Portugal vs Denmark — UEFA Nations League
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Portugal and Denmark meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Portugal have recorded 9 wins from 13 matches this season (69% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Denmark have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Portugal and 1.26 for Denmark. The models give Portugal a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Denmark win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Portugal—
Denmark1º
Position
3º
3.00
PPG
1.50
100%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
2.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.50
54%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
50%
54%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.1
Avg corners
3.4
13.8
Avg shots
13.6
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.4
9.2
Avg fouls
8.8
57.4%
Avg possession
53.0%
Home vs Away
Portugal
Home (1)
—
Denmark
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
0.00
100%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.00
Conceded / game
3.00
63%
BTTS %
33%
25%
Clean sheet %
67%
63%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.1
Avg corners
3.4
13.8
Avg shots
13.6
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.4
57.4%
Avg possession
53.0%
Goals Scored
| Portugal | Home | Away | Denmark | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 88% | 60% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 63% | 60% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 13% | 40% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Portugal | Home | Away | Denmark | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 75% | 40% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 60% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Portugal | Denmark | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 33% |
| BTTS | 54% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 46% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Portugal | Denmark | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Portugal (H)W
Norway2–1
Norway2–1W
Wales1–0
Wales1–0L
Spain0–1
Spain0–1W
Croatia2–1
Croatia2–1W
Uzbekistan5–0
Uzbekistan5–0D
Congo DR1–1
Congo DR1–1Denmark (A)WWales1–0
Wales1–0LNorway2–3
Norway2–3DCongo DR0–0
Congo DR0–0D
Czechia1–1
Czechia1–1L
Scotland2–4
Scotland2–4W
Belarus6–0
Belarus6–0Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
8.6
104 games
7.4
Corners / Match
5 games
| Match Corners | Portugal | Denmark | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 69% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 62% | 40% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 62% | 40% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 20% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 20% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 0% | 7% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Portugal | Denmark |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 3.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 62% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 46% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 20% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
3
Portugal
75%
0
Draws
0%
1
Denmark
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
01/10/26Portugal
Denmark
2–4Portugal23/03/25Denmark
Portugal
5–2Denmark20/03/25Portugal
Denmark
1–0Portugal13/06/12Portugal
Denmark
2–3Portugal| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 |  England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 | Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Portugal- ●Portugal have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Portugal have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Portugal have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Portugal have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Portugal's goals have been scored away.
Denmark—
Season Schedule
PortugalWHNorway2–1
Norway2–1WADenmark4–2
Denmark4–2WANorway2–1
Norway2–1WHWales1–0
Wales1–0–HDenmark14/11
Denmark14/11–AWales17/11
Wales17/11DenmarkWAWales1–0
Wales1–0LHPortugal2–4
Portugal2–4WHWales2–0
Wales2–0LANorway2–3
Norway2–3–APortugal14/11
Portugal14/11–HNorway17/11
Norway17/11Top Scorers
PortugalJoao Felix4 ⚽
Gonçalo Ramos3 ⚽
C. Ronaldo3 ⚽
João Cancelo2 ⚽
F. Conceicao1 ⚽
G. Ramos1 ⚽
DenmarkRasmus Hojlund3 ⚽
Mikkel Damsgaard2 ⚽
Gustav Isaksen1 ⚽
J. Maehle1 ⚽
P. Dorgu1 ⚽
Cards Given
PortugalRenato Veiga3 🟨
Bernardo Silva3 🟨
Francisco Conceicao2 🟨
Jorge Fernando Pinheiro de Jesus2 🟨
João Cancelo2 🟨
Rúben Dias2 🟨
DenmarkC. Eriksen1 🟨
Gustav Isaksen1 🟨
J. Maehle1 🟨
Joakim Maehle1 🟨
Mads Hermansen1 🟨
Mohammed Daramy1 🟨