Albania vs Finland — UEFA Nations League
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Albania and Finland meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026 season on 12 November 2026. Albania have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Finland have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Albania and 1.68 for Finland. The models give Albania a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Finland win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Albania—
Finland2º
Position
1º
3.00
PPG
3.00
100%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
7.00
0.00
Conceded / game
0.00
29%
BTTS %
38%
29%
Clean sheet %
38%
43%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.8
Avg corners
5.8
17.4
Avg shots
12.3
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.4
10.4
Avg fouls
11.8
59.0%
Avg possession
58.3%
Home vs Away
Albania
Home (1)
—
Finland
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
3.00
100%
Win %
100%
2.00
Goals / game
7.00
0.00
Conceded / game
0.00
25%
BTTS %
33%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.8
Avg corners
5.8
17.4
Avg shots
12.3
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.4
59.0%
Avg possession
58.3%
Goals Scored
| Albania | Home | Away | Finland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 67% | 63% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 33% | 13% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 50% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Albania | Home | Away | Finland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 67% | 63% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 25% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Albania | Finland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Albania | Finland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Albania (H)W
San Marino2–1
San Marino2–1W
Belarus2–0
Belarus2–0L
Luxembourg0–1
Luxembourg0–1L
Israel0–1
Israel0–1L
England0–2
England0–2W
Jordan4–2
Jordan4–2Finland (A)LBelarus0–1
Belarus0–1WSan Marino7–0
San Marino7–0L
Hungary1–2
Hungary1–2L
Germany0–4
Germany0–4D
Cape Verde Islands1–1
Cape Verde Islands1–1W
New Zealand2–0
New Zealand2–0Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
8.6
104 games
9.5
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Albania | Finland | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 67% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 80% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 50% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 33% | 7% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Albania | Finland |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 33% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Albania
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Finland
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
03/10/26Albania
Finland
2–1Albania| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 1 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 | San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Albania- ●Albania have won their last 2 home matches.
Finland- ●78% of Finland's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
AlbaniaWHSan Marino2–1
San Marino2–1LAFinland1–2
Finland1–2WASan Marino3–0
San Marino3–0WHBelarus2–0
Belarus2–0–HFinland12/11
Finland12/11–ABelarus15/11
Belarus15/11FinlandLABelarus0–1
Belarus0–1WHAlbania2–1
Albania2–1DHBelarus0–0
Belarus0–0WASan Marino7–0
San Marino7–0–AAlbania12/11
Albania12/11–HSan Marino15/11
San Marino15/11Top Scorers
AlbaniaKristjan Asllani3 ⚽
Rey Manaj2 ⚽
Anis·Mehmeti1 ⚽
Ernest Muci1 ⚽
Myrto Uzuni1 ⚽
FinlandLeo Walta4 ⚽
Joel Pohjanpalo3 ⚽
J. Pohjanpalo1 ⚽
N. Skytta1 ⚽
T. Miettinen1 ⚽
Benjamin Källman1 ⚽
Cards Given
AlbaniaKristjan Asllani2 🟨
Anis·Mehmeti1 🟨
Ardian Ismajli1 🟨
Berat Djimsiti1 🟨
Elseid Hysaj1 🟨
Etrit Berisha1 🟨
FinlandKaan Kairinen2 🟨
Adam Stahl1 🟨
Anssi Suhonen1 🟨
Benjamin Källman1 🟨
J. Oksanen1 🟨
K. Paananen1 🟨