MatchPulse

Orel vs Rodina Moskva III — Second League - Group 3

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Orel
Orel
8º · 1.18 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 10h
vs
–
–
Rodina Moskva III
Rodina Moskva III
9º · 1.18 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 23h
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Orel and Rodina Moskva III meet in the Second League - Group 3 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Orel have recorded 8 wins from 30 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Rodina Moskva III have won 44% of their 25 matches, with 1.96 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 12%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Orel and 1.44 for Rodina Moskva III. The models give Orel a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Rodina Moskva III win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Orel
—
Rodina Moskva III
8º
Position
9º
1.18
PPG
1.18
27%
Win %
36%
1.27
Goals / game
1.27
1.55
Conceded / game
1.64
47%
BTTS %
60%
17%
Clean sheet %
12%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Orel
Home (6)
—
Rodina Moskva III
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.20
17%
Win %
40%
0.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
2.00
47%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
17%
47%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

OrelHomeAwayRodina MoskvaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored57%53%60%72%77%67%
Over 1.5 Scored33%27%40%60%62%58%
Over 2.5 Scored17%13%20%28%23%33%
Failed To Score43%47%40%28%23%33%

Goals Conceded

OrelHomeAwayRodina MoskvaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded83%87%80%88%92%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded57%53%60%44%38%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded33%27%40%20%15%25%
Clean Sheets17%13%20%12%8%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

OrelRodina Moskva
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.583%84%
Over 2.550%60%
Over 3.537%52%
Over 4.527%32%
BTTS47%60%
BTTS & Win17%32%
BTTS & Draw10%16%
BTTS & Over 2.537%52%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

OrelRodina Moskva
Win 1st Half17%32%
Draw 1st Half27%32%
Loss 1st Half57%36%
Scored 1st Half30%48%
Conceded 1st Half73%56%
Win 2nd Half30%48%
Draw 2nd Half30%24%
Loss 2nd Half40%28%
Scored 2nd Half50%52%
Conceded 2nd Half57%56%
Over 0.5 HT83%80%
Over 1.5 HT40%52%

Recent Venue Form

Orel (H)
LShumbrat0–2
LRyazan0–2
WKvant2–1
LSaturn Ramenskoye0–4
LMetallurg Lipetsk0–2
WArsenal Tula II4–1
Rodina Moskva (A)
WStrogino5–2
WShumbrat3–2
WAvangard Kursk2–0
LRyazan0–3
WKvant4–1
LMetallurg Lipetsk2–3

Head to Head · 3 matches

1
Orel
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Rodina Moskva
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
28/03/26
Rodina Moskva III
0–1
Orel
26/07/25
Rodina Moskva III
2–2
Orel
05/04/25
Orel
0–2
Rodina Moskva III
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Volna Nizhegorodskaya221822+3456
2FK Spartak Tambov221723+2553
3Shumbrat221246+1140
4Saturn Ramenskoye221246+1040
5Ryazan211173+2240
6Salyut-Belgorod221237+1639
7Metallurg Lipetsk221156+1438
8Avangard Kursk22868-130
9Rodina Moskva III228410+328
10Strogino227411-1025
11SKA Khabarovsk II227312-824
12Zenit Penza217212-1623
13Orel226511-1323
14Rotor-2224216-2014
15Arsenal Tula II222812-2514
16Kvant221318-426

Team Insights

Orel
  • ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
  • ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
  • ●Orel have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
  • ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
  • ●64% of Orel's goals have been scored away.
Rodina Moskva
  • ●Rodina Moskva III have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Rodina Moskva III have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Rodina Moskva III have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Rodina Moskva III failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Rodina Moskva III have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Rodina Moskva III have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Rodina Moskva III failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●Rodina Moskva III failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 away matches.
  • ●Rodina Moskva III have won 6 of their 12 away matches.
WAStrogino15º5–2
WAStrogino10º5–2
WAShumbrat3º3–2
WAShumbrat3º3–2
WAAvangard Kursk6º2–0
WAAvangard Kursk8º2–0

Season Schedule

Orel
WASKA Khabarovsk II2–0
LHShumbrat0–2
LAFK Spartak Tambov0–3
LAAvangard Kursk2–3
LAVolna Nizhegorodskaya0–1
LHRyazan0–2
–HStrogino03/10
–AArsenal Tula II11/10
–HZenit Penza17/10
Rodina Moskva
WAStrogino5–2
WHSKA Khabarovsk II3–2
WAShumbrat3–2
LHFK Spartak Tambov0–1
WAAvangard Kursk2–0
DHVolna Nizhegorodskaya1–1
–HArsenal Tula II03/10
–AZenit Penza10/10
–HMetallurg Lipetsk17/10

Top Scorers

Orel
I. Bugaenko11 ⚽
D. Arsentjev5 ⚽
A. Oshkin3 ⚽
G. Borisov3 ⚽
A. Agakhanov2 ⚽
E. Nabatov2 ⚽
Rodina Moskva
A. Kamyshenko9 ⚽
V. Khudoklinov9 ⚽
I. Atamanskiy5 ⚽
A. Kazantsev4 ⚽
T. Sharapov4 ⚽
V. Manukyan4 ⚽

Cards Given

Orel
D. Sokol2 🟨
V. Gordienko2 🟨
S. Khmelevskoy1 🟨
V. Averkiev1 🟨
Rodina Moskva