MAFCO vs Karonga United — Super League
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MAFCO and Karonga United meet in the Super League 2026 season on 12 December 2026. MAFCO have recorded 3 wins from 18 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 28% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 28%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Karonga United have won 24% of their 17 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for MAFCO and 0.92 for Karonga United. The models give MAFCO a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Karonga United win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
MAFCO—
Karonga United16º
Position
13º
0.72
PPG
1.06
17%
Win %
24%
0.67
Goals / game
0.94
1.33
Conceded / game
1.41
28%
BTTS %
65%
22%
Clean sheet %
29%
28%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
MAFCO
Home (9)
—
Karonga United
Away (7)
1.33
PPG
0.71
33%
Win %
14%
1.11
Goals / game
1.00
0.89
Conceded / game
2.00
33%
BTTS %
71%
44%
Clean sheet %
29%
33%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| MAFCO | Home | Away | Karonga United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 44% | 67% | 22% | 82% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 0% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 56% | 33% | 78% | 18% | 20% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| MAFCO | Home | Away | Karonga United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 56% | 100% | 71% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 22% | 44% | 35% | 20% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 11% | 22% | 24% | 10% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 44% | 0% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| MAFCO | Karonga United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 28% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 18% |
| BTTS | 28% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 11% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| MAFCO | Karonga United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 6% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 6% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 12% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
MAFCO (H)L
Nyasa Big Bullets0–3
Nyasa Big Bullets0–3L
Moyale Barracks1–2
Moyale Barracks1–2D
Masters FC1–1
Masters FC1–1L
Blue Eagles0–1
Blue Eagles0–1W
Red Lions2–0
Red Lions2–0W
Dedza Dynamos3–0
Dedza Dynamos3–0Karonga United (A)D
Ekhaya0–0
Ekhaya0–0L
Mitundu Baptist1–2
Mitundu Baptist1–2L
Silver Strikers1–4
Silver Strikers1–4LBlue Eagles2–3
Blue Eagles2–3L
Be Forward Wanderers1–4
Be Forward Wanderers1–4W
CIVO United1–0
CIVO United1–0Head to Head · 11 matches
2
MAFCO
18%
4
Draws
36%
5
Karonga United
45%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
45%
Over 3.5
5/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
17/05/26MAFCO
Karonga United
1–1MAFCO15/10/25Karonga United
MAFCO
2–2Karonga United13/04/25MAFCO
Karonga United
1–0MAFCO22/09/24MAFCO
Karonga United
3–1MAFCO17/07/24Karonga United
MAFCO
2–0Karonga United15/10/23MAFCO
Karonga United
2–0MAFCO29/04/23Karonga United
MAFCO
2–3Karonga United09/11/22Karonga United
MAFCO
5–0Karonga United01/05/22MAFCO
Karonga United
1–0MAFCO06/06/21Karonga United
MAFCO
0–0Karonga United03/04/21MAFCO
Karonga United
2–2MAFCO| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | +19 | 39 |
| 2 | Be Forward Wanderers | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | +18 | 36 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | +8 | 34 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +13 | 33 |
| 5 | Ekhaya | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +4 | 25 |
| 6 | Mitundu Baptist | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 25 |
| 7 |  Chitipa United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Masters FC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -9 | 20 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 |  Creck | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  Kamuzu Barracks | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 14 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 13 |
Team Insights
MAFCO- ●MAFCO have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●MAFCO have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●MAFCO failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●MAFCO have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●MAFCO have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●MAFCO have lost their last 7 away matches.
- ●MAFCO failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●MAFCO have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 home matches.
- ●MAFCO failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●MAFCO have lost 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●83% of MAFCO's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of MAFCO's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●92% of MAFCO's points have been earned at home.
Karonga United- ●Karonga United have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Karonga United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Karonga United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Karonga United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Karonga United have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Karonga United have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MAFCOLAMitundu Baptist0–2
Mitundu Baptist0–2LHNyasa Big Bullets0–3
Nyasa Big Bullets0–3LAChitipa United0–2
Chitipa United0–2LHMoyale Barracks1–2
Moyale Barracks1–2LACIVO United0–1
CIVO United0–1DHMasters FC1–1
Masters FC1–1–HEkhaya01/11
Ekhaya01/11–ACreck21/11
Creck21/11–HSilver Strikers28/11
Silver Strikers28/11Karonga UnitedDHBe Forward Wanderers1–1
Be Forward Wanderers1–1WHCIVO United1–0
CIVO United1–0DAEkhaya0–0
Ekhaya0–0DHChitipa United1–1
Chitipa United1–1LHNyasa Big Bullets0–1
Nyasa Big Bullets0–1LAMitundu Baptist1–2
Mitundu Baptist1–2–AMoyale Barracks01/11
Moyale Barracks01/11–HKamuzu Barracks22/11
Kamuzu Barracks22/11–ARed Lions28/11
Red Lions28/11Top Scorers
MAFCOC. Msowoya3 ⚽
B. Mofolo2 ⚽
P. Kachere2 ⚽
P. Kasonga2 ⚽
C. Moloseni1 ⚽
A. Alli1 ⚽
Karonga UnitedG. Sibale4 ⚽
L. Kiwambe3 ⚽
K. Mwakabaghe2 ⚽
E. Mandanda2 ⚽
T. Mwale1 ⚽
W. Mwale1 ⚽
Cards Given
MAFCOKaronga UnitedE. Mandanda1 🟨