Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina — UEFA Nations League
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Sweden and Bosnia & Herzegovina meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Sweden have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Sweden and 1.22 for Bosnia & Herzegovina. The models give Sweden a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bosnia & Herzegovina win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Sweden—
Bosnia & Herzegovina1º
Position
3º
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
80%
BTTS %
60%
10%
Clean sheet %
30%
70%
Over 2.5 %
30%
3.1
Avg corners
3.2
11.3
Avg shots
9.7
4.9
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.9
9.1
Avg fouls
13.1
50.0%
Avg possession
47.4%
Home vs Away
Sweden
Home (1)
—
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
100%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
100%
Over 2.5 %
33%
3.1
Avg corners
3.2
11.3
Avg shots
9.7
4.9
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.9
50.0%
Avg possession
47.4%
Goals Scored
| Sweden | Home | Away | Bosnia & | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 83% | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 100% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 50% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 17% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Sweden | Home | Away | Bosnia & | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 100% | 83% | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 25% | 50% | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 0% | 50% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% | 30% | 50% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sweden | Bosnia & | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sweden | Bosnia & | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Sweden (H)W
Poland3–1
Poland3–1W
Romania2–1
Romania2–1W
Tunisia5–1
Tunisia5–1D
Greece2–2
Greece2–2WPoland3–2
Poland3–2D
Slovenia1–1
Slovenia1–1Bosnia & (A)WRomania4–2
Romania4–2DPoland0–0
Poland0–0L
USA0–2
USA0–2L
Switzerland1–4
Switzerland1–4D
Canada1–1
Canada1–1D
Panama1–1
Panama1–1Number of Corners
6.9
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
8.6
104 games
7.8
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Sweden | Bosnia & | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 40% | 44% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 30% | 44% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 20% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 11% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 11% | 7% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sweden | Bosnia & |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 60% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 20% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 30% | 44% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Sweden
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Bosnia &
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
02/10/26Sweden
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1Sweden| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 |  England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Sweden- ●Sweden have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sweden have won their last 2 home matches.
Bosnia &- ●Bosnia & Herzegovina have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
Season Schedule
SwedenWARomania1–0
Romania1–0DABosnia & Herzegovina1–1
Bosnia & Herzegovina1–1WHPoland3–1
Poland3–1WHRomania2–1
Romania2–1–HBosnia & Herzegovina14/11
Bosnia & Herzegovina14/11–APoland17/11
Poland17/11Bosnia &WHPoland1–0
Poland1–0DHSweden1–1
Sweden1–1WARomania4–2
Romania4–2DAPoland0–0
Poland0–0–ASweden14/11
Sweden14/11–HRomania17/11
Romania17/11Top Scorers
SwedenViktor Gyökeres4 ⚽
A. Isak2 ⚽
V. Gyokeres2 ⚽
Y. Ayari2 ⚽
A. Elanga2 ⚽
Yasin Ayari1 ⚽
Bosnia &E. Mahmic2 ⚽
Ermin Mahmić1 ⚽
Haris Tabaković1 ⚽
Ivan Bašić1 ⚽
J. Lukic1 ⚽
K. Alajbegovic1 ⚽
Cards Given
SwedenAlexander Bernhardsson1 🟨
Daniel Svensson1 🟨
Felix Beijmo1 🟨
Gabriel Gudmundsson1 🟨
Hjalmar Ekdal1 🟨
Isak Hien1 🟨
Bosnia &S. Barbarez2 🟨
Ermin Mahmić2 🟨
Nikola Katić2 🟨
Ermedin Demirović2 🟨
Armin Gigovic1 🟨
Edin Džeko1 🟨