Hungary vs Northern Ireland — UEFA Nations League
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Hungary and Northern Ireland meet in the UEFA Nations League 2026 season on 17 November 2026. Hungary have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Northern Ireland have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 71%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.04 for Hungary and 1.24 for Northern Ireland. The models give Hungary a 34% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Northern Ireland win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Hungary—
Northern Ireland3º
Position
1º
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
0.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
38%
BTTS %
29%
50%
Clean sheet %
71%
38%
Over 2.5 %
29%
4.5
Avg corners
2.4
16.5
Avg shots
10.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
13.0
Avg fouls
9.7
54.5%
Avg possession
34.3%
Home vs Away
Hungary
Home (1)
—
Northern Ireland
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
0.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.00
33%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.5
Avg corners
2.4
16.5
Avg shots
10.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
54.5%
Avg possession
34.3%
Goals Scored
| Hungary | Home | Away | Northern Ireland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 50% | 71% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 50% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Hungary | Home | Away | Northern Ireland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hungary | Northern Ireland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hungary | Northern Ireland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Hungary (H)W
Georgia1–0
Georgia1–0L
Ukraine0–1
Ukraine0–1W
Kazakhstan3–1
Kazakhstan3–1W
Finland2–1
Finland2–1D
Greece0–0
Greece0–0W
Slovenia1–0
Slovenia1–0Northern Ireland (A)WUkraine3–0
Ukraine3–0WGeorgia1–0
Georgia1–0L
France1–3
France1–3D
Wales1–1
Wales1–1L
Italy0–2
Italy0–2L
Slovakia0–1
Slovakia0–1Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.6
104 games
8.3
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Hungary | Northern Ireland | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 57% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 43% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 43% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 14% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 14% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Hungary | Northern Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 71% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Hungary
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Northern Ireland
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
28/09/26Hungary
Northern Ireland
0–0Hungary29/03/22Hungary
Northern Ireland
0–1Hungary| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 1 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 10 |
| 1 |  Albania | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 |  Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 1 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 |  England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Finland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 7 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 3 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 4 |  FYR Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 4 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
Hungary- ●Hungary have won their last 2 matches.
Northern Ireland- ●Northern Ireland have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Northern Ireland have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Northern Ireland have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Northern Ireland have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Northern Ireland have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Northern Ireland's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
HungaryWAUkraine2–1
Ukraine2–1WHGeorgia1–0
Georgia1–0DANorthern Ireland0–0
Northern Ireland0–0LHUkraine0–1
Ukraine0–1–AGeorgia14/11
Georgia14/11–HNorthern Ireland17/11
Northern Ireland17/11Northern IrelandDHGeorgia0–0
Georgia0–0WAUkraine3–0
Ukraine3–0DHHungary0–0
Hungary0–0WAGeorgia1–0
Georgia1–0–HUkraine14/11
Ukraine14/11–AHungary17/11
Hungary17/11Top Scorers
HungaryB. Varga2 ⚽
D. Szoboszlai1 ⚽
Mark Csinger1 ⚽
Milan Tóth1 ⚽
Milos Kerkez1 ⚽
R. Toth1 ⚽
Northern IrelandCiaron Brown2 ⚽
Isaac Price1 ⚽
J. Donley1 ⚽
P. Kelly1 ⚽
Shea Charles1 ⚽
T. Atcheson1 ⚽
Cards Given
HungaryTamás Szűcs2 🟨
Milos Kerkez2 🟨
Dominik Szoboszlai2 🟨
Attila Osváth1 🟨
Dániel Lukács1 🟨
Donat Barany1 🟨
Northern IrelandBrodie Spencer1 🟨
Ciaron Brown1 🟨
Dan Ballard1 🟨
E. Galbraith1 🟨
Ethan Galbraith1 🟨
Isaac Price1 🟨