Netherlands vs Greece — UEFA Nations League
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Netherlands and Greece meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026 season on 13 November 2026. Netherlands have recorded 6 wins from 12 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 92% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Greece have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Netherlands and 1.26 for Greece. The models give Netherlands a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Greece win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Netherlands—
Greece2º
Position
1º
2.00
PPG
3.00
50%
Win %
100%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
92%
BTTS %
38%
0%
Clean sheet %
38%
67%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.6
Avg corners
4.3
15.2
Avg shots
11.7
5.7
Avg shots on target
3.4
0.9
Avg yellow cards
2.0
10.8
Avg fouls
10.0
55.2%
Avg possession
43.1%
Home vs Away
Netherlands
Home (1)
—
Greece
Away (2)
1.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
89%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
50%
56%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.6
Avg corners
4.3
15.2
Avg shots
11.7
5.7
Avg shots on target
3.4
0.9
Avg yellow cards
2.0
55.2%
Avg possession
43.1%
Goals Scored
| Netherlands | Home | Away | Greece | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 89% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 56% | 100% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 11% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 11% | 0% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Netherlands | Home | Away | Greece | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 11% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Netherlands | Greece | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 92% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 42% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Netherlands | Greece | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Netherlands (H)W
Serbia2–1
Serbia2–1D
Germany1–1
Germany1–1D
Morocco1–1
Morocco1–1W
Sweden5–1
Sweden5–1D
Japan2–2
Japan2–2W
Uzbekistan2–1
Uzbekistan2–1Greece (A)WGermany1–0
Germany1–0WSerbia2–1
Serbia2–1DSweden2–2
Sweden2–2D
Hungary0–0
Hungary0–0D
Belarus0–0
Belarus0–0L
Denmark1–3
Denmark1–3Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
8.6
104 games
8.3
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Netherlands | Greece | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 57% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 43% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 43% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 29% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 14% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 14% | 7% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 14% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Netherlands | Greece |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 29% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Netherlands
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Greece
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
01/10/26Netherlands
Greece
2–2Netherlands16/10/23Netherlands
Greece
0–1Netherlands07/09/23Greece
Netherlands
3–0Greece| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 |  England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Netherlands- ●Netherlands have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Netherlands have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Greece- ●Greece have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Greece have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Greece's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
NetherlandsWHSerbia2–1
Serbia2–1DAGreece2–2
Greece2–2WASerbia2–1
Serbia2–1DHGermany1–1
Germany1–1–HGreece13/11
Greece13/11–AGermany16/11
Germany16/11GreeceDHGermany0–0
Germany0–0DHNetherlands2–2
Netherlands2–2WAGermany1–0
Germany1–0WASerbia2–1
Serbia2–1–ANetherlands13/11
Netherlands13/11–HSerbia16/11
Serbia16/11Top Scorers
NetherlandsC. Gakpo5 ⚽
B. Brobbey3 ⚽
V. van Dijk2 ⚽
C. Summerville2 ⚽
Mexx Meerdink2 ⚽
Joshua Zirkzee1 ⚽
GreeceAnastasios Douvikas1 ⚽
Christos Tzolis1 ⚽
Dimitrios Kourbelis1 ⚽
Fotis Ioannidis1 ⚽
G. Masouras1 ⚽
Georgios Masouras1 ⚽
Cards Given
NetherlandsCrysencio Summerville2 🟨
D. Dumfries1 🟨
Guus Til1 🟨
Jan Paul van Hecke1 🟨
Jurriën Timber1 🟨
Memphis Depay1 🟨
GreecePanagiotis Retsos2 🟨
Manolis Saliakas2 🟨
Christos Zafeiris2 🟨
Dimitrios Kourbelis1 🟨
K. Koulierakis1 🟨
Ivan Jovanović1 🟨