Shakhter Karagandy vs Sport Academy Kairat — 1. Division
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Shakhter Karagandy and Sport Academy Kairat meet in the 1. Division 2026 season on 22 October 2026. Shakhter Karagandy have recorded 21 wins from 26 matches this season (81% win rate), averaging 2.62 goals scored and 0.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 23% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 73% of games. Sport Academy Kairat have won 72% of their 25 matches, with 2.76 goals scored and 0.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 64%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Shakhter Karagandy and 1.24 for Sport Academy Kairat. The models give Shakhter Karagandy a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sport Academy Kairat win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Shakhter Karagandy—
Sport Academy Kairat1º
Position
2º
2.60
PPG
2.40
84%
Win %
72%
2.64
Goals / game
2.76
0.36
Conceded / game
0.52
23%
BTTS %
32%
73%
Clean sheet %
64%
54%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Shakhter Karagandy
Home (12)
—
Sport Academy Kairat
Away (12)
2.83
PPG
2.42
92%
Win %
75%
2.83
Goals / game
2.58
0.08
Conceded / game
0.67
15%
BTTS %
42%
85%
Clean sheet %
50%
62%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Shakhter Karagandy | Home | Away | Sport Academy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 92% | 85% | 88% | 85% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 77% | 69% | 85% | 68% | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 54% | 31% | 48% | 38% | 58% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 8% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Shakhter Karagandy | Home | Away | Sport Academy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 27% | 15% | 38% | 36% | 23% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 8% | 8% | 8% | 16% | 15% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 73% | 85% | 62% | 64% | 77% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shakhter Karagandy | Sport Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 32% |
| BTTS | 23% | 32% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 32% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shakhter Karagandy | Sport Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 72% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 76% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 12% | 12% |
| Win 2nd Half | 69% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 12% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 19% | 28% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Shakhter Karagandy (H)W
Akademiya Ontustik2–0
Akademiya Ontustik2–0D
Taraz0–0
Taraz0–0W
Khan Tengri4–0
Khan Tengri4–0W
Astana II4–0
Astana II4–0W
Kaspij Aktau 21–0
Kaspij Aktau 21–0W
Arys4–1
Arys4–1Sport Academy (A)DTaraz1–1
Taraz1–1WKhan Tengri2–0
Khan Tengri2–0W
Tobol 21–0
Tobol 21–0W
Turan Turkistan4–0
Turan Turkistan4–0L
Yelimay Semey 20–1
Yelimay Semey 20–1W
Aktobe Jas4–0
Aktobe Jas4–0Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Shakhter Karagandy
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
Sport Academy
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
03/04/26Shakhter Karagandy
Sport Academy Kairat
0–0Shakhter Karagandy22/08/25Sport Academy Kairat
Shakhter Karagandy
3–3Sport Academy Kairat22/05/25Shakhter Karagandy
Sport Academy Kairat
1–2Shakhter Karagandy| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | +57 | 65 |
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | +56 | 60 |
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | +31 | 54 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 | Astana II | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | -1 | 36 |
| 6 | Taraz | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 34 |
| 7 |  Jaiyq | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 | Arys | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | -12 | 30 |
| 9 | Khan Tengri | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -14 | 29 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 |  Ekibastuz | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -24 | 27 |
| 12 | Aktobe Jas | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -32 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -14 | 20 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 19 | -37 | 12 |
Team Insights
Shakhter Karagandy- ●Shakhter Karagandy have been undefeated in their last 12 home matches.
- ●Shakhter Karagandy have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Shakhter Karagandy have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Shakhter Karagandy have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Shakhter Karagandy have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Shakhter Karagandy have won 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Shakhter Karagandy have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●89% of Shakhter Karagandy's goals conceded were conceded away.
Sport Academy- ●Sport Academy Kairat have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Sport Academy Kairat have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Sport Academy Kairat have been undefeated in their last 13 home matches.
- ●Sport Academy Kairat have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sport Academy Kairat have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sport Academy Kairat have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Sport Academy Kairat have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Sport Academy Kairat have won 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Sport Academy Kairat have scored in 11 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
Shakhter KaragandyLATuran Turkistan0–1
Turan Turkistan0–1WHAkademiya Ontustik2–0
Akademiya Ontustik2–0DHTaraz0–0
Taraz0–0WAJaiyq2–1
Jaiyq2–1WHKhan Tengri4–0
Khan Tengri4–0WAYelimay Semey 23–0
Yelimay Semey 23–0–HSport Academy Kairat22/10
Sport Academy Kairat22/10Sport AcademyWHEkibastuz2–0
Ekibastuz2–0DATaraz1–1
Taraz1–1WAKhan Tengri2–0
Khan Tengri2–0DHAstana II2–2
Astana II2–2WATobol 21–0
Tobol 21–0WHArys1–0
Arys1–0–AShakhter Karagandy22/10
Shakhter Karagandy22/10Top Scorers
Shakhter KaragandyA. Litosh25 ⚽
D. Kalybayev8 ⚽
R. Nurmugamet8 ⚽
A. Ulshin5 ⚽
A. Migunov4 ⚽
A. Nusip4 ⚽
Sport AcademyI. Bekbolat8 ⚽
Y. Petrik8 ⚽
D. Tashpulatov7 ⚽
E. Kerimkhan4 ⚽
A. Tuyakbaev4 ⚽
A. Smakov4 ⚽
Cards Given
Shakhter KaragandySport AcademyA. Kalikulov1 🟨