Norway vs Wales — UEFA Nations League
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Norway and Wales meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Norway have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 93% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Wales have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Norway and 1.03 for Wales. The models give Norway a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Wales win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Norway—
Wales2º
Position
4º
1.50
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.50
93%
BTTS %
57%
7%
Clean sheet %
0%
86%
Over 2.5 %
29%
5.0
Avg corners
4.9
11.6
Avg shots
12.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.7
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
8.7
Avg fouls
11.7
51.1%
Avg possession
54.0%
Home vs Away
Norway
Home (2)
—
Wales
Away (2)
1.50
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.50
86%
BTTS %
33%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
86%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.0
Avg corners
4.9
11.6
Avg shots
12.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.7
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
51.1%
Avg possession
54.0%
Goals Scored
| Norway | Home | Away | Wales | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 86% | 100% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 43% | 43% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 14% | 0% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Norway | Home | Away | Wales | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 71% | 43% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Norway | Wales | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 93% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 86% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Norway | Wales | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 71% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 79% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Norway (H)L
Portugal1–2
Portugal1–2W
Denmark3–2
Denmark3–2L
England1–2
England1–2L
France1–4
France1–4W
Senegal3–2
Senegal3–2W
Sweden3–1
Sweden3–1Wales (A)LDenmark0–2
Denmark0–2LPortugal0–1
Portugal0–1L
Romania1–2
Romania1–2W
Liechtenstein1–0
Liechtenstein1–0LEngland0–3
England0–3W
Kazakhstan1–0
Kazakhstan1–0Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
8.6
104 games
9.7
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Norway | Wales | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 43% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 43% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 29% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 29% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 14% | 7% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 14% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Norway | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 29% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Norway
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Wales
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
01/10/26Norway
Wales
2–1Norway| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Norway- ●Norway have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Norway have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Norway have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Norway have lost their last 2 away matches.
Wales- ●Wales have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
NorwayLAPortugal1–2
Portugal1–2LAWales1–2
Wales1–2LHPortugal1–2
Portugal1–2WHDenmark3–2
Denmark3–2–HWales14/11
Wales14/11–ADenmark17/11
Denmark17/11WalesLHDenmark0–1
Denmark0–1WHNorway2–1
Norway2–1LADenmark0–2
Denmark0–2LAPortugal0–1
Portugal0–1–ANorway14/11
Norway14/11–HPortugal17/11
Portugal17/11Top Scorers
NorwayE. Haaland7 ⚽
Erling Haaland3 ⚽
J. S. Larsen2 ⚽
Oscar Bobb2 ⚽
A. Nusa2 ⚽
A. Schjelderup2 ⚽
WalesD. Brooks1 ⚽
Daniel James1 ⚽
L. Koumas1 ⚽
Neco Williams1 ⚽
S. Thomas1 ⚽
Cards Given
NorwayKristoffer Ajer3 🟨
David Moller Wolfe2 🟨
Julian Ryerson2 🟨
Patrick Berg1 🟨
Antonio Nusa1 🟨
Torbjørn Heggem1 🟨
WalesBen Cabango2 🟨
Sorba Thomas2 🟨
Chris Mepham1 🟨
D. Brooks1 🟨
David Brooks1 🟨
Ethan Ampadu1 🟨