HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb — HNL
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HNK Gorica and Dinamo Zagreb meet in the HNL 2026 season on 28 November 2026. HNK Gorica have recorded 7 wins from 23 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Dinamo Zagreb have won 60% of their 25 matches, with 2.60 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for HNK Gorica and 1.82 for Dinamo Zagreb. The models give HNK Gorica a 25% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Dinamo Zagreb win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
HNK Gorica—
Dinamo Zagreb9º
Position
2º
0.64
PPG
2.11
9%
Win %
67%
0.64
Goals / game
2.56
1.36
Conceded / game
1.33
52%
BTTS %
56%
26%
Clean sheet %
44%
39%
Over 2.5 %
76%
4.2
Avg corners
6.0
10.1
Avg shots
17.8
3.1
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.4
Avg fouls
13.6
45.6%
Avg possession
58.0%
Home vs Away
HNK Gorica
Home (6)
—
Dinamo Zagreb
Away (4)
0.50
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
25%
0.67
Goals / game
2.50
1.33
Conceded / game
2.25
43%
BTTS %
58%
36%
Clean sheet %
42%
36%
Over 2.5 %
83%
4.2
Avg corners
6.0
10.1
Avg shots
17.8
3.1
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
45.6%
Avg possession
58.0%
Goals Scored
| HNK Gorica | Home | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 64% | 78% | 92% | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 29% | 22% | 68% | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 7% | 22% | 44% | 46% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 36% | 22% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| HNK Gorica | Home | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 64% | 89% | 56% | 54% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 46% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 36% | 11% | 44% | 46% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 32% |
| BTTS | 52% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 65% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
HNK Gorica (H)D
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0L
Rudes1–2
Rudes1–2D
Bravo3–3
Bravo3–3D
NK Varazdin2–2
NK Varazdin2–2D
HNK Rijeka0–0
HNK Rijeka0–0L
HNK Hajduk Split1–2
HNK Hajduk Split1–2Dinamo Zagreb (A)W
NK Slaven Belupo5–1
NK Slaven Belupo5–1LHNK Hajduk Split1–2
HNK Hajduk Split1–2W
Vukovar4–0
Vukovar4–0D
Hapoel Beer Sheva0–0
Hapoel Beer Sheva0–0L
NK Osijek2–4
NK Osijek2–4W
Bedem Ivankovo4–0
Bedem Ivankovo4–0Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
49 games
9.5
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 88% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 76% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 47% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 41% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 41% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 18% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 18% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | HNK Gorica | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 70% | 24% |
Head to Head · 37 matches
4
HNK Gorica
11%
5
Draws
14%
28
Dinamo Zagreb
76%
70%
Over 1.5
26/37
54%
Over 2.5
20/37
35%
Over 3.5
13/37
51%
BTTS
19/37
05/09/26HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
1–0HNK Gorica02/05/26Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
1–2Dinamo Zagreb08/04/26Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
3–6Dinamo Zagreb01/03/26HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
4–2HNK Gorica01/12/25Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
0–2Dinamo Zagreb14/09/25HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
1–2HNK Gorica23/04/25Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
1–0Dinamo Zagreb15/02/25HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
3–1HNK Gorica09/11/24Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2–2Dinamo Zagreb24/08/24HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
2–1HNK Gorica13/04/24Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
0–2Dinamo Zagreb28/02/24HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
4–0HNK Gorica04/02/24HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
2–0HNK Gorica21/10/23Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2–1Dinamo Zagreb05/08/23HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
0–0HNK Gorica28/05/23HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
4–1HNK Gorica01/04/23Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
1–1Dinamo Zagreb21/01/23HNK Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb
0–0HNK Gorica10/09/22Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
0–1Dinamo Zagreb24/04/22Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
0–1Dinamo Zagreb| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 7 |  Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | HNK Gorica | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 | Rudes | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
HNK Gorica- ●HNK Gorica have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●HNK Gorica have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●HNK Gorica failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●HNK Gorica failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●HNK Gorica have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Dinamo Zagreb- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Dinamo Zagreb's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Dinamo Zagreb's points have been earned at home.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
HNK GoricaDHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0DANK Osijek1–1
NK Osijek1–1LHRudes1–2
Rudes1–2WAIstra 19611–0
Istra 19611–0DHNK Varazdin2–2
NK Varazdin2–2LADinamo Zagreb0–1
Dinamo Zagreb0–1–AHNK Hajduk Split31/10
HNK Hajduk Split31/10–HNK Slaven Belupo07/11
NK Slaven Belupo07/11–AHNK Rijeka21/11
HNK Rijeka21/11Dinamo ZagrebWANK Slaven Belupo5–1
NK Slaven Belupo5–1LAHNK Hajduk Split1–2
HNK Hajduk Split1–2WHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2LANK Osijek2–4
NK Osijek2–4WHHNK Gorica1–0
HNK Gorica1–0DAIstra 19612–2
Istra 19612–2–HHNK Rijeka27/10
HNK Rijeka27/10–ARudes31/10
Rudes31/10–ANK Varazdin07/11
NK Varazdin07/11Top Scorers
HNK GoricaA. Erceg4 ⚽
3 ⚽
B. Bogojevic3 ⚽
T. Epailly2 ⚽
Bruno Bogojević2 ⚽
J. Pranjic2 ⚽
Dinamo ZagrebD. Beljo12 ⚽
Dion Drena Beljo7 ⚽
L. Kacavenda5 ⚽
L. Stojkovic3 ⚽
L. Ivanusec3 ⚽
S. Prevljak3 ⚽
Cards Given
HNK Gorica3 🟨
frigan juraj2 🟨
Dušan Stevanović2 🟨
I. Cvijanovic2 🟨
L. Vrzic2 🟨
Goncalo Costa1 🟨
Dinamo ZagrebJ. Misic3 🟨
Matteo Perez Vinlöf2 🟨
Dion Drena Beljo2 🟨
L. Kacavenda2 🟨
M. Zajc2 🟨
S. McKenna2 🟨