England vs Croatia — UEFA Nations League
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England and Croatia meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026 season on 12 November 2026. England have recorded 11 wins from 16 matches this season (69% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Croatia have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for England and 1.48 for Croatia. The models give England a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Croatia win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
England—
Croatia3º
Position
2º
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
3.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
75%
44%
Clean sheet %
8%
63%
Over 2.5 %
83%
6.3
Avg corners
3.4
17.0
Avg shots
10.2
6.2
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.6
9.8
Avg fouls
9.9
59.4%
Avg possession
48.1%
Home vs Away
England
Home (1)
—
Croatia
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
3.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
86%
40%
Clean sheet %
14%
60%
Over 2.5 %
86%
6.3
Avg corners
3.4
17.0
Avg shots
10.2
6.2
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.6
59.4%
Avg possession
48.1%
Goals Scored
| England | Home | Away | Croatia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 80% | 100% | 83% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 50% | 100% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 30% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 40% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| England | Home | Away | Croatia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 60% | 50% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 30% | 33% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 10% | 17% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 40% | 50% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| England | Croatia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| England | Croatia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 83% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
England (H)W
Czechia3–0
Czechia3–0L
Spain2–3
Spain2–3L
Argentina1–2
Argentina1–2W
Congo DR2–1
Congo DR2–1D
Ghana0–0
Ghana0–0WCroatia4–2
Croatia4–2Croatia (A)LSpain1–4
Spain1–4WCzechia2–1
Czechia2–1L
Portugal1–2
Portugal1–2W
Panama1–0
Panama1–0LEngland2–4
England2–4L
Brazil1–3
Brazil1–3Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
8.6
104 games
8.2
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | England | Croatia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 55% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 45% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 27% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 18% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 18% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 6% | 9% | 7% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 9% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | England | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 3.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.1 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 88% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 19% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 19% | 55% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
4
England
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Croatia
17%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
03/10/26England
Croatia
0–7England17/06/26Croatia
England
4–2Croatia13/06/21Croatia
England
1–0Croatia18/11/18Croatia
England
2–1Croatia12/10/18England
Croatia
0–0England11/07/18England
Croatia
2–1England| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
England- ●England have won their last 3 matches.
- ●England have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●England have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●England have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●England have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of England's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of England's points have been earned away.
Croatia- ●Croatia have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Croatia have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Croatia have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
EnglandWHCzechia3–0
Czechia3–0WACroatia7–0
Croatia7–0WACzechia2–0
Czechia2–0LHSpain2–3
Spain2–3–HCroatia12/11
Croatia12/11–ASpain15/11
Spain15/11CroatiaLHSpain1–2
Spain1–2LHEngland0–7
England0–7LASpain1–4
Spain1–4WACzechia2–1
Czechia2–1–AEngland12/11
England12/11–HCzechia15/11
Czechia15/11Top Scorers
EnglandJ. Bellingham7 ⚽
H. Kane7 ⚽
Harry Kane6 ⚽
B. Saka3 ⚽
Anthony Gordon3 ⚽
D. Rice2 ⚽
CroatiaDion Drena Beljo1 ⚽
I. Matanovic1 ⚽
I. Perisic1 ⚽
Ivan Perišić1 ⚽
L. Majer1 ⚽
A. Budimir1 ⚽
Cards Given
EnglandMyles Lewis-Skelly2 🟨
Jude Bellingham2 🟨
Declan Rice1 🟨
J. Henderson1 🟨
J. Quansah1 🟨
Elliot Anderson1 🟨
CroatiaIvan Perišić4 🟨
Luka Modrić2 🟨
Petar Sučić2 🟨
I. Perisic1 🟨
L. Vuskovic1 🟨
Josip Mišić1 🟨