Germany vs Netherlands — UEFA Nations League
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Germany and Netherlands meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026 season on 16 November 2026. Germany have recorded 7 wins from 12 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Netherlands have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 92%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Germany and 1.51 for Netherlands. The models give Germany a 38% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Netherlands win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Germany—
Netherlands3º
Position
2º
0.50
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
50%
0.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
92%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
58%
Over 2.5 %
67%
7.4
Avg corners
5.6
19.3
Avg shots
15.2
6.5
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.9
14.4
Avg fouls
10.8
63.6%
Avg possession
55.2%
Home vs Away
Germany
Home (1)
—
Netherlands
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
0.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
100%
29%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
100%
7.4
Avg corners
5.6
19.3
Avg shots
15.2
6.5
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.9
63.6%
Avg possession
55.2%
Goals Scored
| Germany | Home | Away | Netherlands | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 86% | 80% | 92% | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 71% | 40% | 67% | 56% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 14% | 20% | 8% | 11% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Germany | Home | Away | Netherlands | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 40% | 17% | 11% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Germany | Netherlands | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS | 67% | 92% |
| BTTS & Win | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 42% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Germany | Netherlands | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Germany (H)W
Serbia2–0
Serbia2–0L
Greece0–1
Greece0–1D
Paraguay1–1
Paraguay1–1W
Ivory Coast2–1
Ivory Coast2–1W
Curaçao7–1
Curaçao7–1W
Finland4–0
Finland4–0Netherlands (A)DGreece2–2
Greece2–2WSerbia2–1
Serbia2–1W
Tunisia3–1
Tunisia3–1D
Poland1–1
Poland1–1W
Malta4–0
Malta4–0W
Lithuania3–2
Lithuania3–2Number of Corners
11.3
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
8.6
104 games
10.0
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Germany | Netherlands | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 92% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 75% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 75% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 58% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 58% | 33% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 42% | 25% | 7% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 8% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Germany | Netherlands |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.4 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 58% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 33% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
4
Germany
40%
4
Draws
40%
2
Netherlands
20%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
70%
Over 2.5
7/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
80%
BTTS
8/10
24/09/26Germany
Netherlands
1–1Germany14/10/24Netherlands
Germany
1–0Netherlands10/09/24Germany
Netherlands
2–2Germany26/03/24Netherlands
Germany
2–1Netherlands29/03/22Germany
Netherlands
1–1Germany06/09/19Netherlands
Germany
2–4Netherlands24/03/19Germany
Netherlands
2–3Germany19/11/18Netherlands
Germany
2–2Netherlands13/10/18Germany
Netherlands
3–0Germany13/06/12Germany
Netherlands
1–2Germany| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 | Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 |  England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Germany- ●Germany have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
Netherlands- ●Netherlands have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Netherlands have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
GermanyDAGreece0–0
Greece0–0WHSerbia2–0
Serbia2–0LHGreece0–1
Greece0–1DANetherlands1–1
Netherlands1–1–ASerbia13/11
Serbia13/11–HNetherlands16/11
Netherlands16/11NetherlandsWHSerbia2–1
Serbia2–1DAGreece2–2
Greece2–2WASerbia2–1
Serbia2–1DHGermany1–1
Germany1–1–HGreece13/11
Greece13/11–AGermany16/11
Germany16/11Top Scorers
GermanyD. Undav6 ⚽
K. Havertz5 ⚽
F. Wirtz3 ⚽
J. Musiala2 ⚽
L. Sane2 ⚽
Florian Wirtz1 ⚽
NetherlandsC. Gakpo5 ⚽
B. Brobbey3 ⚽
V. van Dijk2 ⚽
C. Summerville2 ⚽
Mexx Meerdink2 ⚽
Joshua Zirkzee1 ⚽
Cards Given
GermanyNico Schlotterbeck2 🟨
David Raum1 🟨
Jamal Musiala1 🟨
Kai Havertz1 🟨
Malick Thiaw1 🟨
Maximilian Beier1 🟨
NetherlandsCrysencio Summerville2 🟨
D. Dumfries1 🟨
Guus Til1 🟨
Jan Paul van Hecke1 🟨
Jurriën Timber1 🟨
Memphis Depay1 🟨