NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — HNL
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NK Varazdin and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb meet in the HNL 2026 season on 19 December 2026. NK Varazdin have recorded 16 wins from 30 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 42% of their 26 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for NK Varazdin and 1.07 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. The models give NK Varazdin a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
NK Varazdin—
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb5º
Position
9º
1.58
PPG
0.85
42%
Win %
23%
1.33
Goals / game
1.08
0.92
Conceded / game
1.62
50%
BTTS %
62%
40%
Clean sheet %
23%
50%
Over 2.5 %
54%
3.8
Avg corners
5.0
12.5
Avg shots
11.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.7
11.3
Avg fouls
13.6
45.9%
Avg possession
47.7%
Home vs Away
NK Varazdin
Home (6)
—
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Away (7)
1.83
PPG
0.57
50%
Win %
14%
1.17
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
2.00
53%
BTTS %
60%
47%
Clean sheet %
20%
40%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.8
Avg corners
5.0
12.5
Avg shots
11.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.7
45.9%
Avg possession
47.7%
Goals Scored
| NK Varazdin | Home | Away | NK Lokomotiva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 81% | 73% | 77% | 81% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 50% | 40% | 46% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 19% | 33% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 19% | 27% | 23% | 19% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| NK Varazdin | Home | Away | NK Lokomotiva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 56% | 67% | 77% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 25% | 40% | 35% | 19% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 44% | 33% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NK Varazdin | NK Lokomotiva | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS | 52% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NK Varazdin | NK Lokomotiva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 21% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
NK Varazdin (H)L
Dinamo Zagreb1–3
Dinamo Zagreb1–3DNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1L
NK Slaven Belupo1–2
NK Slaven Belupo1–2D
NK Osijek0–0
NK Osijek0–0D
Istra 19610–0
Istra 19610–0W
Rudes2–0
Rudes2–0NK Lokomotiva (A)DNK Varazdin1–1
NK Varazdin1–1D
HNK Gorica0–0
HNK Gorica0–0LDinamo Zagreb2–3
Dinamo Zagreb2–3W
Cuba U202–0
Cuba U202–0LNK Slaven Belupo1–2
NK Slaven Belupo1–2L
HNK Hajduk Split0–2
HNK Hajduk Split0–2Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.5
60 games
10.9
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | NK Varazdin | NK Lokomotiva | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 92% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 92% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 75% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 75% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 67% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 42% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 25% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 17% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | NK Varazdin | NK Lokomotiva |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 42% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 42% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
5
NK Varazdin
17%
13
Draws
45%
11
NK Lokomotiva
38%
69%
Over 1.5
20/29
34%
Over 2.5
10/29
21%
Over 3.5
6/29
55%
BTTS
16/29
28/10/26NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1–1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb11/10/26NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–1NK Varazdin27/06/26NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1NK Varazdin09/05/26NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1–1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb07/03/26NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1NK Varazdin07/12/25NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
4–2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb20/09/25NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–0NK Varazdin26/04/25NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
2–1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb21/02/25NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–0NK Varazdin18/01/25NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3–2NK Varazdin23/11/24NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1–1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb01/09/24NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–1NK Varazdin13/04/24NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
0–2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb02/02/24NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–0NK Varazdin21/10/23NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
0–0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb04/08/23NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3–3NK Varazdin26/05/23NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
0–0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb02/04/23NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1NK Varazdin22/01/23NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
0–0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb11/09/22NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–2NK Varazdin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 26 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | NK Varazdin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  HNK Rijeka | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 8 | Rudes | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 16 |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -15 | 7 |
Team Insights
NK Varazdin- ●NK Varazdin have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
NK Lokomotiva- ●NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●NK Lokomotiva Zagreb failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●NK Lokomotiva Zagreb failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
NK VarazdinLHDinamo Zagreb1–3
Dinamo Zagreb1–3DAHNK Rijeka1–1
HNK Rijeka1–1LHNK Slaven Belupo1–2
NK Slaven Belupo1–2LAHNK Hajduk Split0–1
HNK Hajduk Split0–1WANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0DHNK Osijek0–0
NK Osijek0–0–ARudes21/11
Rudes21/11–AIstra 196128/11
Istra 196128/11–HHNK Gorica05/12
HNK Gorica05/12NK LokomotivaLHRudes0–1
Rudes0–1LHNK Osijek1–3
NK Osijek1–3DAHNK Gorica0–0
HNK Gorica0–0WHIstra 19612–0
Istra 19612–0LHNK Varazdin0–1
NK Varazdin0–1LADinamo Zagreb2–3
Dinamo Zagreb2–3–AHNK Hajduk Split21/11
HNK Hajduk Split21/11–HNK Slaven Belupo28/11
NK Slaven Belupo28/11–AHNK Rijeka05/12
HNK Rijeka05/12Top Scorers
NK VarazdinL. Mamic7 ⚽
I. Mamut4 ⚽
I. Tavares4 ⚽
I. Canjuga4 ⚽
A. Latkovic4 ⚽
S. Juric4 ⚽
NK LokomotivaD. Vukovic8 ⚽
N. Durkovic4 ⚽
A. Stojakovic4 ⚽
L. Belcar3 ⚽
A. Triantafyllou2 ⚽
D. Reic2 ⚽
Cards Given
NK VarazdinIvan Canjuga3 🟨
Iuri Tavares2 🟨
Aleksa Latkovic2 🟨
F. Maglica2 🟨
Frane Maglica2 🟨
G. Sikosek2 🟨
NK LokomotivaMarcel Lorber4 🟨
L. Belcar3 🟨
A. Triantafyllou3 🟨
M. Pajac3 🟨
I. Katic2 🟨
Dušan Vuković2 🟨