% | 92% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 54% | 45% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 38% | 27% | 17% | 8% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Guangxi Hengchen | Home | Away | Changchun Yatai | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 62% | 73% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 31% | 36% | 52% | 42% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 31% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 38% | 27% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guangxi Hengchen | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guangxi Hengchen | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Guangxi Hengchen (H)W
Yanbian Longding2–1
Yanbian Longding2–1L
Hebei Kungfu0–1
Hebei Kungfu0–1D
Suzhou Dongwu3–3
Suzhou Dongwu3–3W
Meizhou Kejia1–0
Meizhou Kejia1–0D
Heilongjiang Lava Spring4–4
Heilongjiang Lava Spring4–4W
Shaanxi Union3–0
Shaanxi Union3–0Changchun Yatai (A)L
Guangzhou E-Power0–3
Guangzhou E-Power0–3LShaanxi Union1–2
Shaanxi Union1–2LSuzhou Dongwu1–2
Suzhou Dongwu1–2WMeizhou Kejia3–1
Meizhou Kejia3–1DYanbian Longding2–2
Yanbian Longding2–2D
Xi'an Ronghai1–1
Xi'an Ronghai1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Guangxi Hengchen
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Changchun Yatai
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
27/06/26Guangxi Hengchen
Changchun Yatai
1–2Guangxi Hengchen| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | +27 | 51 |
| 2 |  Shenzhen Juniors | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | +14 | 43 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +12 | 39 |
| 4 |  Nantong Zhiyun | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | +12 | 39 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 35 |
| 6 | Shaanxi Union | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 32 |
| 7 |  Ningbo Professional | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | Hebei Kungfu | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | -1 | 28 |
| 10 |  Dalian Huayi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -4 | 26 |
| 11 |  Wuxi Wugou | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 26 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 25 |
| 13 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -11 | 22 |
| 14 |  Nanjing City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 |  Dongguan United | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | -25 | 12 |
Team Insights
Guangxi Hengchen- ●Guangxi Hengchen have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Guangxi Hengchen failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Guangxi Hengchen have won 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Guangxi Hengchen have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
Changchun Yatai- ●Changchun Yatai have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have lost 6 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Changchun Yatai have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
Season Schedule
Guangxi HengchenWHYanbian Longding2–1
Yanbian Longding2–1LHHebei Kungfu0–1
Hebei Kungfu0–1WANanjing City2–0
Nanjing City2–0DHSuzhou Dongwu3–3
Suzhou Dongwu3–3WHMeizhou Kejia1–0
Meizhou Kejia1–0LAGuangzhou E-Power0–2
Guangzhou E-Power0–2–ANantong Zhiyun18/09
Nantong Zhiyun18/09–AWuxi Wugou25/09
Wuxi Wugou25/09–ADongguan United07/10
Dongguan United07/10Changchun YataiWHHeilongjiang Lava Spring1–0
Heilongjiang Lava Spring1–0WHNingbo Professional2–0
Ningbo Professional2–0LAGuangzhou E-Power0–3
Guangzhou E-Power0–3WHDongguan United6–0
Dongguan United6–0LAShaanxi Union1–2
Shaanxi Union1–2LASuzhou Dongwu1–2
Suzhou Dongwu1–2–AShenzhen Juniors19/09
Shenzhen Juniors19/09–ANantong Zhiyun26/09
Nantong Zhiyun26/09–HYanbian Longding06/10
Yanbian Longding06/10Top Scorers
Guangxi HengchenN. Mbo12 ⚽
L. Lapoussin9 ⚽
R. Ardazishvili5 ⚽
D. Chen5 ⚽
Ji Tianle3 ⚽
Liang Yibin2 ⚽
Changchun YataiJ. Salazar11 ⚽
Tan Long10 ⚽
O. Omoijuanfo8 ⚽
Chen Xuhuang2 ⚽
Fan Chao2 ⚽
Jiang Zilei1 ⚽
Cards Given
Guangxi HengchenH. Luan6 🟨
Wei Chaolun5 🟨
R. Ardazishvili4 🟨
X. Ji3 🟨
S. Li3 🟨
X. Yuan3 🟨
Changchun YataiSun Guoliang5 🟨
Tan Long5 🟨
JIng Boxi3 🟨
Fan Houtai3 🟨
J. Salazar3 🟨
Li Qiang3 🟨