Metallurg Lipetsk vs Orel — Second League - Group 3
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Stadion Metallurg·Lipetsk·Russia·14,940
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Metallurg Lipetsk and Orel meet in the Second League - Group 3 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Metallurg Lipetsk have recorded 13 wins from 26 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Orel have won 24% of their 29 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Metallurg Lipetsk and 1.24 for Orel. The models give Metallurg Lipetsk a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Orel win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Metallurg Lipetsk—
Orel4º
Position
8º
1.91
PPG
1.18
55%
Win %
27%
2.09
Goals / game
1.27
1.09
Conceded / game
1.55
58%
BTTS %
48%
27%
Clean sheet %
14%
62%
Over 2.5 %
52%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Metallurg Lipetsk
Home (7)
—
Orel
Away (5)
2.29
PPG
1.40
71%
Win %
40%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.71
Conceded / game
1.60
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Metallurg Lipetsk | Home | Away | Orel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 75% | 79% | 55% | 53% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 58% | 57% | 31% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 25% | 29% | 17% | 13% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 25% | 21% | 45% | 47% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Metallurg Lipetsk | Home | Away | Orel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 79% | 86% | 87% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 8% | 57% | 59% | 53% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 0% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 21% | 14% | 13% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Metallurg Lipetsk | Orel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 28% |
| BTTS | 58% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Metallurg Lipetsk | Orel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 59% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 76% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Metallurg Lipetsk (H)W
Strogino1–0
Strogino1–0L
Shumbrat0–1
Shumbrat0–1W
Avangard Kursk2–1
Avangard Kursk2–1D
Ryazan0–0
Ryazan0–0W
Rodina Moskva III3–2
Rodina Moskva III3–2W
Arsenal Tula II3–1
Arsenal Tula II3–1Orel (A)L
FK Spartak Tambov0–3
FK Spartak Tambov0–3LAvangard Kursk2–3
Avangard Kursk2–3L
Volna Nizhegorodskaya0–1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya0–1D
Rotor-20–0
Rotor-20–0L
Salyut-Belgorod0–3
Salyut-Belgorod0–3L
2Drots0–2
2Drots0–2Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Metallurg Lipetsk
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Orel
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
0%
BTTS
0/3
04/07/26Metallurg Lipetsk
Orel
0–2Metallurg Lipetsk13/09/25Metallurg Lipetsk
Orel
0–0Metallurg Lipetsk24/05/25Orel
Metallurg Lipetsk
2–0Orel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | +34 | 56 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 |  Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | +22 | 40 |
| 6 | Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +16 | 39 |
| 7 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | +14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 |  SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 |  Zenit Penza | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Rotor-2 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -20 | 14 |
| 15 | Arsenal Tula II | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 |  Kvant | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -42 | 6 |
Team Insights
Metallurg Lipetsk- ●Metallurg Lipetsk have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Metallurg Lipetsk have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Metallurg Lipetsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Metallurg Lipetsk failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Metallurg Lipetsk have won 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Metallurg Lipetsk have scored in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●68% of Metallurg Lipetsk's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Metallurg Lipetsk have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Orel- ●Orel have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Orel have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Orel have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Orel have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Orel have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●62% of Orel's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Metallurg LipetskWHStrogino1–0
Strogino1–0WASKA Khabarovsk II3–1
SKA Khabarovsk II3–1LHShumbrat0–1
Shumbrat0–1LAFK Spartak Tambov1–3
FK Spartak Tambov1–3WHAvangard Kursk2–1
Avangard Kursk2–1LAVolna Nizhegorodskaya2–3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya2–3–AArsenal Tula II27/09
Arsenal Tula II27/09–HZenit Penza03/10
Zenit Penza03/10–HSaturn Ramenskoye11/10
Saturn Ramenskoye11/10OrelLHShumbrat0–2
Shumbrat0–2LAFK Spartak Tambov0–3
FK Spartak Tambov0–3LAAvangard Kursk2–3
Avangard Kursk2–3LAVolna Nizhegorodskaya0–1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya0–1LHRyazan0–2
Ryazan0–2DARotor-20–0
Rotor-20–0–ASKA Khabarovsk II26/09
SKA Khabarovsk II26/09–HStrogino03/10
Strogino03/10–AArsenal Tula II11/10
Arsenal Tula II11/10Top Scorers
Metallurg LipetskA. Skvortsov8 ⚽
D. Grigorjev6 ⚽
D. Semin5 ⚽
V. Agalakov5 ⚽
M. Ivashov3 ⚽
D. Savin3 ⚽
OrelI. Bugaenko11 ⚽
D. Arsentjev5 ⚽
A. Oshkin3 ⚽
G. Borisov3 ⚽
E. Nabatov2 ⚽
S. Pyatin1 ⚽
Cards Given
Metallurg LipetskA. Skvortsov1 🟨
I. Badrtdinov1 🟨
S. Chikhradze1 🟨
OrelD. Sokol2 🟨
V. Gordienko2 🟨
S. Khmelevskoy1 🟨
V. Averkiev1 🟨