Istra 1961 vs NK Varazdin — HNL
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Istra 1961 and NK Varazdin meet in the HNL 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Istra 1961 have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. NK Varazdin have won 59% of their 27 matches, with 1.85 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Istra 1961 and 1.59 for NK Varazdin. The models give Istra 1961 a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an NK Varazdin win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Istra 1961—
NK Varazdin6º
Position
3º
1.20
PPG
1.80
30%
Win %
50%
1.70
Goals / game
1.40
1.60
Conceded / game
0.80
70%
BTTS %
44%
20%
Clean sheet %
44%
80%
Over 2.5 %
52%
5.1
Avg corners
4.5
12.9
Avg shots
13.2
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.6
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.4
11.3
Avg fouls
11.4
46.3%
Avg possession
46.6%
Home vs Away
Istra 1961
Home (5)
—
NK Varazdin
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.40
40%
Win %
40%
2.00
Goals / game
1.60
1.60
Conceded / game
1.40
73%
BTTS %
43%
18%
Clean sheet %
36%
91%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.1
Avg corners
4.5
12.9
Avg shots
13.2
4.8
Avg shots on target
3.6
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.4
46.3%
Avg possession
46.6%
Goals Scored
| Istra 1961 | Home | Away | NK Varazdin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 91% | 78% | 74% | 77% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 80% | 91% | 67% | 52% | 62% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 55% | 22% | 30% | 23% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 9% | 22% | 26% | 23% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Istra 1961 | Home | Away | NK Varazdin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 82% | 78% | 56% | 46% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 45% | 56% | 30% | 15% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 18% | 22% | 44% | 54% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Istra 1961 | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 15% |
| BTTS | 70% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Istra 1961 | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 53% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 79% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 16% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 68% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Istra 1961 (H)L
HNK Gorica0–1
HNK Gorica0–1W
Rudes3–2
Rudes3–2D
Dinamo Zagreb2–2
Dinamo Zagreb2–2W
NK Slaven Belupo3–0
NK Slaven Belupo3–0L
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–3
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–3W
Orijent 19195–2
Orijent 19195–2NK Varazdin (A)L
HNK Hajduk Split0–1
HNK Hajduk Split0–1WNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0D
Aluminij0–0
Aluminij0–0DHNK Gorica2–2
HNK Gorica2–2W
Zagora4–0
Zagora4–0LDinamo Zagreb1–3
Dinamo Zagreb1–3Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
47 games
8.7
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Istra 1961 | NK Varazdin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 70% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 50% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 20% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 10% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Istra 1961 | NK Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 89% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 50% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
8
Istra 1961
31%
9
Draws
35%
9
NK Varazdin
35%
54%
Over 1.5
14/26
31%
Over 2.5
8/26
15%
Over 3.5
4/26
38%
BTTS
10/26
04/09/26Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0–0Istra 196123/05/26Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2–0Istra 196120/03/26NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2–1NK Varazdin19/12/25Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
1–3Istra 196103/10/25NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1–0NK Varazdin11/05/25NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0–0NK Varazdin08/03/25Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0–0Istra 196107/12/24NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0–0NK Varazdin20/09/24Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
1–0Istra 196117/05/24NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2–0NK Varazdin08/03/24Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2–2Istra 196105/12/23Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
3–2Istra 196101/12/23NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2–0NK Varazdin17/09/23Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
1–0Istra 196116/04/23Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0–0Istra 196103/02/23NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2–1NK Varazdin30/09/22Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
1–1Istra 196122/07/22NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1–2NK Varazdin26/04/21Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
1–1Istra 196120/02/21NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
0–1NK Varazdin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |  NK Osijek | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  HNK Rijeka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 | Rudes | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
Team Insights
Istra 1961- ●Istra 1961 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Istra 1961 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
NK Varazdin- ●NK Varazdin have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●87% of NK Varazdin's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Istra 1961LANK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2WANK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek3–1LHHNK Gorica0–1
HNK Gorica0–1WHRudes3–2
Rudes3–2DANK Varazdin0–0
NK Varazdin0–0DHDinamo Zagreb2–2
Dinamo Zagreb2–2–ANK Slaven Belupo31/10
NK Slaven Belupo31/10–HHNK Rijeka07/11
HNK Rijeka07/11–ADinamo Zagreb21/11
Dinamo Zagreb21/11NK VarazdinLAHNK Hajduk Split0–1
HNK Hajduk Split0–1WANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0DHNK Osijek0–0
NK Osijek0–0DAHNK Gorica2–2
HNK Gorica2–2DHIstra 19610–0
Istra 19610–0WHRudes2–0
Rudes2–0–HNK Slaven Belupo24/10
NK Slaven Belupo24/10–AHNK Rijeka31/10
HNK Rijeka31/10–HDinamo Zagreb07/11
Dinamo Zagreb07/11Top Scorers
Istra 1961E. Frederiksen7 ⚽
H. Jaganjac6 ⚽
D. Ahmeti4 ⚽
Isaac3 ⚽
Emil Frederiksen3 ⚽
S. Bangura3 ⚽
NK VarazdinL. Mamic6 ⚽
S. Juric4 ⚽
I. Canjuga4 ⚽
A. Latkovic4 ⚽
I. Mamut4 ⚽
M. Mladenovski3 ⚽
Cards Given
Istra 1961J. Cabello2 🟨
hamza jaganjac2 🟨
Dukan Ahmeti2 🟨
D. Doumbia2 🟨
H. Jaganjac2 🟨
Demirel hodzic1 🟨
NK VarazdinTomislav Duvnjak2 🟨
G. Sikosek2 🟨
F. Maglica2 🟨
Ivan Canjuga2 🟨
Aleksa Latković1 🟨
Frane Maglica1 🟨